Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Gold and Silver Inevitable Sentiment Reversal -John_Townsend
2.Stock Market Accelerates to Dow 15,105 New High - Fundamental Reasons Why -Nadeem_Walayat
3.The New Untouchables of the 21st Century - Raul_I_Meijer
4.Bank of England Celebrates 50 Months of Stealth Inflation Theft From Savers and Tax payers - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The Real Reason Gold Price Fell -Lawrence Roulston
6.Gold Gold Bugs and Stock Market Index Trend Forecasts - David_Petch
7.Dow, Gold and Jobs Up - The Fed’s Next Step! - Robert_M_Williams
8.Has the Great Gold Crash Divorced Bullion from Futures Prices? - Peter Krauth
9.Nigel Lawson Waits for Thatcher to Die Before Admitting He's Wrong on Europe - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Crash, Depression, Currency Wars . . . Trade Wars and then Real Wars - Video - Gerald Celente
Last 72 Hrs
Is This Obama's "Waterloo"? - 21st May 13 - Shah Gilani
Silver Price Recoups Sharp Loss, Rising on Record Volume - 21st May 13
Crash Proof Your Stocks Portfolio - Parallels to 1987 - 21st May 13
Gold Stocks Big Rally Forecast - 21st May 13
Gold Prices Dead Cat Bounce - 21st May 13
Resurgence of the Nuclear Reactor, The Coming Uranium Bull Market - 21st May 13
Inflation Is The Lifeblood Of A Healthy Economy - 21st May 13- I_M_Vronsky
Gold Market Motive, Means, and Opportunity - 21st May 13
Silver Surges From Lows After Being Slammed 10% Lower In 4 Minutes - 20th May 13
Stocks Go Long, Scandal! Keep 'Em Coming, Obama! - 20th May 13
The Feds Are Worried About the U.S. Dollar - 20th May 13
Keynesian Phrenology - Our Rulers Are Nutty as Well as Evil - 20th May 13
Silver More Weakness Before Price Takes off Higher Again - 20th May 13
Bottoming Gold Should be Bought as Stocks Approach Blow off Top - 20th May 13
Stock Market Structure + Cycles + Divergence = Corrrection? - 20th May 13
Can France Save The Euro - Or Even Itself? - 20th May 13
Gold, US Dollar Index and 3 Currency Market Forecasts - 20th May 13
Big Energy Siezing Landowner Property - 20th May 13
Commodities Bear Market Elliott Wave Analysis - 20th May 13
How to Really Make a Fortune on the "Mobile Wave" - 20th May 13
Gold Supply and Demand Fundamentals for Q1 2013 - 19th May 13
Let’s Export Our Deflation - All Japan, All the Time - 19th May 13
Why You Should Short Gold - 19th May 13
Crude Oil Price Rides With The Asset Bubble - But Not Forever - 19th May 13
Gold And Silver True Story Is All About Time - Be Prepared - 19th May 13
How to Spot Market Trading Opportunities - FREE EBOOK - 18th May 13
The Fading 2008 Stock Market Doomsday Scenarios - 18th May 13
Commodities Boom to be Driven by the Urbanisation of 1 Billion More People - 18th May 13
The UK Green Energy Policy Shambles - 17th May 13
US Dollar Ends Another 9 Year Down Cycle - 17th May 13
Stock Market Extreme Euphoria Tops - 17th May 13
Gold Wars: U.S. Undermining Iranian Currency By Blocking Gold Imports - 17th May 13
How the U.S. Government Makes $120 Billion From Student Loans Misery - 17th May 13
The Key Reason to Buy Gold Stocks Now - 17th May 13
A Reminder, the Fed Is NOT Printing Money - 17th May 13
Remember the $700 Billion Toxic Asset Bailout? - 17th May 13

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Global Financial and Commodity Market Forecasts 2013

Stock Market SPX, U.S. Dollar, Natural Trading Markets

Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012 Dec 13, 2012 - 11:52 AM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stock-Markets

Yesterday’s price action was very bearish yet again and we are patiently waiting for a counter trend pullback to happen. While three are some good looking plays out there I really do not want to get long until the market clears the air with a bout or three of strong selling. Remember 3:4 stocks follow the market and the odds of picking a commodity or ETF that bucks the trend is unlikely. If you are interested in powerful stocks & ETFs the buck the trend check out my FREE Trading Ideas live Go Here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1992897


SP500 / Broad Stock Market:
We have seen a bug run up in stocks this month and things are looking a little long in the teeth. A large number of stocks are trading above their upper Bollinger band and the broad market is testing that key resistance level also. Typically when a Bollinger band is reached we see price reverse for a couple days at minimum.

While the equities market is in a new uptrend as seen by the moving averages I pullback seems imminient. The last two days has formed reversal candles and are pointing to lower prices.

Dollar Index Hourly Chart:
This chart shows a possible bottom forming in the dollar pointing to a 3-8 day pullback in stocks.

Gold Futures Hourly Chart:

Natural Gas Hourly Chart:

Morning Trading Conclusion:
Looking at the charts on several different time frames, not all shown here, technical analysis shows a pullback in stocks is highly likely. This is what we are currently positioned for.

The US dollars downward momentum is slowing and if it can find a bid today it should trigger strong selling in both stocks and commodities. Gold and silver are down sharply along with miners.

We have been watching natural gas for a few months and know that it has been trading inverse to what stocks do. This bodes well for a bounce in natural gas if stocks start a sell off. That being said, natural gas is trading at a key tipping point that could spark a very fast and hard drop. This knife can fall at a speed that will take a slice out of your trading account if not traded and managed properly (tiny position and use of a stop). I actually like natural gas the more it moves down and could issue a buy alert on it today or this week. I would like to see volume decline at this level showing the momentum is slowing…

Get These Weekly Trade/Investment Ideas In Your Inbox FREE: www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

By Chris Vermeulen
Please visit my website for more information. http://www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

Chris Vermeulen is Founder of the popular trading site TheGoldAndOilGuy.com.  There he shares his highly successful, low-risk trading method.  For 7 years Chris has been a leader in teaching others to skillfully trade in gold, oil, and silver in both bull and bear markets.  Subscribers to his service depend on Chris' uniquely consistent investment opportunities that carry exceptionally low risk and high return.

This article is intended solely for information purposes. The opinions are those of the author only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before making any investment/trading decision. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

© 2005-2013 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

FREE Deflation Survival GuideFREE Updated 118 Page Independant Investor E-book