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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Impressive Earnings To Push Stock Market Higher Through 1st June

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010 Mar 18, 2010 - 11:18 AM GMT

By: Daniel_Bruno

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe first quarter earnings report season is rapidly approaching. Most U.S. company news has entered a quiet period with corporate announcements at a minimum. The exceptions are companies with negative surprises, which will be rare this quarter. Cash flow and earnings have recovered significantly from the first quarter of 2009.


First quarter gains will be impressive. Earnings on a year-over-year basis by the Dow Jones Industrial Average will increase for 25 of the 30 companies, nearly 90%. The average gain will be 10.4%. Notable on the list of companies expected to report year-over-year gains in excess of 40% include heavy hitters such as 3M, Alcoa, American Express, Chevron, Cisco, Dupont, Intel and JP Morgan. The following are first quarter estimates for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Company Quarter 2010 Estimate 2009 Actual

MMM 1 $1.17 $0.81

Alcoa 1 0.17 (0.59)

American Express 1 0.62 0.32

AT&T 1 0.54 0.53

Bank of America 1 0.09 0.52

Boeing 1 0.87 0.87

Caterpillar 1 0.42 0.39

Chevron 1 1.68 0.72

Cisco 3 0.34 0.23

Coca Cola 1 0.74 0.65

Dupont 1 1.01 0.54

ExxonMobil 1 1.30 0.92

General Elect 1 0.15 0.26

Hewlett-Packard 2 1.05 0.86

Home Depot 1 0.38 0.35

Intel 1 0.37 0.11

IBM 1 1.94 1.70

Johnson&Johnson 1 1.27 1.26

JP Morgan 1 0.64 0.40

Kraft Foods 1 0.46 0.40

McDonald’s 1 0.96 0.83

Merck 1 0.78 0.74

Microsoft 3 0.43 0.39

Pfizer 1 0.53 0.54

Procter&Gamble 3 0.81 0.83

Travelers 1* 1.48 1.34

United Technology 1 0.91 0.87

Verizon 1 0.56 0.63

Wal-Mart 1* 0.85 0.77

Walt Disney 2 0.45 0.43

* Median: 10.4%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is breaking out above its January high at 10729 and is targeting the 11200 area as long as 10725 holds. 50, 100 and 200 day moving averages are in sync and On Balance Volume supports the bull move. Seasonality favors higher highs: For the last 20 years the DOW has risin an average of 5% between the end of March and June 1.

The advance decline line supports higher stock prices


The S&P Index of 500 companies stocks confirms the bull. Another 15 S&P 500 stocks broke resistance on March 17 (Apollo, CB Richard Ellis, Clorox, Comerica, Gap Stores, Intel, Life Technologies, Lincoln National, Norfolk Southern, O’Reilly Auto, Simon Properties, Vulcan and Wynn Resorts) and none broke support. The Up/Down ratio increased from 3.57 to (344/90=) 3.82.

By Daniel Bruno
Chartered Market Technician

www.FXboss.info

FXBOSS receives 24-hour streaming news and expert commentary. Over 70 FXBOSS forex specialists talk to trading rooms in the world’s currency capitals and track major political, economic and market events globally. They give you the instant, live, tradable information you need to judge the direction of the market, and make informed decisions about your trades.

© 2010 Copyright  Daniel Bruno - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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