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Can Gold and Silver Overcome U.S. Dollar Strength?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Jan 10, 2012 - 02:38 AM GMT

By: Eric_McWhinnie

Commodities

According to the most recent data, commercial banks’ overnight deposits at the European Central bank reached a new record high of 464 billion euros. Another record high in ECB deposits shows that European banks would rather lose money than take the risk of lending to each other. It is also the latest reminder that nothing is solved in the euro zone crisis. However, the U.S. financial markets have been able to decouple from Europe, for the time being. Even more decoupling can be seen in precious metals.


On Friday, the euro sank to a new 16-month low, and touched $1.2696 before climbing slightly higher. The euro has not closed below $1.27 since September 2010. The euro also fell to a fresh 11-year low against the Japanese yen. The weak euro has given a boost to the U.S. dollar. The dollar index reached 81.50 on Friday, and currently trades slightly above 81. Although a stronger dollar has been a headwind for gold and silver in the past, the two precious metals have been performing quite well in 2012.

As the chart above shows, gold prices are currently finding support near $1,600 per ounce, while meeting resistance between $1,620 and $1,650. “Gold held $1,600 and the attention of the investor as inflationary and better payroll figures helped gold and silver decouple from copper and crude and the euro,” says George Gero, senior vice president at RBC Capital Markets. “Gold investors see opportunities in any sell-off to become bargain hunters.” Meanwhile, silver prices are finding support at $28 per ounce, and meeting resistance between $30 and $31.

Investors continue to find pullbacks in gold and silver as bargains because the world still faces an insolvent issue. Although the euro is edging higher on Monday with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy meeting to discuss growth in the euro zone, talk is cheap. Germany recently sold six-month zero-coupon bills at a record low yield of -0.012 percent, but Italian yields are back above the critical 7 percent level. “EU leaders have to understand that mere lip-service to growth will not induce growth in the euro zone,” said analyst Sony Kapoor, managing director of Re-Define, a London-based think tank. “Many of the more troubled economies are at serious risk of their debt snowballing out of control under excessive austerity.” U.S. dollar strength aside, as worldwide debts continue to spiral out of control, gold and silver stand to benefit.

For more analysis on our support levels and ranges for gold and silver, consider a free 14-day trial to our acclaimed Gold & Silver Investment Newsletter.

By Eric_McWhinnie

http://wallstcheatsheet.com

Wall St. Cheat Sheet : Only days after the S&P 500 crashed to the depths of hell at 666, the Hoffman brothers launched Wall St. Cheat Sheet: one of the fastest growing financial media sites on the web. Like a samurai, our mission is to cut through the bull and bear shit with extraordinary insights, a fresh voice, and razor-sharp wit. We provide the highest quality education and information for active investors, financial professionals, and entrepreneurs.

© 2012 Copyright Eric McWhinnie - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors


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