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Gold Price Trend Forecast Summer 2019

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs – The Mantra of the Current Season

Economics / Unemployment Sep 08, 2011 - 02:50 AM GMT

By: Asha_Bangalore

Economics

The unemployment rate of the U.S. economy in August 2011 stood at 9.1%, a far cry from the 4.4% jobless rate seen in the last business expansion which ended in December 2007. The current elevated level of unemployment after two years of economic growth is unprecedented in the post-war period (see Chart 1). The high for the unemployment rate in the post-war period was recorded during the 1981-1982 recession when it touched 10.8% in December 1982.


In this business cycle, the recovery commenced in November 1982 and by January 1985 (26 months of economic recovery/expansion) the unemployment rate had dropped to 7.3%. This time around, the high for the unemployment rate is 10.1% (October 2009) and the recovery is 26 months old with a jobless rate, as noted earlier, of 9.1%. Consequently, the level of concern about a persistently high unemployment rate has risen significantly.

Against this backdrop, President Obama is scheduled to deliver a speech about new proposals to create jobs in the economy on Thursday, September 8. Presidential candidates Mitt Romney and John Hunstman have their respective plans for increasing employment on the table. The principal consideration of these plans is how to increase the number of jobs in the economy. There are different explanations for the stubbornly high jobless rate across different segments of the population, implying that these plans have to include a range of options. Here is a summary table of selected unemployment rates to evaluate these job creation plans which will be part of policy and dinner table discussions in the near term.

Asha Bangalore — Senior Vice President and Economist

http://www.northerntrust.com

Asha Bangalore is Vice President and Economist at The Northern Trust Company, Chicago. Prior to joining the bank in 1994, she was Consultant to savings and loan institutions and commercial banks at Financial & Economic Strategies Corporation, Chicago.

Copyright © 2011 Asha Bangalore

The opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of The Northern Trust Company. The Northern Trust Company does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of information contained herein, such information is subject to change and is not intended to influence your investment decisions.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

Rick
08 Sep 11, 12:09
Jobs, Jobs, Jobs

In lieu of the Trans-Pacific Partnership that the Obama administration is about to negotiate with Panama, Colombia and South Korea next Tuesday, don't you think it's a little ironic that President Obama would be discussing job creation this Thursday?


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