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Catching a Falling Financial Knife

All PCC Election Results, Record Low Turnouts, Birth of Illegitimate Police and Crime Commissioners

ElectionOracle / UK Politics Nov 16, 2012 - 06:08 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleExpectations for disastrously low turnouts for England and Wales PCC elections have materialised as the general public whole heartedly rejects the policy for political interference in British policing. Turnouts are averaging at just 15%, with the winning candidates typically being elected with less than 7% of the electorate and some with less than 4%. Additionally many of the westminister dinosaurs such as John Prescott were rejected by the electorate, that also saw more than ten times the number of spoilt ballots as is usually the case at UK elections.


All PCC Results

Results for all of the 41 area's are listed below.

Police Force % Turnout Winning Candidate % of Electorate
Avon & Somerset
18.7% Sue Mountstevens - IND 6.72%
Bedfordshire
17.7% Olly Martins - LAB 6.04%
Cambridgeshire
14.7% Graham Bright - CON 3.95%
Cheshire
13.7% John Dwyer - CON 5.06%
Cleveland
14.7% Barry Coppinger - LAB 5.88%
Cumbria
15.6% Richard Rhodes - CON 4.53%
Derbyshire
14.3% Alan Charles - LAB 6.35%
Devon & Cornwall
14.9% Tony Hogg - CON 4.24%
Dorset
16.3% Martyn Underhill - IND 7.38%
Durham
14.4% Ron Hogg - LAB 7.4%
Dyfed-Powys
16.4% Christopher Salmon - CON 8.3%
Essex
12.8% Nick Aston - CON 3.97%
Gloucestershire
15.9% Martin Surl - IND 5.62%
Greater Manchester
13.6% Tony Lloyd - LAB 6.96%
Gwent
14% Ian Johnston - IND 5.53%
Hampshire
14.5% Simon Hayes - IND 3.26%
Hertfordshire
14.1% David Lloyd - CON 6.47%
Humberside
19.1% Mathew Grove - CON 4.21%
Kent
16% Ann Barnes - IND 7.48%
Lancashire
15% Clive Grunshaw - LAB 5.89%
Leicestershire
15.9% Clive Loader - CON 7.71%
Lincolnshire
15.3% Alan Hardwick - IND 4.79%
Merseyside
12.4% Jane Kennedy - LAB 6.97%
Norfolk
14.5% Stephen Bett - IND 3.93%
North Wales
14.8% Winston Roddick - IND 4.90%
North Yorkshire
13.2% Julia Mulligan - CON 7.71%
Northamptonshire
19.5% Adam Simmonds - CON 5.86%
Northumbria
16.4% Vera Baird - LAB 9.21%
Nottinghamshire
16.4% Paddy Tipping - LAB 7.07%
South Wales
14.7% Alun Michael - LAB 6.89%
South Yorkshire
14.5% Shaun - Wright - LAB 7.46%
Staffordshire
11.6% Matthew Ellis - CON 6.03%
Suffolk
15.4% Tim Passmore - CON 5.39%
Surrey
15.4% Kevin Hurley - Other 4.01%
Sussex
15.3% Katy Bourne - CON 4.83%
Thames Valley
12.8% Anthony Stansfeld - CON 4.69%
Warwickshire
15.2% Ron Ball - IND 5.07%
West Mercia
14.5% Bill Longmore - IND 5.49%
West Midlands
11.9% Bob Jones - LAB 5.02%
West Yorkshire
13.3% Mark Burns Williamson - LAB 6.38%
Wiltshire
15.3% Angus MacPherson - CON 6.8%

 

Break Down by Party

Labour
13
Conservative
16
Liberal Democrat
0
Independant
12

Voters reject many of the west minister dinosaurs put up by the 3 major parties such as John Prescott and instead elect Independant's, where there was a choice of an Independant candidate.

PCC Jobs for the Boys

The public never asked for nor wanted Police and Crime Commissioner Elections, which were purely conjured into existence by the coalition government with a view towards giving jobs to the boys, with expectations that the vast majority of the posts would go to westminster dinosaurs as lucrative retirement packages at tax payers expense. The Labour party that opposed the PCC's recognised that their candidates stood a good chance of winning most of the posts so went into overdrive late last year in putting forward it's own collection of westminister dinosaurs such as John Prescott whom voters rejected.

The PCC elections were flawed right from the outset because of the extremely large £5000 deposit required to stand that is ten times the amount required to stand as a candidate for Member of Parliament, which has resulted in the exclusion of many far more suitable independant candidates.

A Disaster for the Police

The PCC's will turn out to be a disaster for the police forces because there will be a constant battle between PCC's and Chief Constables as they will have completely different priorities, for instance the PPC's primary priority will be to get re-elected and therefore election promises will count, whilst the Chief Constables will try to get their jobs done with the least interference as possible from the PCC's, as was the case with the Police Authorities, which were always just weak entities that tended to be subservient to the whims of Chief Constables.

Annul Illegitimate PCC Elections?

The bottom line is that the winning candidates at best will have votes from just 7% of the electorate or that 93% will not have voted for them, therefore the results lack any real legitimacy, which I am sure that Chief Constables will remind PCC's of whenever conflicts arise.

The coalition government should recognise their gross error of judgement and make all of the PCC elections null and void, and then take another look at the whole processes's involved, including reduction of the deposit required to stand from £5k to £500, and holding the elections at the same time as local elections which would more than double the voter turnout.

In the final analysis, it would have been far better to go down the route of employing Police Commissioners on the basis of merit i.e. persons with experience in accounting, auditing, analysis, journalism and the law who actually are competent enough to hold the police to account because as we keep discovering the police are only human, they are just as capable of engaging in criminal conspiracies such as the Hillsborough disaster conspiracy as any other section of the population. But career politicians are definitely not the answer, who are only good at talking at length without actually saying anything meaningful.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2012 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of three ebook's - The Inflation Mega-Trend; The Interest Rate Mega-Trend and The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 that can be downloaded for Free.

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Ebook DownloadThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend Ebook DownloadThe Inflation Mega-Trend Ebook Download

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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Catching a Falling Financial Knife