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Catching a Falling Financial Knife

Spain Bailout Big Lie, How Can a Non-Existent Entity Bailout Spain Or Anyone Else?

Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis Jun 14, 2012 - 12:44 AM GMT

By: Graham_Summers

Politics

Spain’s Bailout is one big lie.

I know, I know… Spain is “saved” thanks to a €100 billion bailout.

But no one is asking just where this money will come from?


The IMF isn’t involved. Nor is the ECB.

The EFSF, which can’t even raise €10 billion without having to step in to insure it doesn’t have a failed bond auction isn’t a possibility (Germany doesn’t want it).

That leaves just the European Stability Mechanism (ESM)… except for the little known fact that only FOUR of the necessary 17 EU members have ratified legislation to even CREATE the ESM.

That’s right… the ESM doesn’t even EXIST yet.

On top of this, Spain and Italy make up 30% of the ESM’s supposed “funding.” That’s right, nearly one third of the mega-bailout fund’s capital will come from countries that are bankrupt themselves and are either already requesting bailouts (Spain) or soon will be (Italy).

Finally, and this is the REAL problem with the ESM… Germany hasn’t OK’d it yet.

In fact, German opposition leaders have stated point blank that hoping for Germany to ratify the ESM before its due date (July 1) is “completely unrealistic.”

So… Spain is going to be bailed out by a non-existent entity whose leading member likely won’t even have ratified its formation… before July 1.

Sure things could play out differently. But wasn’t Spain literally on the verge of a systemic Crisis? And we’re talking about weeks… possibly months before it gets a single Euro in bailout funds (assuming the funds even show up at all).

So I ask again… WHERE is the money going to come from? It doesn’t exist. The whole Bailout is one big lie. The funds simply are not there.

Even if they were, €100 billion is NOTHING compared to the REAL capital needs of Spanish banks. Heck, Bankia alone needs €24 billion… and that’s just ONE BANK out of Spain’s €3 trillion banking system.

Folks, if you think we’re out of the storm yet in Europe, you’re in for a very VERY rude surprise. It’s quite likely the EU won’t even exist in its current form before the summer ends.

The simple reason… THERE AREN’T ANY FUNDS LEFT TO PROP UP the €46 TRILLION toxic sewer that is the EU banking system. End of story.

Those investors looking for actionable investment ideas could also consider our Private Wealth Advisory newsletter: a bi-weekly detailed investment advisory service that distills the most important geopolitical, economic, and financial developments in the markets into concise investment strategies for individual investors.

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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Good Investing!

http://gainspainscapital.com

PS. If you’re getting worried about the future of the stock market and have yet to take steps to prepare for the Second Round of the Financial Crisis… I highly suggest you download my FREE Special Report specifying exactly how to prepare for what’s to come.

I call it The Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Kit. And its 17 pages contain a wealth of information about portfolio protection, which investments to own and how to take out Catastrophe Insurance on the stock market (this “insurance” paid out triple digit gains in the Autumn of 2008).

Again, this is all 100% FREE. To pick up your copy today, got to http://www.gainspainscapital.com and click on FREE REPORTS.

Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.

Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

© 2012 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Graham Summers Archive

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Catching a Falling Financial Knife