Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, August 30, 2014
Stock Market Status Quo.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
This an abbreviated holiday edition.
Folks, to be honest, there's not much to day about this market that we haven't discussed repeatedly for weeks, if not months. There are a number of issues the market is facing that one would think would be the beginning of the end for the bulls. We have overbought conditions on the key-index charts across most of the time frames everyone uses in one way or another. We have some divergences around, and most of all, we have froth at extremely high levels that usually knock the market down in a very large way. Not just your casual 4-5% correction, but levels that can cause bear markets meaning at least a correction of 20% or more. At times, 50%. Yes folks, the froth readings are that bad.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 29, 2014
Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Stock Market Investment Myths / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 29, 2014
Cycles Have a History, You Should Read About It / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Harry_Dent
Last year, I was reading a sidebar in Barron’s where ex-fund manager and PIMCO director Paul McCulley was talking about a stock market peak later that year… at the same time sunspot cycles were forecast to peak.
This wasn’t the first time I’d heard respected analysts connect market activity to sunspot activity. Charles Nenner, a prominent cycle analyst believes there’s a plausible connection. So does Richard Mogey, founder of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles (and a speaker at our October IES Conference in Miami).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 29, 2014
Stock Market in a Quandary? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday’s decline did not appear impulsive enough to qualify as a Wave 1 down at any degree. In addition, despite Macro Wave I’s uncertain pedigree, Micro Wave iii and v are clearly impulsive. If this morning the SPX does not break down, it may leave us with a probable final Ending Diagonal sub-Minute Wave (v) to go if my earlier wave structure is incomplete. The reason I bring this up is that the futures made a new high, but are now pulling back. The Premarket is up on horrible news, but may only be completing a 5th wave of c of Wave (ii).
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 28, 2014
Central Banks at the Root of Evil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dr_Martenson
The current bubbles in financial assets -- in equities and bonds of all grades and quality -- raging in every major market across the globe are no accident.
They are a deliberate creation. The intentional results of policy.
Therefore, when they burst, we shouldn't regard the resulting damage as some freak act of nature or other such outcome outside of our control. To reiterate, the carnage will be the very predictable result of some terribly shortsighted decision-making and defective logic.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 28, 2014
The Stock Market is Getting Edgy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s Premarket is down pretty substantially. The news is making things worse for the market that was already in decline at 5:00 am. Although the news may be blamed for the decline, it was already built into the Cycles Model.
The high on August 26 is 27 years and a day (3.1416 * 8.6) from the high leading into the 1987 crash. If it follows the 43-day Panic Cycle then we may follow the exact same pattern as in 1987.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 28, 2014
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Short-Term Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,030, and a profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, August 28, 2014
What the Burger King Deal Tells Us About Today's Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The S&P 500 recently hit a new high as it drove through the 2000 mark for the first time in history on the day that Burger King Worldwide Inc. (NYSE: BKW) announced that it would purchase iconic Canadian fast food chain Tim Hortons Inc. (NYSE: THI).
Thus far in 2014 there have been $2.3 trillion of announced mergers & acquisitions (M&A) transactions around the world - $1.16 trillion in the United States alone - and undoubtedly there are more on the horizon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 28, 2014
Stock Market Will We Ever Sell......!..Froth Ramping Again... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Of course we will, and the market is set up right here to do so, except thus far it hasn't. Three straight days of daily-chart topping sticks across all the major indexes. It hasn't mattered. The market refuses to sell. It really should from here. Overbought and negative divergences and major froth and.....! You get the idea. At least a small pullback, one would think. So today we were set-up to sell, and although we tried to really sell-off late in the day, over the last thirty minutes the Spy was able to rally back up and barely finish in the red.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Stock Market Panic Decline Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX escaped the support of its Ending Diagonal trendline yesterday, putting it at risk of a sharp decline. Yesterday’s peak at 11.27 a.m. put it within an hour of 17.2 days of rally since its low at the close of August 7.
The Premarket is flat with a slight downward bias this morning. There is more bad news out of Europe, but traders appear to be jaded with no news of any significance being reported domestically.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Stock Market Staring Into the Great Abyss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Is a looming war coincident with a depressed gold price and a stock market peak an example of — staring into the great abyss?
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Stock Market Bear Tracks Abound In Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: I_M_Vronsky
Today's boundless investor complacency is eerily reminiscent of the unbridled investor euphoria of the roaring 1920’s. And all avid market students remember what happened then…i.e. the 1929 Stock Market Crash.
Pervasive investor complacency reigns in Wall Street today…similar to what caused myopic prudence in 2000-2001 and again 2007-2008. It is imperative to recall that in each case stock indices lost more than 50% of their value.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Stock Market 6 Month Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
With the passage of the final high of the 2009 bull market high in the Dow (precisely forecast by the Lindsay model on July 17) our attention now turns to the S&P 500. Unfortunately, Lindsay’s methods only apply to the Dow so we must use other means but, as history has shown, highs in the two indexes shouldn’t be too far apart (in the year 2000 the Dow’s high was in January and the S&P’s was in March).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Even Mainstream Academia Worried about Massive Bubbles in Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EconMatters
Academia Finally Sounding Alarm
As stocks set new records each month even other academic economists are starting to realize that not only is the Federal Reserve behind the curve, but that they are part of the rising risk concerns that are building in the financial system, and their failure to take responsibility for valuations that are 10% over-valued even on the most optimistic valuations, is alarming given the past bubbles and the damage that has occurred through excessively low interest rates providing far too much liquidity in the system.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Dow Stock Index On The Cusp / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The Dow is really testing the mettle of the bears. That includes me. As of today the rally has reached a height of 17124. Just shy of the all time high of 17151. So, is that the end of the rally? I wish I could say it was but there is still no sign of reversal. Let’s refresh ourselves of the big picture at this critical juncture.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 25, 2014
Stock Market Uncertainty Resolved With New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The correction is over and what is most likely the final phase of the uptrend (before a more serious correction) is underway.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 25, 2014
Dollar Dumping: When Actions Speak Loudest / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The hypocrisy is endless. Counter-intuition is the norm. Observing financial markets requires a mirror image interpretation in an economic fun house.Take Warren Buffet, for example. The darling of modern finance in a ten thousand dollar crumpled suit, he exemplifies every traders dream of beating the markets - buying low, selling high, and at the same time all that is frugal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 25, 2014
Stock Market Fear Is Good / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Investment_U
Steve McDonald writes: Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK), the brainchild of Aubrey McClendon, has been though the ringer for the past few years. Its problems included McClendon using it as his personal piggy bank, or some such accusation; buying far too many assets in the shale areas in the U.S. and ending up in a cash crunch; gas prices dropping to ridiculous levels; and the stock price getting crushed from around $60 to the low teens.
Monday, August 25, 2014
A Plethora of Currency, Stocks and Precious Metals Chartology / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report there are so many charts I want to show you it’s hard to know where to start. It seems like we have entered a critical inflection point in both the stock markets and the precious metals complex. These inflection points can last for awhile before they show their hand but it’s important to know one exists so we can take advantage of the situation. I’m fully aware that the stock markets are entering the most dangerous time of the year as they move into September. As I mentioned to you before, The Only Rule in the Stock Markets are There are no Rules, so anything can happen at anytime. It just goes with the game we choose to play. With that said lets start by looking at several long term charts for the SPX.
Sunday, August 24, 2014
Another Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
US markets rise for third week in a row. The week started off with a gap up on monday, and then continued to rise every day until thursday. When it hit a new all time high at SPX 1995. A pullback on friday ended the week at SPX 1988. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.85%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.65%, and the DJ World indix rose 1.2%. Economic reports for the week were all positive until the WLEI downticked on friday. The upticks: the NAHB, the CPI, housing starts, building permits, existing home sales, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week we get an update on Q2 GDP (est. +4.0%), PCE prices and the Chicago PMI.