2008 Financial Markets Forecasts SPECIAL
News_Letter / Financial Markets Jan 01, 2008 - 04:44 AMBy: Nadeem_Walayat
Welcome to this special issue of the Market Oracle Newsletter which brings a selection of the best of current financial market forecasts and analysis for 2008.
The Western economies enter the new year battered and bruised by the credit crisis, with fears growing of a recession in the US and the UK housing market having tipped over into a downtrend towards the end of 2007. Questions are being asked whether the 4 year bull markets have come to an end and whether the commodities bull market can continue as strongly during 2008 as was 2007. We look at potential answers to these and many more questions in this newsletter.
Welcome to this special issue of the Market Oracle Newsletter which brings a selection of the best of current financial market forecasts and analysis for 2008. The Western economies enter the new year battered and bruised by the credit crisis, with fears growing of a recession in the US and the UK housing market having tipped over into a downtrend towards the end of 2007. Questions are being asked whether the 4 year bull markets have come to an end and whether the commodities bull market can continue as strongly during 2008 as was 2007. We look at potential answers to these and many more questions in this newsletter. Also remember to check by the site for much more analysis on the prospects for 2008 across a wide spectrum of markets and indices. And finally as a special treat to start the new year with, Elliotwave International have made available for free to our readership a three video series titled Market Myths Exposed online now, each video turns conventional wisdom about the financial markets on its head, allowing you to think independently of the mainstream and call your own shots regarding portfolio management. Learn what drives share prices up and down, and get the real deal on housing market and most importantly where to put your money - Market Myths Exposed Free Video Series. Wishing all of our readers a happy and prosperous new year.
Nadeem Walayat, Editor of The Market Oracle
By: Money_and_Markets Jack Crooks writes: First, and most importantly, I hope you're closing out a happy, healthy and prosperous year. And I wish you the best in everything that 2008 brings. When the markets are as exciting and nerve-racking as they've been this past year, it becomes increasingly difficult for us to look beyond the headlines. But if we are to profit, we must persist.
By: Andre_Gratian Current Position of the Market SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is approaching its mid-point and some of its dominant components have topped and may be restraining the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr. This could lead to another period of consolidation in 2008 with an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010. SPX: Intermediate Trend - The intermediate-term trend which had been in a correction since the index reached 1576 has now resumed its up move, but the corrective pattern could be extended if a new high is not achieved soon.
By: Roger_Conrad There's still one trading day left in 2007. But for income investors, the key lessons from what was quite a tumultuous year are already in focus, as is how we can use them for a prosperous 2008.
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD The Australia SPASX 200 fell 11.00 points, or 0.17 percent, to 6,339.90 as of Friday, December 28th, 2007. Volume was 47 percent of its 10 day average. Downside volume led at 65 percent, with declining issues at 57 percent, with downside points at 51 percent in mixed trading. Demand Power fell 4 points to 400, while Supply Pressure fell 3 points to 420 , telling us neither side had strong conviction about the trend. Supply Pressure rose sharply above Demand Power Monday, December 17th, triggering an enter short positions signal, and remains there Friday.
By: Joe_Nicholson The post-holiday trading week finally confirmed the long-watched fourth wave triangle in gold with an impulsive post-holiday move to last week's preliminary target, leaving last week's caution over a potential head fake timely and appropriate though ultimately unnecessary. But is it appropriate to stay cautious for at least another week now with everyone jumping on the bullish bandwagon as they eye the juicy 32% rise in gold over 2007 and the 15% rise in silver?
By: William_R_Thomson Gazing into the crystal ball for investing in 2008 - Cash may be king for the moment but financial experts favour a plunge back into equity markets later in the year A 'YEAR of fear' for portfolio investors - or a time of great opportunity? This is the question The Business Times put to a panel of financial experts as 2007 draws to a close. Their answers contained some surprises. Cash may be king for the moment, in the immediate aftermath of the US sub-prime mortgage crisis, and the worst is yet to come in equity markets.
By: Zeal_LLC From their lows in the early 2000s, base metals prices have soared to achieve highs in the last couple years that many would have thought unheard of. Traders that were long in both the futures and the stocks of the mining companies that bring these metals to market have seen legendary gains. This rapid appreciation of base metals prices has been undergirded by rock-solid fundamentals. Asia 's modernization and industrialization is commanding massive commodities inflows. And to support its insatiable appetite for base metals in particular, an economic imbalance has crept into these markets that has simply caught the world off guard. These industrial metals that go into the infrastructural and mechanical web of global growth have seen supply greatly lag fast-rising demand.
By: Money_and_Markets Mike Larson writes: The last 12 months have seen monumental shifts in the interest rate and real estate markets. And if I'm right about where things are headed, 2008 should be just as exciting, if not more. Naturally, I can't give away the entire store here. More precise forecasts and profitable recommendations are reserved for loyal subscribers to Safe Money Report , who will be getting a potentially lucrative gala outlook issue shortly.
By: Money_and_Markets Sean Brodrick writes: In 2008, we're going to hit an important milestone. In the New Year the world is going to start using oil at a rate of more than 1,000 barrels PER SECOND! According to the International Energy Agency, global oil demand will average 87.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2008, up from 85.7 million bpd in 2007. At 87.8 million bpd, we'll use 1,016 barrels per second — a sonic boom of energy use.
By: Nadeem_Walayat Doom and Gloom pervades the UK economy as we enter into 2008, which is 'usually' an excellent atmosphere for stocks, especially if that doom and gloom to date has not resulted in anything other than corrections. Not even the crash in the financial sector that has seen many big banks fall by as much as 50% off their 2007 highs has managed to dent the FTSE 100 Index with barely registerable declines on the long-run FTSE 100 chart. Speculation is rife of a high risk of a recession for the UK economy during 2008. However the last analysis in this current series for 2008 on UK GDP growth concluded with the opinion that despite early year weakness the UK economy will avoid a recession, this coupled with falling interest rates will be supportive of the UK stock market during 2008. . For many more, hundreds more articles on the commodities bull market, make sure to visit the Market Oracle today and protect yourself as worlds central banks print ever more money, resulting in an inflationary spiral.
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