Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered - Barry_M_Ferguson
2.Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? - Richard_Mills
3.US China War - Thucydides Trap and gold - Richard_Mills
4.Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Money Saving Kids Gardening Growing Giant Sunflowers Summer Fun - Anika_Walayat
6.US Dollar Breakdown Begins, Gold Price to Bolt Higher - Jim_Willie_CB
7.INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing to Profit From AI Machine Learning Boom - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Will Google AI Kill Us? Man vs Machine Intelligence - N_Walayat
9.US Prepares for Currency War with China - Richard_Mills
10.Gold Price Epochal Breakout Will Not Be Negated by a Correction - Clive Maund
Last 7 days
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - 21st Sep 19
Is Stock Market Price Revaluation Event About To Happen? - 21st Sep 19
Gold Leads, Will the Rest Follow? - 21st Sep 19
Are Cowboys Really Dreaming of... Electric Trucks? - 21st Sep 19
Gold among Negative-Yielding Bonds - 20th Sep 19
Panicky Fed Flooding Overnight Markets with Cash - 20th Sep 19
Uber Stock Price Will Crash on November 6 - 20th Sep 19
Semiconductor Stocks Sector Market & Economic Leader - 20th Sep 19
Learning Artificial Intelligence - What is a Neural Network? - 20th Sep 19
Precious Metals Setting Up Another Momentum Base/Bottom - 20th Sep 19
Small Marketing Budget? No Problem! - 20th Sep 19
The Many Forex Trading Opportunities the Fed Day Has Dealt Us - 19th Sep 19
Fed Cuts Interest Rates and Gold Drops. Again - 19th Sep 19
Silver Still Cheap Relative to Gold, Trend Forecast Update Video - 19th Sep 19
Baby Boomers Are the Worst Investors in the World - 19th Sep 19
Your $1,229 FREE Tticket to Elliott Market Analysis & Trading Set-ups - 19th Sep 19
Is The Stock Market Other Shoe About To Drop With Fed News? - 19th Sep 19
Bitcoin Price 2019 Trend Current State - 18th Sep 19
No More Realtors… These Start-ups Will Buy Your House in Less than 20 Days - 18th Sep 19
Gold Bugs And Manipulation Theorists Unite – Another “Manipulation” Indictment - 18th Sep 19
Central Bankers' Desperate Grab for Power - 18th Sep 19
Oil Shock! Will War Drums, Inflation Fears Ignite Gold and Silver Markets? - 18th Sep 19
Importance Of Internal Rate Of Return For A Business - 18th Sep 19
Gold Bull Market Ultimate Upside Target - 17th Sep 19
Gold Spikes on the Saudi Oil Attacks: Can It Last? - 17th Sep 19
Stock Market VIX To Begin A New Uptrend and What it Means - 17th Sep 19
Philippines, China and US: Joint Exploration Vs Rearmament and Nuclear Weapons - 17th Sep 19
What Are The Real Upside Targets For Crude Oil Price Post Drone Attack? - 17th Sep 19
Curse of Technology Weapons - 17th Sep 19
Media Hypes Recession Whilst Trump Proposes a Tax on Savings - 17th Sep 19
Understanding Ways To Stretch Your Investments Further - 17th Sep 19
Trading Natural Gas As The Season Changes - 16th Sep 19
Cameco Crash, Uranium Sector Won’t Catch a break - 16th Sep 19
These Indicators Point to an Early 2020 Economic Downturn - 16th Sep 19
Gold When Global Insanity Prevails - 16th Sep 19
Stock Market Looking Toppy - 16th Sep 19
Is the Stocks Bull Market Nearing an End? - 16th Sep 19
US Stock Market Indexes Continue to Rally Within A Defined Range - 16th Sep 19
What If Gold Is NOT In A New Bull Market? - 16th Sep 19
A History Lesson For Pundits Who Don’t Believe Stocks Are Overvalued - 16th Sep 19
The Disconnect Between Millennials and Real Estate - 16th Sep 19
Tech Giants Will Crash in the Next Stock Market Downturn - 15th Sep 19
Will Draghi’s Swan Song Revive the Eurozone? And Gold? - 15th Sep 19
The Race to Depreciate Fiat Currencies Is Accelerating - 15th Sep 19
Can Crypto casino beat Hybrid casino - 15th Sep 19
British Pound GBP vs Brexit Chaos Timeline - 14th Sep 19
Recession 2020 Forecast : The New Risks & New Profits Of A Grand Experiment - 14th Sep 19
War Gaming the US-China Trade War - 14th Sep 19
Buying a Budgie, Parakeet for the First Time from a Pet Shop - Jollyes UK - 14th Sep 19
Crude Oil Price Setting Up For A Downside Price Rotation - 13th Sep 19
A “Looming” Recession Is a Gold Golden Opportunity - 13th Sep 19
Is 2019 Similar to 2007? What Does It Mean For Gold? - 13th Sep 19
How Did the Philippines Establish Itself as a World Leader in Call Centre Outsourcing? - 13th Sep 19
UK General Election Forecast 2019 - Betting Market Odds - 13th Sep 19
Energy Sector Reaches Key Low Point – Start Looking For The Next Move - 13th Sep 19
Weakening Shale Productivity "VERY Bullish" For Oil Prices - 13th Sep 19
Stock Market Dow to 38,000 by 2022 - 13th Sep 19 - readtheticker
Gold under NIRP? | Negative Interest Rates vs Bullion - 12th Sep 19
Land Rover Discovery Sport Brake Pads and Discs's Replace, Dealer Check and Cost - 12th Sep 19
Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? - 12th Sep 19
Increased Pension Liabilities During the Coming Stock Market Crash - 12th Sep 19
Gold at Support: the Upcoming Move - 12th Sep 19
Precious Metals, US Dollar, Stocks – How It All Relates – Part II - 12th Sep 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Natural Gas Active Traders Report

Commodities / Commodities Trading Jun 22, 2009 - 12:50 AM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Commodities

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePrecious metals like silver and gold have pulled back to support levels and trending sideways. This week will be interested as we watch prices bounce or breakdown. The energy sector looks be breaking down with more power as the bullish percent index for energy stocks dropped substantially last week.


Precious Metals Sector
The bullish percent index tells us the percentage of gold stocks which currently have a point and figure buy signal. Looking at the charts below it looks as though precious metals are trading at support. I am inclined to think we will get a bounce this week for gold and silver.

Hui:Gold Ratio
When this chart is trending up gold bullion and gold stocks are in favor and rallying. This ratio is currently at a support level which is pointing towards a bounce in the near term. This is a weekly chart so we could be 1-2 weeks away before it shows up on the chart.

Hui – Gold Stocks Index
This is an index of gold stocks. We saw prices breakout and rally in May but now they are testing support. They could go either way quickly from here.

Gold Price Action – GLD Gold Fund
As you can see gold has pulled back from resistance is now at a possible support level. From looking at the HUI:GLD price performance and stochastic indicator at the bottom of the chart which is now turning up, it points to higher prices for gold in the short term.

Silver Price Action – SLV Fund
Silver is doing much the same as gold. It has pulled back from resistance and is now looking for a bottom. Gold and silver tend to rally and correct together so if gold starts to move higher this week I expect silver to go with it.

The Energy Sector
The energy sector has been on fire the past couple months. The bullish percent indicator has broken down sharply and to confirm this we can look at the XLE energy ETF price performance indicator at the bottom of the chart. We can see that our support trend line was clearly broken last week. It looks like money is starting to rotate out of energy.

Crude Oil Price Action – USO Fund
USO has been taking a breather the past two weeks. With last weeks price action I am starting to think a much deeper correction could be just around the corner. I mentioned in a previous report that we should be looking to take some profits on a break of the dotted blue support trend line. That exit point was executed by many traders and congrats to those who pulled the trigger. Taking profits/exiting trades is one of the most difficult things to do, yet one of the most important parts of trading.

We could see the price dip back down towards the $33 level if the spec traders sell their oil positions.

Natural Gas Price Action – UNG Fund
Natural gas is now becoming the next commodity to watch. This is similar to the USO breakout earlier this year. The chart price action and volume look the same. While UNG had a breakout and buy signal last week, no position was taken because risk was over 12% which is very high in my opinion.

My trading model has been fine tuned to minimize risk to 3% and to provide the highest probability trade setups. Don’t ask me why but when trade setups carry more than 3% risk there is a higher probability that the trade will not work anyways. So that is the main reason I follow my trading model and rules so well.

Active Traders Conclusion:
We are currently waiting for precious metals for find support. Whether it is at this level or lower I do not know for sure. But either way there will not be a buy signal generated until some type of support level has been found and momentum is trending up again.

As for the energy sector, we have seen a massive run in oil prices. The rally looks a little long in the teeth and the technical indicators are starting to breakdown. Natural gas looks exciting and volume is picking up but I am staying clear of it for now. If the energy sector continues to find selling pressure this week I figure it will hold Nat Gas down as well.

Hello, I'm Chris Vermeulen founder of TheGoldAndOilGuy and NOW is YOUR Opportunity to start trading GOLD, SILVER & OIL for BIG PROFITS.  Let me help you get started.

If you would like more information on my trading model or to receive my Free Weekly Trading Reports - Click Here

I have put together a Recession Special package for yearly subscribers which is if you join for a year ($299) I will send you $300 FREE in gas, merchandise or grocery vouchers FREE which work with all gas stations, all grocery stores and over 100 different retail outlets in USA & Canada.

If you have any questions please feel free to send me an email. My passion is to help others and for us all to make money together with little down side risk.

To Your Financial Success,

By Chris Vermeulen
Chris@TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

Please visit my website for more information. http://www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

Chris Vermeulen is Founder of the popular trading site TheGoldAndOilGuy.com.  There he shares his highly successful, low-risk trading method.  For 6 years Chris has been a leader in teaching others to skillfully trade in gold, oil, and silver in both bull and bear markets.  Subscribers to his service depend on Chris' uniquely consistent investment opportunities that carry exceptionally low risk and high return.

This article is intended solely for information purposes. The opinions are those of the author only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before making any investment/trading decision. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis.  

Chris Vermeulen Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules