Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2016 Update - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Will Deutsche Bank Crash The Global Stock Market? - Clif_Droke
3.Gold Price In Excess Of $8000 While US Dollar Collapses - Hubert_Moolman
4.BrExit UK Economic Collapse Evaporates, GDP Forecasts for 2016 and 2017 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Gold Stocks Massive Price Correction - Zeal_LLC
6.Stock Market Predicts Donald Trump Victory - Austin_Galt
7.Next Financial Crisis Will be Far Worse than 2008/09 - Chris_Vermeulen
8.The Gold To Housing Ratio As A Valuation Indicator - Dan_Amerman
9.GDXJ Gold Stocks - A Diamond in the Rough - Rambus_Chartology
10.Gold Boom! End Game Nears As Central Banks Buying Up Gold Mining Companies! - Jeff_Berwick
Last 7 days
Donald Trump Failing to Recover After 1st Debate Hillary Shimmy Loss - Betfair Betting Market - 30th Sept 16
BEA Revises Q2 2016 US GDP Growth Upward to 1.42% - 29th Sept 16
Could the OPEC deal set stage for the Next Stock Market Risk Rally? - 29th Sept 16
Why Trump Lost, Hillary Won the 1st U.S. Presidential Debate - 29th Sept 16
Is a Dollar Crash Imminent After the Senate Overrides Obama Veto on Saudi 9/11 Bill? - 29th Sept 16
2017: Gold and Silver's Year of "Public Recognition" - 29th Sept 16
Did Trump Win the 1st US Presidential Election Debate? - There's Something Happening Here... - 29th Sept 16
FED Goes from ZIRP to NIRP! - 29th Sept 16 - Chris_Vermeulen
Here’s Why You Should Be in Cash Right Now - 28th Sept 16
The Fed Put a 50% Tax on Your Retirement Plan - 28th Sept 16
Massive Chinese Debt And Why They Are On A Gold Buying Binge! - 28th Sept 16
Stocks Commodities and FX Markets Waiting Technically While Fundamental Data Neutral Poised - 28th Sept 16
This Commodity Has Perked Up its Investors' Portfolios - 27th Sept 16
Charting the Continuing Gold Market Correction - 27th Sept 16
Stock Market Crash and Recession Indicator Warning: Extreme Danger Ahead - 27th Sept 16
Financial Markets and FX Setups 27th Sept - 27th Sept 16
Crude Oil, Forex and Stock Market Trend Forecasts - 27th Sept 16
Why There is Trump - 27th Sept 16
Save Up to 70% in Shopping Expenses for Daily Items - 27th Sept 16
Gold’s Moving Averages and Long-Term Outlook - 26th Sept 16
September Stock Market - The Not So Silent Demise of Deutsche Bank - 26th Sept 16
SPX sell signal confirmed - 26th Sept 16
SPX is testing the next level of support - 26th Sept 16
Outrageously Entertaining US Presidential Campaign Final Stages - What Happens Next? - 26th Sept 16
BoJ, FOMC and Where To Now? - 26th Sept 16
Stock Market New All Time Highs Next - 26th Sept 16
Why Trump Will Win US General Election 2016 Prediction Forecast - 26th Sept 16
Martial Law Rolls Out Across the US As Jubilee Nears - 26th Sept 16
Stock Market More Correction Likely - 25th Sept 16
US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Trump Riding BrExit Wave into the White House - 25th Sept 16
US Economy GDP Growth Estimates in Free-Fall: FRBNY Nowcast 2.26% Q3, 1.22% Q4 - 24th Sept 16
Gold and Gold Stocks Corrective Action Continues Despite Dovish Federal Reserve - 24th Sept 16
Global Bonds: Why Our Analyst Says Things Just Got "Monumental" - 24th Sept 16
Where Did All the Money Go? - 23rd Sept 16
Pension Shortfalls Could Be 4X To 7X Greater Than Reported - 23rd Sept 16
Gold Unleashed by the Fed - 23rd Sept 16
Gold around U.S Presidential Elections - 23rd Sept 16
Here’s Why Eastern Europe Is Doomed - 23rd Sept 16
Nasdaq NDX 100 Big Cap Tech Breakout ? - 23rd Sept 16
The Implications of the Italian Banking Crisis Could Be Disastrous - 22nd Sept 16
TwinLakes Theme Park Summer Super 6 FREE Return Entry for Real? - 21st Sept 16
Has the Silver Bullet Run Out of Fire Power? - 21st Sept 16
Frack Sand: The Unsung Hero Of The OPEC Oil War - 21st Sept 16
What’s Happening With Gold? - 21st Sept 16

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

The Power of the Wave Principle

Gold Climbs Above 200-day Moving Average

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Mar 27, 2012 - 10:13 AM GMT

By: Ben_Traynor

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE SPOT MARKET gold price traded just below $1700 an ounce for most of Tuesday morning in London – over 4% up on its low last week – before heading lower just ahead of the US markets open as the US Dollar regained some of the ground it lost on Monday following comments by Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke.


The silver price rose to $33.25 per ounce – a 6.8% gain since its week's low last Thursday – before it too eased.

The US Dollar Index, which measures the Dollar's strength against other major currencies, hit its lowest level since the start of the month Tuesday. Longer-dated US Treasuries dipped, while European government bonds gained despite warnings that the sovereign debt crisis has not been resolved.

European stock market gains were relatively muted Tuesday morning, compared to those of the preceding Asian and US sessions, while commodities were broadly flat.

Yesterday saw the gold price move back above its 200-day moving average – which by PM London Fix prices stood at $1682 per ounce Monday afternoon in London – after Bernanke spoke of the need for "continued accommodative policies" and said that the labor market "remains far from normal" despite recent signs of improvement.

"Bernanke was back on solidly dovish ground again," say Standard Bank currency analysts Steve Barrow and Jeremy Stevens.

"Rightly, or wrongly, the market seems to think that his comments could imply another loosening of [policy] via some form of QE3," they added, referring to the possibility of a third round of quantitative easing.

"Fed likely to hint at QE3 in April meeting," said Bill Gross, managing director of world's largest bond fund Pimco, via the fund's Twitter account.

Physical gold demand meantime "has shot higher as demand from South-East Asia in particular increased with gold below $1,650 over the past few days, no doubt providing support to the gold price when investor sentiment turned bearish," says Walter de Wet, commodities strategist at Standard Bank, citing the bank's Gold Physical Flows Index.

Over in New York, the world's largest gold ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), added 6 tonnes to its gold holdings yesterday.

Also in New York, today sees the expiry of April options on Comex gold futures contracts, with a lot of open interest – both bullish and bearish – clustering around the $1700 an ounce mark. The last options expiry date on 23 February saw gold prices jump to a then 3-month high.

Economic growth meantime "is stalling" in Europe, according to Angel Gurria, secretary-general of the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

"Market confidence in the Euro area is fragile," says the OECD's 'Economic Survey of the Euro Area 2012, published today.

"The outlook for growth is unusually uncertain and depends critically on the resolution of the sovereign debt crisis." 

Eurozone finance ministers are due to meet this Friday where they are expected to agree an increase in the size of the single currency's so-called 'firewall' by combining the existing temporary bailout fund with the new permanent one that launches in July, after Germany dropped its opposition to such a move.

"Everybody knows [the combined fund] is not going to be big enough," says Robert Crossley, head of European rates strategy at Citi.

"But less inadequate is a good thing."

"The Eurozone remains insolvent," adds Jim Leaviss, head of retail fixed income at M&G Investments.

"Growth is still a problem."

Germany's Deutsche Bank meantime has overtaken France's BNP Paribas to become Europe's largest bank, as a result of adding to its assets while other banks have been shrinking their balance sheets, according to newswire Bloomberg

The likelihood that the German government would support its largest bank in the event of a crisis was cited by Fitch in December when the ratings agency gave Deutsche a stable outlook.

"We haven't solved the too-big- to-fail challenge in this country," says Ralph Brinkhaus, a member of Germany's finance committee as well as chancellor Angela Merkel's CDU party.

"That problem becomes all the more a matter of concern the bigger the bank is...and in the case of Deutsche Bank, is becoming."

A Morgan Stanley co-authored report has suggested that banks worldwide will look to reduce the size of their balance sheets by $1 trillion over the next two years.

Here in the UK, Abu Dhabi's ruling family is in talks with the British government about buying a stake in the 83%-taxpayer-owned Royal Bank of Scotland, news agency Reuters reports.

The gold price could "peak at well over $2000" an ounce, Mark Cutifani, chief executive of gold mining firm AngloGold Ashanti said Tuesday.

Turkey's central bank today raised the proportion of domestic currency reserves Turkish banks can hold as gold from 10% to 20%, while simultaneously lowering the proportion for foreign exchange reserves from 10% to zero.

Turkey is one of a number of countries facing current account deficits and exchange rate problems that have recently turned their attention to gold.

By Ben Traynor
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Editor of Gold News, the analysis and investment research site from world-leading gold ownership service BullionVault, Ben Traynor was formerly editor of the Fleet Street Letter, the UK's longest-running investment letter. A Cambridge economics graduate, he is a professional writer and editor with a specialist interest in monetary economics.(c) BullionVault 2012

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.


© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife