Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Stock Market Election Year Cycles – What to Expect? - 4th Jun 20
Why Solar Stocks Are Rallying Against All Odds - 4th Jun 20
East Asia Will Be a Post-Pandemic Success - 4th Jun 20
Comparing Bitcoin to Other Market Sectors – Risk vs. Value - 4th Jun 20
Covid, Debt and Precious Metals - 3rd Jun 20
Gold-Silver Ratio And Correlation - 3rd Jun 20
The Corona Riots Begin, US Covid-19 Catastrophe Trend Analysis - 3rd Jun 20 -
Stock Market Short-term Top? - 3rd Jun 20
Deflation: Why the "Japanification" of the U.S. Looms Large - 3rd Jun 20
US Stock Market Sets Up Technical Patterns – Pay Attention - 3rd Jun 20
UK Corona Catastrophe Trend Analysis - 2nd Jun 20
US Real Estate Stats Show Big Wave Of Refinancing Is Coming - 2nd Jun 20
Let’s Make Sure This Crisis Doesn’t Go to Waste - 2nd Jun 20
Silver and Gold: Balancing More Than 100 Years Of Debt Abuse - 2nd Jun 20
The importance of effective website design in a business marketing strategy - 2nd Jun 20
AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Buying Levels Q2 2020 - 1st Jun 20
M2 Velocity Collapses – Could A Bottom In Capital Velocity Be Setting Up? - 1st Jun 20
The Inflation–Deflation Conundrum - 1st Jun 20
AMD 3900XT, 3800XT, 3600XT Refresh Means Zen 3 4000 AMD CPU's Delayed for 5nm Until 2021? - 1st Jun 20
Why Multi-Asset Brokers Like are the Future of Trading - 1st Jun 20
Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally? - 30th May
Is Stock Market Setting Up for a Blow-Off Top? - 29th May 20
Strong Signs In The Mobile Gaming Market - 29th May 20
Last Clap for NHS and Carers, Sheffield UK - 29th May 20
The AI Mega-trend Stocks Investing - When to Sell? - 28th May 20
Trump vs. Biden: What’s at Stake for Precious Metals Investors? - 28th May 20
Stocks: What to Make of the Day-Trading Frenzy - 28th May 20
Why You’ll Never Get Another Stimulus Check - 28th May 20
Implications for Gold – 2007-9 Great Recession vs. 2020 Coronavirus Crisis - 28th May 20
Ray Dalio Suggests USA Is Entering A Period Of Economic Decline And New World Order - 28th May 20
Europe’s Coronavirus Pandemic Dilemma - 28th May 20
I Can't Pay My Payday Loans What Will Happen - 28th May 20
Predictive Modeling Suggests US Stock Markets 12% Over Valued - 27th May 20
Why Stocks Bear Market Rallies Are So Tricky - 27th May 20
Precious Metals Hit Resistance - 27th May 20
Crude Oil Cuts Get Another Saudi Boost as Oil Demand Begins to Show Signs of Life - 27th May 20
Where the Markets are heading after COVID-19? - 27th May 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter


Sharp Drop for Gold, Europe's Banks are "Dead Men Walking"

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011 Sep 14, 2011 - 08:23 AM GMT

By: Ben_Traynor


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleU.S. DOLLAR gold bullion prices fell 1% in an hour Wednesday lunchtime in London, dropping to $1818 an ounce – a 2% loss for the week so far – before bouncing, while stocks gained despite news of a ratings downgrade for two French banks.

Government bonds fell and commodities were steady, while gold bullion prices in Euros dropped to €1325 per ounce as the Euro continued its rise after news that Brussels will consider introducing Eurobonds.

"There is a combination of factors that is sending gold down, predominantly the equity markets being crushed over the last few sessions and investors having to liquidate profitable metals positions to meet their margin calls in equities," says a note from Swiss refiner MKS.

Silver bullion prices fell to $40.71 per ounce – 1.7% down on the week so far.

Ratings agency Moody's downgraded the debt of French banks Credit Agricole and Societe Generale on Wednesday – while a third, BNP Paribas, had its downgrade review extended.

A day earlier BNP had to deny rumors that it could no longer obtain funding in Dollars from credit markets.

Moody's cited the banks' exposure to Greek sovereign debt, as well as their "continued reliance on wholesale funding" – meaning each bank must fund a significant portion of its operations via borrowing from credit markets.

Moody's said it does not expect to downgrade the long-term debt of BNP by more than one notch as there is a "likelihood it will receive systemic support from governmental authorities if needed."

France's GDP, however, is around €2 trillion by International Monetary Fund estimates – while the balance sheets of French banks "are some 400% of that number," says David Zervos, head of global fixed income strategy at securities and investment banking group Jeffries, which manages around $3 billion of assets.

"The banks are dead men walking with massive leverage...Europe as a whole is about to embark on a sloppy financial market socialization process."

Banks across Europe are losing deposits, news agency Bloomberg reported on Wednesday. In France, deposits by financial institutions – which make up 50% of total deposits – have fallen 6% since June last year, according to European Central Bank data. 

Financial institution deposits in Germany meantime make up one third of all deposits. They are down 12% since June 2010 – and 24% since September 2008, the month that saw Lehman Brothers collapse.

In Brussels meantime, the European Commission "will soon present options for the introduction of Eurobonds" – joint-government bonds collectively backed by all Eurozone nations – Commission president Jose Manuel Barroso told the European Parliament Wednesday.

French president Nicolas Sarkozy last month described Eurobonds as something that "can be the end of the European integration process, not at the beginning." 

German chancellor Angela Merkel meanwhile called them a "last resort", with her spokesman adding they are "simply not a sensible idea".

Indebted countries "must put their houses in order," Chinese premier Wen Jibao said Wednesday.

"The major developed economies should develop responsible and effective monetary policies, properly handle debt issues, ensure the stable operation of investment in the market and maintain confidence of investors around the world."

Wen vowed that monetary policy in China – the second-largest source of private gold bullion demand worldwide – would remain "prudent".

Official data show Chinese consumer price inflation was 6.2% in August – while benchmark deposit interest rates are at 3.5%.

Here in London meantime, new data showed the volume of silver and gold bullion cleared in August rose sharply compared to July, according to figures published Wednesday by the London Bullion Market Association.

An average of 805 tonnes of gold bullion a day – a 31.9% jump from July – was transferred between LBMA clearing members last month. 

Over 5300 tonnes of silver bullion were transferred each day – a rise of 7.3% from the month before.

The total volume of silver and gold bullion traded each day will, however, be several times larger, since the clearing statistics only show net transfers of gold between London's largest, market-making bullion banks.

By Ben Traynor

Gold price chart, no delay   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Editor of Gold News, the analysis and investment research site from world-leading gold ownership service BullionVault, Ben Traynor was formerly editor of the Fleet Street Letter, the UK's longest-running investment letter. A Cambridge economics graduate, he is a professional writer and editor with a specialist interest in monetary economics.

(c) BullionVault 2011

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules