Best of the Week
Robert Prechter's - The DEFLATION Survival Guide - FREE 60 page Ebook
Most Popular of the Week
1.SELL Signal Alerts For Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Crude Oil- Anthony_Cherniawski
2.Stock Market Rally is Worth Shorting Here - Alistair_Gilbert
3.Deflationists Are WRONG, Prepare for the INFLATION Mega-Trend - Nadeem_Walayat
4.United States Economy At Zero Hour To Service Debt Mountain- John_Mauldin
5.Ukraine WHO and the Geopolitics of Swine Flu Panic- F_William_Engdahl
6.Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture?- Nadeem_Walayat
7.Zinc Dimes, Counterfeit Tungsten Gold and Lost Interest- Jim_Willie_CB
8.If This is Economic Recovery, Where Are the Increased Tax Revenues?- John_Mauldin
Weeks Analysis
Gold Trend Channel Break OutOut What Does This Mean For You?- 20th Nov 09
A Wiser Use of Borrowed Money- 20th Nov 09
Gold GLD ETF Impact- 20th Nov 09
Gold Investing Expert: Bob Moriarty Goes on Record- 20th Nov 09
Gold Contrarians Will Get Killed- 20th Nov 09
How to Profit from the Falling U.S. Dollar With ETFs- 20th Nov 09
The Pro-Free-Market Program for Economic Recovery- 20th Nov 09
Gold’s Evolving Supply and Demand - 20th Nov 09
Good Inflation- 20th Nov 09
Is the U.S. Dollar Euro On the Turn?- 20th Nov 09
Obama in China Opening the Doors for Wall Street, Nothing More- 20th Nov 09
Keynes the Man as Rotten as His Economic Theory- 20th Nov 09
The U.S. Recession Jobless Interest Rate Conundrum- 20th Nov 09
U.S. Economy is a Geriatric on Viagra- 20th Nov 09
The Great U.S. China Romance- 20th Nov 09
Gold Steam Roller Running Towards $1300- 20th Nov 09
Betting on Beryllium for the New Nuclear Fuel Technology- 20th Nov 09
Dow and NASDAQ Stock Indices Ready for Major Reversal?- 20th Nov 09
Is the S&P Stock Market Index About to Plunge or Headed Higher? - 20th Nov 09
Central Bankers Blowing Bubbles in Global Stock Markets- 19th Nov 09
What If the Foreigners Stop Buying Our Debt?- 19th Nov 09
New Technology Turns Coal Into Clean, High-Powered Gas- 19th Nov 09
Cap-And-Trade "Three-Card Monte" Dead For 2009- 19th Nov 09
UK Budget Deficit Could Hit £200 Billion, 18% of GDP- 19th Nov 09
Energy and Precious Metals ETF Trading Report- 19th Nov 09
The New World Of Investing SPDR KBW Regional Banking KRE ETF- 19th Nov 09
U.S. Debt, Where’s the Money Going to Come From?- 19th Nov 09
Show Me the Money - 19th Nov 09
The Great Geopolitical Battle Over Energy Transit Routes- 19th Nov 09
Why Exaggerate Global Warming? Cop15 Failure And Peak Oil Success - 19th Nov 09
BubbleOmics: Dubai Property Market Down And Out…Or Bounce? - 19th Nov 09
What Has Government Done to the U.S. Dollar?- 18th Nov 09
Will Consumer Spending Really be Different This Time?- 18th Nov 09
More than 130 banks will have failed by the end of 2009. Is Your Bank Safe?- 18th Nov 09
Zinc Dimes, Counterfeit Tungsten Gold and Lost Interest- 18th Nov 09
Roubini Says Gold $2,000 is Utter Nonsense- 18th Nov 09
Central Banks Increasing Gold Reserves- 18th Nov 09
Fiat Money and Debt Monetization Pushing Gold Higher- 18th Nov 09
U.S. Real Estate Market Getting Worse- 18th Nov 09
Our Steroidally Challenged Economy- 18th Nov 09
Deflationists Are WRONG, Prepare for the INFLATION Mega-Trend - 18th Nov 09
U.S. Dollar on Death Row Means Boom Time for Gold Stocks- 17th Nov 09
USA Today, China Pushes Solar, Wind Development- 17th Nov 09
Revisiting Three Stages of Stocks Bear Market Rally, Right on Schedule- 17th Nov 09
Silver Cycles, Silver-to-Gold Ratio, and the USD Index Analysis- 17th Nov 09
Global Warfare, U.S. Military Operations in All Major Regions of the World- 17th Nov 09
What Strong U.S. Dollar Policy? - 17th Nov 09
Just Sell Something, Please!- 17th Nov 09
Gold Hard Money Wins Out!- 17th Nov 09
Gold On the Fast Track Toward $1,200?- 17th Nov 09
Gold $5000 By End 2010 on Monetary Debauchment - 17th Nov 09
U.S. Economy Will Dodge Double Dip Recession- 17th Nov 09
Beware of Credit and Debit Card Foreign Usage Charges this Winter- 17th Nov 09
Silver About to Explode Higher?- 17th Nov 09
Bernanke and Pinball Could Learn A Lot From Hong Kong’s Property Bubble - 17th Nov 09
U.S. Dollar Trend to Determine Next Trend for Gold, Stocks and Other Markets - 17th Nov 09
Goldman Sachs Betting on Derivatives Collapse Sparked Financial Crash?- 17th Nov 09
United States Economy At Zero Hour To Service Debt Mountain- 17th Nov 09
Extremely Low Global Food Storage Balances to Drive Agri-Food's Bull Market- 16th Nov 09
What Bernanke's Economic Recovery Means for U.S. Jobs- 16th Nov 09
GDP Forecasts Revised Higher and Gold Boosted by Negative Returns in All Currencies- 16th Nov 09
Second U.S. Economic Stimulus Package Headed Our Way?- 16th Nov 09
The Fed's Policy of Near Zero Interest Rates- 16th Nov 09
Market Trends for Gold, Crude Oil, and the U.S. Dollar- 16th Nov 09
Five Reasons China Is Not a Bubble- 16th Nov 09
Would the U.S. Start a War to Stimulate the Economy? - 16th Nov 09
Exciting Gold Stocks Performance Down Under in Australia- 16th Nov 09
U.S. Unemployment Projected Scenarios For the Next 10 Years- 16th Nov 09
Gold Is Busting Out All Over- 16th Nov 09
ETF Commodities Trading Analysis and Forecasts for GLD, SLV and UNG- 16th Nov 09
Deficit Doubles for Government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp- 15th Nov 09
Stock Market Failed Bearish Technical Setups May Be Bullish- 15th Nov 09
Gold Long Run on Route to $2,050 via $1,575- 15th Nov 09
Silvers Paradoxical Performance Relative to Gold, Strength With Weakness- 15th Nov 09
Barack Hoover Obama, The Audacity of Failure- 15th Nov 09
How the Financial Sector Servant Became a Predator - 15th Nov 09
Gold Short-term Overbought, Longterm Parabolic Bullish- 15th Nov 09
Stock Market Trend Too Uncertain to Call- 15th Nov 09
Stock Market Smart Money Turning Bearish- 15th Nov 09
What Is At Stake With Free Trade- 15th Nov 09
The New Command Economy Impact on Stocks and Crude Oil- 15th Nov 09
China Currency Manipulation About to Trigger Protectionism Crisis- 15th Nov 09
Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture?- 15th Nov 09
China's Phony GDP Growth Data, Evidence Ordos the Empty City- 14th Nov 09
Financial System Designed Almost Exclusively to Benefit the Rich- 14th Nov 09
If This is Economic Recovery, Where Are the Increased Tax Revenues?- 14th Nov 09
Stock Market S&P500 Knocking at the 1100-1007 Door - 14th Nov 09
Stock Market Rally is Worth Shorting Here - 14th Nov 09
Manic-depressive Stock Market Inviting a Black Swan Event?- 14th Nov 09
Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System- 14th Nov 09
Gold Momentum's Picking Up Dramatically- 13th Nov 09
Bankrupt States Seeking to Boost Their Revenues By Any Means- 13th Nov 09
Expansion of Global Fiat Currencies- 13th Nov 09
Financial Asset Bubble Spotting Isn’t Hard: But Whose Job Is It?- 13th Nov 09
Gold Price 2010 Forecast $1,500 and Seasonal Influences on Precious Metals- 13th Nov 09
Is the Gold and Silver Precious Metals Top Behind Us?- 13th Nov 09
Will the U.S. Lag on Alternative Energy Again?- 13th Nov 09
Protect and Profit Before the Coming Financial and Economic Storm- 13th Nov 09
Krugman's Magic Solution to Budgetary Woes- 13th Nov 09
SPX Stock Market Pullback to Drag Commodity Stocks Lower- 13th Nov 09
Has Gold Topped Out for the Year?- 13th Nov 09
Have the Dow and S&P500 Reached a Major Turning Point?- 13th Nov 09
Latest on U.S. Interest Rates, the Fed and Asset Price Inflation- 13th Nov 09
Is Mexico the “New” China?- 13th Nov 09
Ukraine WHO and the Geopolitics of Swine Flu Panic- 13th Nov 09
It's About Gold, Not Inflation or Deflation- 13th Nov 09
Winds of Economic and Geopolitical Change- 13th Nov 09
SELL Signal Alerts For Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Crude Oil- 13th Nov 09
Buying Government Bonds is a Mugs Game- 13th Nov 09
Best Cash ISA Tax Free Savings Account Update November 2009- 13th Nov 09

News Feeds
RSS Feeds

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Most Popular 2009
1.UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012 - Nadeem_Walayat (67,933)
2.Gold Price Forecast 2009 - Nadeem_Walayat (60,634)
3.Depression 2009 The Largest Train Wreck in Economic History - Darryl_R_Schoon (56,968)
4.Nouriel Roubini 2009 U.S. GDP Forecasting 40% Home Mortgage Failures? - Andrew_Butter (47,613)
5.Baby Boomers- Your Generation's Crisis Has Arrived - James Quinn (36.400)
6.The Financial War Against Iceland, Being Defeated by Debt is as Deadly as Outright Military Warfare - Prof Michael Hudson (35,542)
7.Ten Major Threats Facing the U.S. Dollar in 2009 - Eric_deCarbonnel (35,401)
8.Emerging Giants Russia, China, Brazil and India Looming Collapse 2009 - Martin Weiss (34,247)
9.Dow Jones Stock Market Forecast 2009 - Nadeem_Walayat (33678 )
10.Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 - Nadeem_Walayat (33,082)
11. Economic & Financial Markets Forecast 2009: Collapsing Global Financial System Ponzi Scheme -Ty_Andros (32,413)
12.Hyperinflation Begining in China and Will Destroy the U.S. Dollar - Eric_deCarbonnel (31,215)
13. Stock Market Crash 2009: Fine Tuning DJIA Target To 5,800 - Eric_Chevrette (30,784)
14. .Stock Market to Fall AT LEAST Another 40%! - Martin Weiss (30,336)
15. Economic Forecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and Recession - John_Mauldin (28,922)
16.How Hedge Funds, Pyromaniacs and Gangsters Caused the Global Financial Crisis - Martin Hutchinson (28,636)
Most Popular 2008
1. The Great Depression 2008 - It can't happen to us....can it?”
2. The Battle for America Has Begun- Strategic Forecasts
3. UK House Prices Plunge Over the Cliff
4. US Banking System Teetering on the Brink of Collapse
5. US Economy Forecast 2008 - First Recession then Recovery
6. How Safe is My FDIC-Insured Bank Account?
7. Rising Risk of a Systemic Financial Meltdown:The 12 Steps to Financial Disaster By Nouriel Roubini
Most Popular 2007
1. US Housing Market Crash to result in the Second Great Depression
2. Operation FALCON - The USA is turning into a Police State
3. UK Housing Market Crash of 2007 - 2008 and Steps to Protect Your Wealth
4. US Housing Bubble Meltdown: "Is it too late to get out"?
5. Global Liquidity Crisis when the Credit Boom comes to an End
Most Popular 2006
1. Last Warning! Three-Pronged Collapse ... Stocks, Bonds and Real Estate
2. UK Interest Rate forecast for 2007 - Bank of England to do battle with inflation
3. UK Interest Rates Forecast to rise much higher due to rising Inflation and high Money Supply Growth
4. Emerging Markets outlook for 2007 - India, China, Russia, Eastern Europe and Brazil

Links

Money Forums
Certz
TradingTheCharts
Housing Market Forecasts
Local Issues


The Ultimate Analysis Handbook - FREE

How the Fed Helped Fund World War I

Politics / Fiat Currency Nov 12, 2009 - 01:41 PM

By: John_Paul_Koning

Politics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernments can pay their bills in three ways: taxes, debt, and inflation. The public usually recognizes the first two, for they are difficult to hide. But the third tends to go unnoticed by the public because it involves a slow and subtle reduction in the value of money, a policy usually unarticulated and complex in design.


In this article, I will look under the hood of the Federal Reserve during World War I to explain the actual tools and levers used by monetary authorities to reduce the value of the public's money in order to fund government war spending. This example will help readers better understand the more general idea of an "inflation tax," and how such a tax might be used in the future to fund the state's wars.

It is the government's monopoly over the money supply that allows it to resort to inflation as a form of raising revenue. Kings and queens, by secretly reducing the amount of gold in coins they issued to the public, could use the gold held back to pay for their own pet conquests. Slowly the public would discover that the coins they were using had less gold than the amount indicated on their face. Their value would be bid down, and the coin-holding public would bear the costs in lost purchasing power.

Legal-tender laws adopted by governments prevented the public from exchanging bad coins at less than their face value. A fall in market value, after all, would cut off a significant future revenue source: the government's ability to issue bad coins at inflated values.

The use of force to subsidize an inferior coin's value reduced its capacity to provide the holder with certainty, corrupted the informational value of the prices it provided, and diminished the public's trust in the money. This decline in a monetary system's efficacy due to bad money and legal-tender laws is always a cost born by the money-using public.

Just as kings debased coins to help pay for their wars, the Federal Reserve used inflation to help pay for US participation in World War I. It did so by creating and issuing dollars in return for government debt. In effect, the Fed's balance sheet became a repository for war bonds. Furthermore, the Fed brought this debt onto its balance sheet at a higher price than the market would have paid otherwise, a subsidy born by all those who held money as its purchasing power declined.

Before explaining how this process worked, it is necessary to know a few things about the Fed. The institution began operations in 1914 on the "real-bills" principle. Member banks could borrow cash from the Fed, but only by submitting "real bills" as collateral.

These bills were short-term debt instruments that were created by commercial organization to help fund their continuing operations. The bills were in turn backed by business inventories, the "real" in real bills. By discounting or lending cash to banks on real bills, the Fed could increase the money supply.

The original Section 16 of the Federal Reserve Act required that all circulating notes issued by the central bank be backed 100% by real bills. On top of this, an additional 40% gold reserve was to be held by the Fed. In those days, Federal Reserve notes — a liability of the Fed — were convertible into gold, and the 40% gold reserve added additional security. Thus, for each dollar liability it issued, the Fed held 140% assets in its vaults, or one dollar in real bills and 40¢ in gold on the asset side of its balance sheet.

The Fed was also permitted to engage in open-market purchases of government debt and banker's acceptances. But government debt was not of a commercial nature, and therefore was not considered a real bill. Because the 100% "real"-backing requirement for notes could not be satisfied by Fed holdings of government debt, the Fed could only issue a limited number of notes for government debt before running up against the 100% requirement.

Thus, the real-bills doctrine as set out in the Federal Reserve Act significantly hemmed off the Fed's balance sheet from serving as a bin for the accumulation of government debt and claims to government debt. To help finance the war, which it had entered into in April 1917, the US government would have to open up the Fed's balance sheet to the Treasury's war debt.

"To help finance the war, the US government would have to open up the Fed's balance sheet to the Treasury's war debt."

A major step was taken in June 1917 with the relaxation of the double requirement of 100% real bills and 40% gold for each dollar issued. A small change to Section 16 now meant that the 40% gold reserve could simultaneously substitute for 40% of the real-bills requirement.

Rather than holding $1.40 in assets for each $1.00 issued ($1.00 real bills, 40¢ gold), the Fed now only needed to hold $1.00, comprised of 40¢ gold and 60¢ real bills. This freed up a significant amount of the Fed's collateral for new issues of notes.

An earlier step to harness the Fed for war-financing purposes was the 1916 addition of Section 13.8 to the Federal Reserve Act. This change allowed the Fed for the first time to make loans to member banks with government debt serving as collateral. But such collateral was not considered a real bill, and therefore was not eligible to contribute to the 100% "real" backing requirement for dollars issued.

Thus, while loans on government debt were now permitted, their quantity was significantly limited. Only if there was some "slack" comprised of excess Fed holdings of real bills backing the note issue could 13.8 loans be made.

With the United States gearing up for the war, President Woodrow Wilson announced in April 1917 the first war-bond issues, or "Liberty-bond" drives. To help prop up the war-bond market, another change was made to the Act to further pry open the Fed's balance sheet to the acceptance of government debt. Section 13.8 loans were now permitted to serve along with real bills and gold as eligible backing assets for Federal Reserve notes.

Thus, the 60% "real"-backing requirement could be satisfied not only by real bills, but also "nonreal" government debt. The Fed now faced no constraints in bringing government debt onto its balance sheet to expand the note issue.

The ability to lend on the security of government debt was further strengthened by the Fed's adoption of a preferential discount rate on all Section 13.8 loans secured by Liberty bonds. This rate was set at 3%, a full percent below the regular discount rate.

According to Fishe,[1] member banks could make a profit on the spread by buying 3.5% Liberty bonds at government-debt auctions, then funding these purchases by submitting the bonds to the Fed as collateral for loans at the preferential rate of 3%. "If member banks subscribed to the entire Liberty bond issue by this method … they stood to gain $410,958 tax-free every fifteen days," writes Fishe.

The immediate result of these changes was a massive increase in the Fed's balance sheet, driven almost entirely by Fed loans to member banks secured by government debt. This is best observed in our chart above. The discounts/advances component of Federal Reserve assets (in blue) quickly expanded in 1917. By 1919, discounts collateralized by government debt grew to almost 100% of all discounts made (line on bottom of chart). Collateral submitted prior to the changes had been primarily private debt.

The modifications that freed up the Fed's collateral requirements now allowed the Fed's balance sheet to act as a very effective "sink" for the accumulation of government war debt. No longer need the Treasury depend on the wherewithal of private individuals and banks to bring government debt onto their own balance sheets — they now had the central bank's balance sheet to count on.

"By 1920 a dollar would buy about half the goods it was capable of purchasing in 1914."

Furthermore, by overvaluing government debt collateral through the preferential discount rate, the Fed created an incentive system that encouraged the private sector to utilize the Fed as a "sink." Private investors could acquire Liberty bonds, then submit them for cut-price discount loans.

The US Treasury was happy with this setup, as it meant that Liberty-bond drives would be met with significant demand from investors. The necessity of luring investors away from competing private-sector bond issuers by posting high rates was avoided. Now the Treasury could skirt the competition by using the Fed to provide subsidized loans through the preferential rate.

The result of all these machinations was a significant inflation, which varied between 13% and 20% for most of the war, up from the 1% inflation rate experienced in the Fed's first year. By 1920 a dollar would buy about half the goods it was capable of purchasing in 1914.

To sum up, by overvaluing government debt, the Fed was able to issue money at a faster rate than it would otherwise have been capable of. The private sector, lured by the dangling carrot of an easy discount policy, went to the Fed for cash, but the sector had no real long-term demand for these dollars and tried to offload them, resulting in a fall in the dollar's value.

At the same time, by overvaluing the government collateral it brought onto its balance sheet, the Fed reduced the quality of its own assets. Bankers and investors who watched such statistics grew wary and sold dollars for more credit-worthy stores of value.

In this way a portion of war costs were paid for by everyone who held the weakening dollar. Indeed, Friedman and Schwartz estimate that 5% of the cost of the war was funded by Fed inflation.[2]

With the Fed's balance sheet widened to accept loans on government debt, the state's ability to fund wars via inflation has been ensured. Independent central banking, established in the 1950s, has only gone part way in reducing the Treasury department's ability to use the Fed to subsidize wars. Only by completely removing the Federal Reserve's monopoly over the money supply and introducing choice and competition in currency will this unfortunate link ever be fully severed.

John Paul Koning is a financial writer and graphic designer who runs Financial Graph & Art. His Visual History of the Federal Reserve, 1914–2009, Wallchart is available here. Send him mail. See John Paul Koning's article archives. Comment on the blog.

Notes

[1] Fishe, P.H. (Aug., 1991). "The Federal Reserve Amendments of 1917: The Beginning of a Seasonal Note Issue Policy." Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking.

[2] Friedman, M., and Schwartz, A. A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960.


Comments


Post Comment (Moderated)




(Note Commenting Issue: If after Submitting you are returned to the Main Index Page then due to site caching your comment has not been accepted. Solution - Click the Browser Back Button to the article page and Press PAGE REFRESH (you should see the message "You are not authorized to carry out this operation") Now re-enter your comment (ignoring the notice) - If all's well then you will remain on the article page after submitting, a moderator will check and authorise the comment. Alternatively EMAIL to comments @ marketoracle.co.uk , quoting the article number.

FREE Deflation Survival GuideFREE Updated 118 Page Independant Investor E-book