Best of the Week
Robert Prechter's - The DEFLATION Survival Guide - FREE 60 page Ebook
Most Popular of the Week
1.SELL Signal Alerts For Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Crude Oil- Anthony_Cherniawski
2.Stock Market Rally is Worth Shorting Here - Alistair_Gilbert
3.Deflationists Are WRONG, Prepare for the INFLATION Mega-Trend - Nadeem_Walayat
4.United States Economy At Zero Hour To Service Debt Mountain- John_Mauldin
5.Ukraine WHO and the Geopolitics of Swine Flu Panic- F_William_Engdahl
6.Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture?- Nadeem_Walayat
7.Zinc Dimes, Counterfeit Tungsten Gold and Lost Interest- Jim_Willie_CB
8.If This is Economic Recovery, Where Are the Increased Tax Revenues?- John_Mauldin
Weeks Analysis
Gold Trend Channel Break OutOut What Does This Mean For You?- 20th Nov 09
A Wiser Use of Borrowed Money- 20th Nov 09
Gold GLD ETF Impact- 20th Nov 09
Gold Investing Expert: Bob Moriarty Goes on Record- 20th Nov 09
Gold Contrarians Will Get Killed- 20th Nov 09
How to Profit from the Falling U.S. Dollar With ETFs- 20th Nov 09
The Pro-Free-Market Program for Economic Recovery- 20th Nov 09
Gold’s Evolving Supply and Demand - 20th Nov 09
Good Inflation- 20th Nov 09
Is the U.S. Dollar Euro On the Turn?- 20th Nov 09
Obama in China Opening the Doors for Wall Street, Nothing More- 20th Nov 09
Keynes the Man as Rotten as His Economic Theory- 20th Nov 09
The U.S. Recession Jobless Interest Rate Conundrum- 20th Nov 09
U.S. Economy is a Geriatric on Viagra- 20th Nov 09
The Great U.S. China Romance- 20th Nov 09
Gold Steam Roller Running Towards $1300- 20th Nov 09
Betting on Beryllium for the New Nuclear Fuel Technology- 20th Nov 09
Dow and NASDAQ Stock Indices Ready for Major Reversal?- 20th Nov 09
Is the S&P Stock Market Index About to Plunge or Headed Higher? - 20th Nov 09
Central Bankers Blowing Bubbles in Global Stock Markets- 19th Nov 09
What If the Foreigners Stop Buying Our Debt?- 19th Nov 09
New Technology Turns Coal Into Clean, High-Powered Gas- 19th Nov 09
Cap-And-Trade "Three-Card Monte" Dead For 2009- 19th Nov 09
UK Budget Deficit Could Hit £200 Billion, 18% of GDP- 19th Nov 09
Energy and Precious Metals ETF Trading Report- 19th Nov 09
The New World Of Investing SPDR KBW Regional Banking KRE ETF- 19th Nov 09
U.S. Debt, Where’s the Money Going to Come From?- 19th Nov 09
Show Me the Money - 19th Nov 09
The Great Geopolitical Battle Over Energy Transit Routes- 19th Nov 09
Why Exaggerate Global Warming? Cop15 Failure And Peak Oil Success - 19th Nov 09
BubbleOmics: Dubai Property Market Down And Out…Or Bounce? - 19th Nov 09
What Has Government Done to the U.S. Dollar?- 18th Nov 09
Will Consumer Spending Really be Different This Time?- 18th Nov 09
More than 130 banks will have failed by the end of 2009. Is Your Bank Safe?- 18th Nov 09
Zinc Dimes, Counterfeit Tungsten Gold and Lost Interest- 18th Nov 09
Roubini Says Gold $2,000 is Utter Nonsense- 18th Nov 09
Central Banks Increasing Gold Reserves- 18th Nov 09
Fiat Money and Debt Monetization Pushing Gold Higher- 18th Nov 09
U.S. Real Estate Market Getting Worse- 18th Nov 09
Our Steroidally Challenged Economy- 18th Nov 09
Deflationists Are WRONG, Prepare for the INFLATION Mega-Trend - 18th Nov 09
U.S. Dollar on Death Row Means Boom Time for Gold Stocks- 17th Nov 09
USA Today, China Pushes Solar, Wind Development- 17th Nov 09
Revisiting Three Stages of Stocks Bear Market Rally, Right on Schedule- 17th Nov 09
Silver Cycles, Silver-to-Gold Ratio, and the USD Index Analysis- 17th Nov 09
Global Warfare, U.S. Military Operations in All Major Regions of the World- 17th Nov 09
What Strong U.S. Dollar Policy? - 17th Nov 09
Just Sell Something, Please!- 17th Nov 09
Gold Hard Money Wins Out!- 17th Nov 09
Gold On the Fast Track Toward $1,200?- 17th Nov 09
Gold $5000 By End 2010 on Monetary Debauchment - 17th Nov 09
U.S. Economy Will Dodge Double Dip Recession- 17th Nov 09
Beware of Credit and Debit Card Foreign Usage Charges this Winter- 17th Nov 09
Silver About to Explode Higher?- 17th Nov 09
Bernanke and Pinball Could Learn A Lot From Hong Kong’s Property Bubble - 17th Nov 09
U.S. Dollar Trend to Determine Next Trend for Gold, Stocks and Other Markets - 17th Nov 09
Goldman Sachs Betting on Derivatives Collapse Sparked Financial Crash?- 17th Nov 09
United States Economy At Zero Hour To Service Debt Mountain- 17th Nov 09
Extremely Low Global Food Storage Balances to Drive Agri-Food's Bull Market- 16th Nov 09
What Bernanke's Economic Recovery Means for U.S. Jobs- 16th Nov 09
GDP Forecasts Revised Higher and Gold Boosted by Negative Returns in All Currencies- 16th Nov 09
Second U.S. Economic Stimulus Package Headed Our Way?- 16th Nov 09
The Fed's Policy of Near Zero Interest Rates- 16th Nov 09
Market Trends for Gold, Crude Oil, and the U.S. Dollar- 16th Nov 09
Five Reasons China Is Not a Bubble- 16th Nov 09
Would the U.S. Start a War to Stimulate the Economy? - 16th Nov 09
Exciting Gold Stocks Performance Down Under in Australia- 16th Nov 09
U.S. Unemployment Projected Scenarios For the Next 10 Years- 16th Nov 09
Gold Is Busting Out All Over- 16th Nov 09
ETF Commodities Trading Analysis and Forecasts for GLD, SLV and UNG- 16th Nov 09
Deficit Doubles for Government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp- 15th Nov 09
Stock Market Failed Bearish Technical Setups May Be Bullish- 15th Nov 09
Gold Long Run on Route to $2,050 via $1,575- 15th Nov 09
Silvers Paradoxical Performance Relative to Gold, Strength With Weakness- 15th Nov 09
Barack Hoover Obama, The Audacity of Failure- 15th Nov 09
How the Financial Sector Servant Became a Predator - 15th Nov 09
Gold Short-term Overbought, Longterm Parabolic Bullish- 15th Nov 09
Stock Market Trend Too Uncertain to Call- 15th Nov 09
Stock Market Smart Money Turning Bearish- 15th Nov 09
What Is At Stake With Free Trade- 15th Nov 09
The New Command Economy Impact on Stocks and Crude Oil- 15th Nov 09
China Currency Manipulation About to Trigger Protectionism Crisis- 15th Nov 09
Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture?- 15th Nov 09
China's Phony GDP Growth Data, Evidence Ordos the Empty City- 14th Nov 09
Financial System Designed Almost Exclusively to Benefit the Rich- 14th Nov 09
If This is Economic Recovery, Where Are the Increased Tax Revenues?- 14th Nov 09
Stock Market S&P500 Knocking at the 1100-1007 Door - 14th Nov 09
Stock Market Rally is Worth Shorting Here - 14th Nov 09
Manic-depressive Stock Market Inviting a Black Swan Event?- 14th Nov 09
Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System- 14th Nov 09
Gold Momentum's Picking Up Dramatically- 13th Nov 09
Bankrupt States Seeking to Boost Their Revenues By Any Means- 13th Nov 09
Expansion of Global Fiat Currencies- 13th Nov 09
Financial Asset Bubble Spotting Isn’t Hard: But Whose Job Is It?- 13th Nov 09
Gold Price 2010 Forecast $1,500 and Seasonal Influences on Precious Metals- 13th Nov 09
Is the Gold and Silver Precious Metals Top Behind Us?- 13th Nov 09
Will the U.S. Lag on Alternative Energy Again?- 13th Nov 09
Protect and Profit Before the Coming Financial and Economic Storm- 13th Nov 09
Krugman's Magic Solution to Budgetary Woes- 13th Nov 09
SPX Stock Market Pullback to Drag Commodity Stocks Lower- 13th Nov 09
Has Gold Topped Out for the Year?- 13th Nov 09
Have the Dow and S&P500 Reached a Major Turning Point?- 13th Nov 09
Latest on U.S. Interest Rates, the Fed and Asset Price Inflation- 13th Nov 09
Is Mexico the “New” China?- 13th Nov 09
Ukraine WHO and the Geopolitics of Swine Flu Panic- 13th Nov 09
It's About Gold, Not Inflation or Deflation- 13th Nov 09
Winds of Economic and Geopolitical Change- 13th Nov 09
SELL Signal Alerts For Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Crude Oil- 13th Nov 09
Buying Government Bonds is a Mugs Game- 13th Nov 09
Best Cash ISA Tax Free Savings Account Update November 2009- 13th Nov 09

News Feeds
RSS Feeds

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Most Popular 2009
1.UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012 - Nadeem_Walayat (67,933)
2.Gold Price Forecast 2009 - Nadeem_Walayat (60,634)
3.Depression 2009 The Largest Train Wreck in Economic History - Darryl_R_Schoon (56,968)
4.Nouriel Roubini 2009 U.S. GDP Forecasting 40% Home Mortgage Failures? - Andrew_Butter (47,613)
5.Baby Boomers- Your Generation's Crisis Has Arrived - James Quinn (36.400)
6.The Financial War Against Iceland, Being Defeated by Debt is as Deadly as Outright Military Warfare - Prof Michael Hudson (35,542)
7.Ten Major Threats Facing the U.S. Dollar in 2009 - Eric_deCarbonnel (35,401)
8.Emerging Giants Russia, China, Brazil and India Looming Collapse 2009 - Martin Weiss (34,247)
9.Dow Jones Stock Market Forecast 2009 - Nadeem_Walayat (33678 )
10.Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 - Nadeem_Walayat (33,082)
11. Economic & Financial Markets Forecast 2009: Collapsing Global Financial System Ponzi Scheme -Ty_Andros (32,413)
12.Hyperinflation Begining in China and Will Destroy the U.S. Dollar - Eric_deCarbonnel (31,215)
13. Stock Market Crash 2009: Fine Tuning DJIA Target To 5,800 - Eric_Chevrette (30,784)
14. .Stock Market to Fall AT LEAST Another 40%! - Martin Weiss (30,336)
15. Economic Forecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and Recession - John_Mauldin (28,922)
16.How Hedge Funds, Pyromaniacs and Gangsters Caused the Global Financial Crisis - Martin Hutchinson (28,636)
Most Popular 2008
1. The Great Depression 2008 - It can't happen to us....can it?”
2. The Battle for America Has Begun- Strategic Forecasts
3. UK House Prices Plunge Over the Cliff
4. US Banking System Teetering on the Brink of Collapse
5. US Economy Forecast 2008 - First Recession then Recovery
6. How Safe is My FDIC-Insured Bank Account?
7. Rising Risk of a Systemic Financial Meltdown:The 12 Steps to Financial Disaster By Nouriel Roubini
Most Popular 2007
1. US Housing Market Crash to result in the Second Great Depression
2. Operation FALCON - The USA is turning into a Police State
3. UK Housing Market Crash of 2007 - 2008 and Steps to Protect Your Wealth
4. US Housing Bubble Meltdown: "Is it too late to get out"?
5. Global Liquidity Crisis when the Credit Boom comes to an End
Most Popular 2006
1. Last Warning! Three-Pronged Collapse ... Stocks, Bonds and Real Estate
2. UK Interest Rate forecast for 2007 - Bank of England to do battle with inflation
3. UK Interest Rates Forecast to rise much higher due to rising Inflation and high Money Supply Growth
4. Emerging Markets outlook for 2007 - India, China, Russia, Eastern Europe and Brazil

Links

Money Forums
Certz
TradingTheCharts
Housing Market Forecasts
Local Issues


The Ultimate Analysis Handbook - FREE

U.S. U3 Unemployment Going To 13%, Link To Summers And The Russian Mafia?

Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010 Nov 08, 2009 - 05:37 AM

By: Andrew_Butter

Economics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a theory that Government Stimulus can create jobs. There have been a lot of theories banded around recently; the more they are proven to be totally wrong, the faster they come.


When President Obama announced his stimulus plan it was going to save or create 3.0 million to 3.5 Million jobs depending on what you were smoking. This is the chart from the study put out by the Council of Economic Advisors and the Office of The Vice-President Elect on 9th January 2009.

http://otrans.3cdn.net/ee40602f9a7d8172b8_ozm6bt5oi.pdf

 
Some Plan! (Actual and my projection are overlaid in red; the logic of how you get to 13% is explained here (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article13452.html )

The people behind the plan are of course the Apprentice Wizards who worked with their mentors Alan Greenspan and Dan Rubin to create the credit crunch, none other than President Obama’s Golden Boys, Timothy Geithner and Larry Summers.

Alan Greenspan we all remember as the “Man with a Theory”, this is what he had to say about his great theory when he was questioned by Congress recently:

Republican Henry Waxman asked a question:

“You have been a staunch advocate for letting markets regulate themselves, and my question for you is simple; were you wrong?”

Greenspan:     “Yes, I found a flaw and…but I’ve been very distressed by that fact”.

Waxman:        “You found a flaw in the reality…”

Greenspan:     “A flaw in the market that I perceived was the critical function and structure that defines how the world works, so to speak”.

(By the way, is that “English” wot he’s talking?).

Waxman:        “In other words you found your view of the world, your ideology was not right”.

(That’s English)

Greenspan:     “Precisely! That’s precisely the reason that I was shocked because I’d been going for forty years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well”.

Precisely! After eighteen years aggressively shaping the structure of the US economy and indeed the world economy, Alan Greenspan came to the realization that actually he didn’t know what he was doing. A bit like a chimpanzee in a nuclear power plant who accidentally pushes the wrong button…Oops!

And guess who’s “theory” is being tested out again? Well it’s none other than the great Greenspan theory that if you hand out tons of cash to the banks so they can speculate that’s what Martha Stewart calls a “Good Thing”!

If you want to see a great video of that go to:  http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/financial_markets_analysis_videos.htm

And the Men in Black this time around:

Timothy Geither we all know is the one who cheated on his taxes and was instrumental in getting Goldman Sachs 100 cents on the dollar on the exposure they had to AIG. Talk about diamonds on the soles of his shoes, and all a US taxpayer can say about that is “Thanks a lot Tim”!

Misogynist Larry Summers worked enthusiastically on the “team” to shut up and shut down Brooksley Born when she had the temerity to suggest that the new derivatives being cooked up by Wall Street should be subject to the same sort of regulation as had been keeping derivatives in agricultural futures honest for years. Presumably the fact she was a woman had something to do with that?

With the result that the OTC derivatives exposure (nominal) of banks worldwide is Err…well no one really knows but it’s certainly more than $500 trillion.

Larry the Lad is a real expert on derivatives, he managed to lose Harvard University $1 billion with his expertise in that field.

Summers was of course a big supporter of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act in 1999, which lifted more than six decades of restrictions against banks offering commercial banking, insurance, and investment services (by repealing key provisions in the 1933 Glass-Steagall Act), which paved the road that allowed the shadow banking system to milk America dry.

It’s called “Letting market participants  regulate …Err “help”…themselves”.

And that’s the same Larry the Lad who supported his “good friend” Andrei Shleifer who was convicted under the False Claims Act, after he bought Russian stocks while designing that country's privatisation. In 2004, a federal judge ruled that Shleifer and his associate were liable for treble damages.

Err….wasn’t it the Russian Mafia that controlled that scam? I mean I’ve done business in Russia (not that sort of business), one thing I know (everyone knows) is that you just don’t do those sorts of scams unless you got “protection”.

Of course everyone knows that governments don’t create employment, they create waste, and the net result of that is more unemployment.

But perhaps there is a hidden agenda here?

Perhaps the “good friends” of Larry’s “good friend” Andrei Shleifer are lining up themselves and their “protectors” up to “do it to me one more time…baby”?

I got the feeling, Mr. & Mrs. US taxpayer, that you ain’t seen nothing yet!

Hey boys there is money to be made; lots of money, the streets of America are paved with gold, (if you got protection).

By Andrew Butter

Twenty years doing market analysis and valuations for investors in the Middle East, USA, and Europe; currently writing a book about BubbleOmics. Andrew Butter is managing partner of ABMC, an investment advisory firm, based in Dubai ( hbutter@eim.ae ), that he setup in 1999, and is has been involved advising on large scale real estate investments, mainly in Dubai.

© 2009 Copyright Andrew Butter- All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Andrew Butter Archive


Comments


Post Comment (Moderated)




(Note Commenting Issue: If after Submitting you are returned to the Main Index Page then due to site caching your comment has not been accepted. Solution - Click the Browser Back Button to the article page and Press PAGE REFRESH (you should see the message "You are not authorized to carry out this operation") Now re-enter your comment (ignoring the notice) - If all's well then you will remain on the article page after submitting, a moderator will check and authorise the comment. Alternatively EMAIL to comments @ marketoracle.co.uk , quoting the article number.

FREE Deflation Survival GuideFREE Updated 118 Page Independant Investor E-book