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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Stock Market Running Up....Sentiment Playing Out...What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The relentless run up is continuing as the bulls are letting the bears know they'll be remaining busy for a while. Now we will have to deal with some selling soon as the short-term sixty-minute charts are overbought and flashing negative divergences. Sometimes, in very bullish environments the negative divergences can be worked out through time instead of price, meaning you unwind those divergences and overbought with very little price erosion. If that happens, you know you've transferred the energy from bear to bull. In bullish environments time works off the overbought conditions. In bearish environments it's price that works its way lower from any push up on those oscillators. We'll know very shortly which way this will work itself out. We saw the market futures turn north last night after Europe gapped up and kept on running higher. We opened strongly and closed very nicely, which now means the bulls have four large gap ups that kept running higher all day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Stock Market to Fall 16% More into March 11th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The chart below shows that the SPX 1650 level may be next and sooner than most think. Looking at this 2 hour chart of the SPX, we can see a similarity to the December 27, 2015 top. The move up from February 19 into February 22 is stronger by 27.7% suggesting a harder move down this time than in late December into January 20th. March 11th is nearby to the Bradley March 10th date. March 11th is the anniversary of the 2015 20 week low, is 20 TD's from the January 20th low, and the 7/28 week cycle low from August 24th, 2015. The 1650 level beckons.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Bonds Aren't Buying the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Bonds aren’t buying the rally in stocks. ZeroHedge reports, “While the algos are closely following every momentum-generating uptick in global equities on the back of yet another short squeeze in crude, one asset class that has been roundly ignored are Treasurys, which have refused to follow the equity euphoria and have in fact roundtripped today's entire risk on move, suggesting that once again, "bonds aren't buying it."

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Stock Market Pivot Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX Premarket has risen to the range of 1937.00 this morning. That means the Wave structure has morphed into a Minor wave C. The target for this wave [Where Wave (v) equals (i)] is 1945.48. An expanded flat Wave (2) would terminate in the range of the Wave A high at 1947.20. The Broadening formation trendline appears to be near 1952.00, so this gives us a range of outcomes for today.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

USDCAD And SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD

On USDCAD we are looking at declining price action from 1.4018 that can be an expanding diagonal, now moving down into the final stages of decline. We see wave 5 of C) headed beneath 1.3650 and even towards 1.3600 area, where pair can be looking to form a low this week.

USDCAD, 1H

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Stock Market Phase Correction In Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Phase correction in process.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Japan Has Officially Lost Control of Its Financial System / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For over six years, the markets have been moving based on Central Banker actions and words.

The first phase (2009 to 2013) was dominated by action (ZIRP and QE).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2016

Why This Financial Crisis Will Be Worse Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For six years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.

All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Similarly, anyone with a functioning brain could tell you that a bunch of academics with no real-world experience, none of whom have ever started a business or created a single job can’t “save” the economy.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2016

Stock Market Drop Likely Monday, Gold Price Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The technicals, cycles and astro-read suggest a high probability of a severe drop in the stock market Monday to as low as the low/mid SPX 1840’s. The SPX likely completed the 100 TD low 16 TD’s on February 11.  The SPY grid lines below shows lines of support and resistance. 

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2016

India Stock Market BSE SENSEX Bombay's Last Hurrah / Stock-Markets / India

By: Austin_Galt

The BSE SENSEX is the Indian stock index which trades out of Mumbai or Bombay for those with a sense of nostalgia. Price hit a low of 22600 on the 12th February 2016 which was just over 24% down from the 2015 high of 30024.

So, is that the end of the bear market? In my opinion, the answer is both yes and no. What? That sounds like I'm having a bob each way which is not uncommon for many technical analysts, I dare say!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 20, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

An eventful holiday shortened week. The market started the week on Tuesday at SPX 1865. After gap up openings on Tuesday/Wednesday the SPX reached 1931. After that it pulled back to 1902 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.7%, NDX/NAZ gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index gained 3.8%. Economics reports for the week were again biased negative. On the uptick: the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: NY/Philly FED, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators and the WLEI. Next week we get the second estimate to Q4 GDP, the PCE, and more housing reports.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 20, 2016

Stock Market Sentiment...Looking At The Technical World..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market is showing some very interesting pattern set-ups on the daily index charts. The oscillators on the attempted pullback on those daily charts are holding nicely with many of the bear market stocks not showing a move lower on those oscillators as their price pulls back. A sign of many bear-market stocks bottoming? It could very well be, but that answer only comes with certainty when we experience the next strong down move. So far so good. Many stocks are in very deep bear markets, even though our indexes are not. Individual stocks from all over the stock-market world are experiencing some horrific moves lower. There are some signs based on positive divergences that this process may be in the very beginning stages of turning around.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 19, 2016

Stock Market Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may ask, “Why the rally back to the zero line?”

The first answer is, “Because it can.” That’s what support and resistance lines are meant to portray. They represent pockets of buying power or selling pressure, depending on which side you are coming from.

There is another reason. Computer algorithms can be trained to “sense” these areas and use them to the owner’s advantage. In this case, it may be to the owner’s advantage to maintain the market at this level so that certain options will pay off.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 19, 2016

Equity Outflows Resume... It’s Time to be All-in Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced off Intermediate-term support at 1904.40 this morning. There are a couple more supports that must be taken out today so progress may be slow, but steady on the downside. This assumes no catalyst rears its ugly head to spark the panic decline today.

Despite the three-day rally, we have seen the longest streak of equity outflows since 2008.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 19, 2016

Premarket Stock Market Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has fallen to its 2-hour mid-Cycle support in the Premarket. This is unusual for OpEx in the Index Futures. It suggests some turmoil that may carry over to the open. OpEx Fridays are usually more volatile than normal, but this type of activity before the open is unusual.

ZeroHedge reports, “Not even this morning's mandatory European open ramp has been able to push US equity futures higher, and as a result moments ago the E-mini hit session lows on rising concerns about Brexit as talks drag on in Brussles, but mostly as a result of overnight confusion about China's loan explosion and whether the PBOC has lost control over its maniacally-lending banks.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 19, 2016

Stocks, Commodities, Bonds, Gold and Currencies Weekly Views / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

It occurs to me that in public writing I tend to bludgeon people with macro fundamentals (like gold vs. positively correlated markets, yield relationships and even confidence in global policy makers), market indicators (VIX, Equity Put/Call, Gold-Silver ratio, Sentiment, Participation, etc.) and other views beneath the surface of things. So much so that I sometimes forget that people might like to see simple nominal charting as a frame of reference.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 19, 2016

Support for Stock Market Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

The recent downward slide for North American indexes appears to have found a floor.

After declining for much of the last six weeks, the key U.S. indexes have all reached their 200-week moving averages (m/a) and stopped.

Only the commodity-heavy TSX went right through its 200-week m/a and settled on the lower support level of 12,000.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 19, 2016

How Rogue Market Price Spikes Can Make You Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stocks are taking a breather today from the recent rally off our cycle lows and support level. As explained and shown in this morning’s video we are expecting stocks to stall out over the next 5 days and become choppy.

Any weakness in stocks means money will flow into metals and that is what happened on Thursday afternoon.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 18, 2016

How Investors Can Leverage the Most Powerful Force in the Universe / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: Investment_U

Andrew Gordon writes: Investing in the early days of an initial public offering (IPO) isn’t what it used to be.

Last year’s IPOs are a shining example. Shares of tech companies that IPO’d in 2015 averaged around a 40% drop from their first-day closing price to current prices.

The kind of gains you would have gotten from Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) (over 35,000% since its IPO), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) (over 53,000%) and Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) (nearly 16,000%) are nowhere to be found among newly minted public companies.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 18, 2016

Stock Market Rally is Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The short-covering rally in SPX appears to be broken. Confirmation of the reversal is close by, at Intermediate-term support/resistance at 1911.56.

The peak in the cash market was at 14:21 hours yesterday. The rally was 21.5 market hours in length after a 56 hour decline. SPX is now going into a Wave C panic decline that may last between 4.3 and 6.14 days. Wave A will look like a picnic by comparison.

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