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U.S. House Prices Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021

Banking, U.S. Housing Market and Mortgages

Politics / US Housing Feb 08, 2012 - 02:57 AM GMT

By: BATR

Politics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe primary players that caused the housing bubble are:

1) The banking institutions that bundled and sold very risky mortgages

2) The Wall Street firms that bought these instruments and hedged for a default hazard by booking speculative derivative insurance that could never pay off on massive defaults

3) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac provided government backing, of last resort, on bad mortgages


In order to understand the how this came about, one needs to acknowledge the role of repealing the Glass-Seagall Act. In the account, Repeal of Glass-Steagall Act cause of housing boom, the conclusion is evident.

"The purpose of the Glass-Steagall Act was to control speculation and prohibit a bank from owning other financial institutions which would create a conflict of interest, such as investment banks and insurance companies. The Glass-Steagall Act was enacted in 1933 after excessive risk-taking that contributed to the Great Depression. Jean-Marie Eveillard, of First Eagle Funds, has said: "Glass-Steagall protected bankers against themselves. Bankers are sheep. They don't mind going over the cliff if everyone else goes over the cliff."

The reason banks were giving out such risky loans is that they were able to securitize them and sell them as mortgage backed securities and other collateralized debt obligations to investors. With the ability to both create loans and then underwrite, securitize and sell mortgage backed instruments under one roof, it is easy for banks to create a ponzi-like scheme."

Additional explanation comes from Dirty secrets of the real estate collapse,

"The truth is that high-risk mortgages were "bundled" just like good mortgages and sold as iron-clad securities. Accounting practices allowed banks to "book" profit from these loans immediately and account for the risks later. The same practices were used on the infamous "credit default swaps." These are insurance-like contracts that promise to cover losses on certain securities in case of a default—except they didn’t always work that way in the unregulated credit swaps market.

This created the short-term results that shareholders demanded. Could bank executives have booked less profit and held some reserve for the rainy day that was sure to come? Sure, and they would have been fired. The shareholders would have demanded they be replaced by their colleagues who were willing to show higher profit. So the money was taken as profit years ago, and there’s nothing left but debt."

Politicians like Barney Frank advanced the utopian notion that even the most financially destitute deserve to own a home. Having the ability and income to make mortgage payments seems foreign to the social engineers. The government rescue net would fix any cracks in the money tree. Add the practice of packaging subprime mortgages and you have the perfect storm. The collapse of the housing market is a direct result of unrealistic expectations, unreasonable low interest rates and unlimited loans provided to unqualified borrowers.

The beleaguered mortgagor shares in the dislocation, when their dream of home ownership is stripped. Evictions are postponed for humanitarian reasons as unwinding of the financial markets drag on for years. Even historically low interest rates cannot prime the pump any longer.

The fair value for housing must have a reasonable collation to actual replacement costs. Yet a property is only worth a price that a buyer is willing to pay. The idea that securing financing of underwater properties, when current owners or fresh buyers can no longer qualify for a new mortgage, smacks of a designed policy to depress real estate values for years to come.

The draconian Dodd-Frank Act just added more layers of punitive regulations that adversely affect prospective buyers, while avoiding the needed rational regulations that would restore the separation that Glass-Steagall protected for decades.

The America Enterprise Institute article by Peter J. Wallison, Dodd-Frank and Housing Finance Reform offers this assessment of this recent legislation.

•The key flaw in the Dodd-Frank Act (DFA) is its effort to control the quality of mortgages by imposing regulation and regulatory costs on lenders and securitizers.

•Because it focuses on only a narrow part of the mortgage market, and exempts the government-backed sectors, the act will do nothing to prevent the deterioration in mortgage underwriting standards.

•A plan developed at AEI would define a "prime mortgage" by statute, making it possible to eliminate the qualified mortgage, the qualified residential mortgage, and the 5 percent risk retention.

•The fundamental flaws in the housing finance provisions of the DFA cannot be repaired by regulation; they should be repealed and replaced by the plan developed at AEI.

In late March, the bank and securities regulators charged with filling in the details of the DFA's provisions on mortgage-market reform released a set of proposed rules outlining how the act's broad terms will likely be implemented. The reaction in the market was something close to shock, as mortgage bankers, mortgage insurers, securitization specialists, and even the Center for Responsible Lending panned the rules in testimony before the House Financial Services Committee.

Examine the details of the AIE alternative on their web site that presents their plan.

Traditional mortgages written by your local bank that holds the note to maturity is as rare as a siting of Big Foot. The robo-signing foreclosures are a crime by any normal standard. Using false affidavits is a fraud. Perpetrators deserve jail time. However, a full-scale house cleaning is about as likely as bring Franklin Delano "Frank" Raines to justice. "As an executive at Fannie Mae, Franklin Raines illegally coerced his employees to falsify accounting facts so he’d get a maximum bonus. The government-backed firm used Enron-like fraud, in part at Raines’s orders, to create the largest bail-out in US history. Raines had the whistleblower fired."

Owning a house may be out of reach for many people. The Wall Street refloat conveniently bypasses the strapped homeowner with a monthly mortgage. The American Dream is on life support. None of these pitfalls are accidental. The banking system now avoids writing loans to most individuals. The fallout has yet to subside. Banking, Housing and Mortgages will never be the same.

James Hall

SARTRE

Discuss or comment about this essay on the BATR Forum

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© 2012 Copyright BATR - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


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