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Zero Sum Nature of Commodites and Forex Trading

InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade Jul 28, 2009 - 10:48 AM GMT

By: Andrew_Abraham

InvestorEducation

There are many that do not understand that commodity trading and forex trading are a zero sum game. In other words in order for one forex or commodity trader to benefit ( make money) another trader loses money. It is very clear to me after all these years of commodity trading. Consistent winning commodity traders can only profit to the vast extent that other traders or speculators are willing to lose. Wait a minute..what does it mean “willing to lose”.


Yes, as Ed Seykota has pointed out,everyone gets out of the markets what they seek. Sadly there are many commodity and forex traders that want to gamble or just play. They get excitement out of the markets…it is fun…or a challenge. These same traders have no plan. They have no risk management. They just trade because they think they know the future. They trade on their intuition. They know better than the market in which direction the market will go. Many times they refuse to take a loss.

I am sure all of us know these type of traders.

This is one of the reasons that there exists a zero sum nature in commodity trading and forex trading. These traders losses put money in the pockets of trend following commodity trading advisors & experienced forex traders that do have a plan and understand risk. Hedgers, speculators as well the “gamblers” add liquidity to the markets. This is why trend following works…and will always work over time.

So, What separates winners from losers? Successful trend following commodity trading advisors & successful forex traders have a plan. They know it will work out over time. They know any trade means NOTHING! They know their money is made over a long period of time. They know they are not playing or gambling.Successful commodity trading advisors and successful forex traders have an edge. Their edge is that they have discipline that the majority does not have. Their edge is their patience. Their edge is that they realize they do not know the future. They realize they can have multiple small losses…and eventually they will “Stumble” into a some great long term trend and they will make alot of money.

To compound your way to wealth ( if that is your goal) you must have your edge. Your edge can be as simple as allocating to successful trend following commodity trading advisors…or if you know…NOT BELIEVE you have the discipline and patience then trade for yourself and enjoy the freedoms that commodity trading and forex trading provides.

Andrew Abraham
www.myinvestorsplace.com

Andrew Abraham has been in the financial arena since 1990. He is a commodity trading ddvisor and co manager of a Commodity Pool. Since 1993 Andrew has been a proponent of quantitative mechanical trading programs. Andrew's major concern is not only total return on investment but rather the amount of risk that one would have to tolerate in order to achieve returns He focuses on developing quant models that encompass strict risk adherence and correlation. He has been a speaker at conferences as well as an author of numerous articles. Andrew has spent years researching ideas that have the potential to outperform indices as well as maintain fewer draw downs.

Visit Angus Jackson Partners (http://www.angusjacksonpartners.com) Contact: A.Abraham@AngusJackson.com (mailto:A.Abraham@AngusJackson.com)

© 2009 Copyright Andrew Abraham - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


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