Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Friday, May 11, 2007

US Dollar Bear Market 5 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Adam Hamilton writes : With the headline US stock indexes doing so well this year, they are understandably absorbing trader attention and news coverage like a black hole. It is always exciting to see major new round numbers achieved and new highs carved. But other markets outside of this limelight are not frozen in stasis.

In particular the US dollar, seemingly totally forgotten in the dark shadow the stock markets are casting, has been exceedingly interesting. While you wouldn't know it from the mainstream financial media thanks to very little commentary on it, the US dollar's secular bear market is very much alive and well. In fact today it is on the verge of testing major major new lows.

If the dollar indeed continues on its stealthy downward trajectory and hits these new lows, the implications will probably be profound. Especially for American investors and speculators, the dollar is the linchpin of everything financial. When foreign investors see new dollar lows, will the massive inflows of capital they pump into our financial markets waver? What would this mean for US stocks, bonds, and interest rates?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Update of the US Dollar Index Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

I thought it would be good to post the USD action of late and why it is affecting other markets. I will not be posting any other technical analysis reports for sometime. Instead they will be research-related topics over the course of the next 4-6 months. An article I plan on releasing 3-4 weeks from now is titled “Busy Bee Bugaboo and Another Unsuspecting Agent of Doom”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

The Russian Bear, Chinease Dragon, and US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Russia and China have become a major problem. Everywhere one turns, there is Russia & China at odds with the United States . We have the Great Bear in a conflict over energy, Iran , military installations, and central bank policy. We have the Great Dragon in a conflict over currency reform, banking reform, copyright enforcement, trade matters, human rights, and central bank policy.

Armed with a combined account of almost $1600 billion, these two giants are in a Battle of Titans with the United States for geopolitical control. With the financial shift to developing nations comes a natural push toward geopolitical control. The USEconomy and USDollar have never been in a weaker position. The bear and dragon know it well, and have taken steps to wrest more power and influence.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Euro Currency toast & the race to debase, Part I / Currencies / Euro

By: Adrian_Ash

"...If you think the Dollar looks weak on the charts, wait 'til you see what's wrong with the Euro..."

SERIOUS ECONOMISTS never much liked the Euro. Then again, serious economists never much bothered to make money from trading. John Maynard Keynes just goes to prove it.

World-famous scourge of both gold and "the long run", Keynes averaged nearly 13% per year trading the funds of Kings College , Cambridge , during the Depression. London 's stock market, meantime, ticked lower by half-a-per cent per annum.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Brazilian Real The Strongest Currency in the World Today / Currencies / Brazil

By: Money_and_Markets

When I first went to Brazil, I was six years old.

A new Chevy cost $1,300.

Gasoline was going for 27 cents a gallon.

Harry Truman was still in the White House.

And my father wanted a second home in the tropics.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, May 04, 2007

US Dollars Supplied at Will, Courage Hard to Find / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Doug_Wakefield

Doug Wakefield with Ben Hill write: Last weekend, my wife and I went over to a friend's home to watch “The Pursuit of Happyness,” starring Will Smith. During the opening scenes of the movie, Smith's character sits in despair thinking about his own struggles in medical sales, during the recession of 1981, while the television blares in the background with the voice of President Reagan discussing the financial plight of our nation. In this snippet, we hear Reagan talk about the urgent need for our national leaders to face the $50 billion deficit.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, May 04, 2007

Watch the French Elections and Neutral US Payrolls to Target Euro 1.3470 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

We mentioned in Thursday morning's note that: "a strong services ISM from the US including a favorable employment index is expected to trigger renewed euro selling towards 1.3570, a break of which could extend to 1.3545-50". Indeed, EURUSD fell from 1.36 to 1.3570 and is now trading at 1.3548, with the low being 1.3547.

This point represents the 38% retracement of the $1.3339-1.3680 move. But we do expect the pair to stabilize back towards the 1.3580s by Friday European trade ahead of US payrolls.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Can the “Axis of Crude Oil” Topple the US Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Were it not for its “reserve currency” status, slowly turning into a post-World War II relic, the US dollar would have already collapsed by now. A string of $4.4 trillion of US trade deficits since 1996, and a heavy reliance on foreign money to fund its external imbalance, has severely weakened America's global economic leadership over the past five years.

The US dollar survives, due to America's political stability, its military might in the Persian Gulf, its large $12.5 trillion economy (28% of global GDP), and deep and liquid financial markets for bonds and stocks. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Monday, April 30, 2007

Forgive me for being blunt, but the U.S. dollar is sinking into the toilet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes : Yesterday, we enjoyed the gala finale of the ballroom dance competition here in Venice and we finally had some quality time off.

But this morning, we'll soon be on our way to the Venice airport for our flight back to the U.S. So forgive me if my message to you is both brief and blunt:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, April 27, 2007

How Far Can The US Dollar Index Go? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mario_Innecco

The dollar index measures the dollar's performance against the world's other major currencies. According to Bloomberg the index is weighted as follows: 57.6% euro, 13.6% Japanese yen, 11.9% British pound, 9.1% Canadian dollar, 4.2% swedish krona and 3.6% Swiss franc.

The chart below shows how the index has formed a massive head and shoulder formation over the last fifteen years. The neckline of this formation is formed by connecting the low of 80.05 in April 1995 and the low of 80.39 in December 2004.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Investment Flash: Is the US Dollar Going To Fall Off The Cliff? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Paul_Lamont

Financial markets trade on future expectations. At turning points, the majority of investors position themselves on the wrong side of the trade. Simply put, on each side of the trade it's either money or numbers.

We position ourselves with money and against numbers. For example, days after Hurricane Katrina had hit the U.S., the belief that crude oil could only go higher was widespread. In fact, on Sept 7 th , 2005 96 % of advisors and analysts surveyed by CONSENSUS, Inc. were bullish on oil (chart below). Or simply put, big numbers were betting against big money. And what happened? The crude price subsequently fell 20%. Big money won.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2007

US Dollar Myths / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Without shying away from controversy, we do away with a number of myths of why the dollar ought to move up or down.

Myth I: The dollar is safe because the U.S. has ample assets
Some say the current account deficit that requires foreigners to arrange for over $3 billion of capital inflows every business day just to keep the dollar from falling does not matter. These pundits say a deficit of 6.5% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is sustainable because the deficit is only about 1% of all private assets held in the U.S.; as a result, deficits could be carried a long, long time.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Currencies, They Are All Sinking! Part II / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mario_Innecco

Last December we wrote in “They Are All Sinking” about how our present monetary system is a dollar based system and how it has evolved. We also noted how all the major so called hard currencies, along with the dollar, had been losing value against gold since 2001. In part II we will be giving an update on how the major fiat currencies are faring against gold at the present time.

We recommend readers go over to part I in order to get a better idea of how our fiat monetary system has evolved.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

China's GDP May Threaten Yen Carry Trades / Currencies / Yen Carry Trade

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Going into Thursday's trading, FX traders will watch the return of major economic data from the US and Canada. But before previewing these events and their FX implications, it's worth giving synopsis on what happened in the NY session. There are some doubts about the durability of the carry trade (selling yen across the board simultaneous with rising gold and equities).

We have seen in early morning NY (around 8-9 am EST) how the yen rallied across the board, dragging the dollar, pound and euro. Rumors of a hedge fund caught in the wrong side of the rising pound and as well as rumblings of renewed reports of sub-prime defaults also led to some unwinding, which caused US stocks to open lower. With US equities struggling into record territory, a loss of momentum could easily turn into sharp selling in the event of a weak reading in the leading indicators and Philly Fed index.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Sunday, April 15, 2007

What Does a Dollar of Debt Buy You? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

This weekend I am in La Jolla at good friend Rob Arnott's conference. Princeton Professor Burton Malkiel, of Random Walk fame, will be one of the luminaries at the annual Research Affiliates Advisory Panel. So, with that thought in mind, this week we take a seemingly random walk through the data to see if we can discern a trend.

How much debt does it take to grow GDP? You probably missed it, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics gives us data that contradicts the recent labor numbers. Why is consumer sentiment so moribund? And that recession I predicted for 2007? I have a few thoughts on that as well. It should make for an interesting letter with a lot of great charts and graphs.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, April 13, 2007

US Dollar Perched Precariously on a Precipice / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

The dollar is no longer responding to traditional stimulants. This week, despite the apparently "hawkish" tone in the recently released Fed minutes, and trade deficit figures that were slightly less horrific than expected, the dollar nevertheless declined against just about every currency on the planet. As a result, it now teeters dangerously close to the edge of a very large precipice. Looming large is the 80 level of the U.S. Dollar Index which has stood as long term support for almost thirty years.

This week, the Index broke below 82, and is sinking fast. When this critical level is breached, look out below. Without any support beneath it, the dollar could literally fall off a cliff.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Unsustainable Trade Deficit Means Doomsday for the Greenback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

The American people are in La-la land. If they had any idea of what the Federal Reserve was up to they'd be out on the streets waving fists and pitchforks. Instead, we go our business like nothing is wrong.

Are we really that stupid?

What is it that people don't understand about the trade deficit? It's not rocket science. The Current Account Deficit is over $800 billion a year. That means that we are spending more than we are making and savaging the dollar in the process. Presently, we need more than $2 billion of foreign investment per day just to keep the wheels from coming off the cart.

Everyone agrees that the current trade imbalances are unsustainable and will probably trigger major economic disruptions that will thrust us towards a global recession. Still, Washington and the Fed stubbornly resist any change in policy that might reduce over-consumption or reverse present trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 12, 2007

US Inflation and the Falling Dollar - You're being lied to! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes : Recently I told you how the Dow has lost over 50% of its value since 2001, despite its recent gains. Put another way, if you bought all the stocks in the Dow Jones Industrials back in 2001, the purchasing power of your investment today would be less than half what it was back then.

I don't know about you, but I think losing 50% of your money's purchasing power is an outright disaster. Even worse, most investors fail to recognize this has happened. That's because the government is lying about inflation.

Today, I want to talk about the root of the problem — the terribly weak U.S. dollar. And I'll tell you what its consequence, rising inflation, means for your portfolio. Because if you don't grasp what's happening, your investments will get killed.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Euro to Rally on Further ECB Interest Rate hikes and Yen Carry Trade / Currencies / Euro

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Hardly a dull moment in the currency market these days. Much attention centers upon central bank actions. The Bank of Japan held steady, as world speculators thank heavens. The Euro Central Bank held steady, as the US bankers thank heavens. But the ECB aint done hiking. The Bank of England held steady, just like the ECB, but earlier. The Reserve Bank of Australia held steady, from Down Undah. The Bank of Canada held steady, but now markets think they could hike soon. We live in a bond driven world, totally divorced from economic fundamentals, trade deficits, mismanaged economies, and bankrupt policies.

Some brief points are provided on currency matters, each detailed more fully in the April Hat Trick Letter due out over next weekend, the US income tax deadline. They all are pertinent to gold. From the other side of the chasm is the housing & mortgage crisis, another impetus for gold. Let it be known we have a 3-SIGMA event on our hands, a credit derivative early stage in the meltdown.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Currency Charts Analysis & Strategy: EURUSD, AUDCAD and USDJPY / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The dollar is little changed after the release of FOMC minutes, which shed more detail on the Fed's decision to downgrade its view on growth and housing, but also stepped up its inflation vigilance. The minutes noted that: "Most participants continued to expect that core inflation would slow gradually, but the recent readings on inflation and productivity growth, along with higher energy prices, had increased the odds that inflation would fail to moderate as expected" . Such a statement affirms that inflation remains the principal risk to the Fed's economic assessment even as it witnesses the gradual data deterioration of the US economy.

The minutes will help provide some support to the greenback until Thursday's data releases.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Page << | 1 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 110 | 120 | 130 | 140 | 150 | 160 | 170 | 171 | 172 | 173 | 174 | 175 | 176 | >>