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Copper Awaiting Reaction at 76.4% Resistance

Commodities / Metals & Mining Jan 15, 2010 - 03:01 AM GMT

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe recovery in Copper that started in late 2008 continued through 2009 without much reaction to the downside. The upmove has finally reached the 76.4% recovery area of the major losses seen earlier in 2008 – it is worth keeping an eye out for signs of bull fatigue here.


The Commodity Specialist view


WEEKLY CHART - CONTINUATION:

A long term bear channel top projection that we had been looking at  did not, in the end, work as resistance.

However, not far above this lies the 76.4% recovery level which could make bulls think twice.

We are awaiting reaction around here.

WEEKLY CHART – MAR-10:

On the Weekly chart of the front month we note that the first interesting Fibo retracement of 23.6% lies close to the Aug-09 high, i.e. the 300 area should prove key in determining future performance.


DAILY CHART – MAR-10:

In the Commodity Specialist Guide we had been looking at a Fibo projection just below 350, which the market has so far been unable to hold above.

On this chart the first hint of momentum loss comes from a break/close below the small bull channel base projection around 330 and the 3.2750 04-Dec high.

The bear case would strengthen on a break below the 38.2% pullback level, with subsequent rallies then to be viewed as temporary ahead of further bear activity.

Below here note that the key 300 area from the Weekly chart coincides nicely with the 61.8% level here, reinforcing its importance. 

 

Philip Allwright
Mark Sturdy

Seven Days Ahead
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Mark Sturdy, John Lewis & Philip Allwright, write exclusively for Seven Days Ahead a regulated financial advisor selling professional-level technical and macro analysis and high-performing trade recommendations with detailed risk control for banks, hedge funds, and expert private investors around the world. Check out our subscriptions.

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Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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