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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Trend Forecast March to September 2019

Stock Market Back on Crash Alert

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011 Dec 29, 2011 - 11:29 AM GMT

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the SPX decline to mid-cycle support/resistance at 1249.27. This morning it is taking a brief bounce to retest the 200 day moving average at 1258.87. As an alternate, it may challenge the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1259.02.

Additional support may lie at the 50 day moving average at 1235.61 or the intermediate-term trend support at 1230.87. However, other circumstances dictate that those supports may have little influence on the decline.


Where back on flash crash alert, starting today.

The NASDAQ has no such problems with supports, since it is already decline beneath them. It barely held mid-cycle support/resistance at 2283.51 for a day before losing its grip. The 200 day moving average also corresponds closely to mid-cycle support/resistance.

The new broadening wedge has an average target of 1832.00. But in the process of getting there, it will cross a massive head and shoulders neckline near 2000.00, validating a new target in the mid-1600s.

The NASDAQ is also on a flash crash alert.

I had to chuckle is morning when GLD had a new low at 148.27. I had recently erased the smaller Head and Shoulders neckline minimum target of 148.68. The point is, GLD has completed a perfect five wave impulse and may be due for a back test of its larger Head and Shoulders pattern.

This by no means negates the crash pattern in GLD. We may simply see a brief respite before the decline returns in earnest.

Good luck and good trading!

Regards,

Tony

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Comments

joe
03 Jan 12, 08:10
your crash calls

Considering your crash calls..i will say that at least you got the points close to being right. Since your first call the S&P is up 120 points. Its the direction you might want to work on. And today is not going to help your cause.


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