Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.U.S. Inner City Turmoil and Other Crises: Ron Pauls Predictions for 2015 - Dr_Ron_Paul
2. What’s In Store For Gold Price in 2015? - Ben Kramer-Miller
3.Crude Oil Price Ten Year Forecast to 2025: Importers Set to Receive a $600 Billion Refund - Andrew_Butter
4.Je ne suis pas Charlie - I am not Charlie - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The New Normal for Oil? - Marin_Katusa
6.Will Collapse in Oil Price Cause a Stock Market Crash? - OilPrice.com
7.UK CPI Inflation Smoke and Mirrors Deflation Warning, Inflation Mega-trend is Exponential - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Winter Storms Snow and Wind Tree Damage Dangers, DIY Pruning - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Oil Price Crash and SNP Independent Scotland Economic Collapse Bankruptcy - Nadeem_Walayat
10.U.S. Housing Market Bubble 2.0 Meet the Pin - James_Quinn
Last 5 days
Bitcoin Price Tense Days Ahead - 27th Jan 15
The Most Overlooked “Buy” Signal in the Stock Market - 27th Jan 15
Gold's Time Has Come - 27th Jan 15
France America And Religious Terror War - 27th Jan 15
The New Drivers of Europe's Geopolitics - 27th Jan 15
Gold And Silver - Around The FX World In Charts - 27th Jan 15
It’s Not The Greeks Who Failed, It’s The EU - 27th Jan 15
Gold and Silver Stocks Investing Basics - 27th Jan 15
Stock Market Test of Strength - 26th Jan 15
Is the Gold Price Rally Over? - 26th Jan 15
ECB QE Action - Canary’s Alive & Well - 26th Jan 15
Possible Stock Market Pop-n-drop in Store For SPX - 26th Jan 15
Risk of New Debt Crisis After Syriza Victory In Greece - 26th Jan 15
How Eurozone QE Works: A Guide to Draghi's News - 26th Jan 15
Comprehensive Silver Price Chart Analysis - 26th Jan 15
Stock Market More Retracement Expected - 26th Jan 15
Decoding the Gold COTs: Myth vs Reality - 26th Jan 15
Greece Votes for Syriza Hyperinflation - Threatening Euro-zone Collapse or Perpetual Free Lunch - 26th Jan 15
Draghi's "No-growth" QE Money for Stocks, Zilch for the Economy - 25th Jan 15
Unjust and Undeclared Wars - 25th Jan 15
The European Central Bank Commits Monetary Suicide - 25th Jan 15
Stock Market ECB EQE week - 25th Jan 15
Gold And Silver Timing Is Most Important Element - 25th Jan 15
The Best Way to Invest in the Next Alibaba Internet Stock IPO - 25th Jan 15
The Outpatient Surgery Business Rains Cash into Healthcare Stocks - 25th Jan 15
Stock Traders Flock to Gold GLD ETF - 24th Jan 15
10 Reasons Why You Need an Offshore Bank Account - 24th Jan 15
Goldman Sachs Blankfein - Regulation is Like Background Noise - 24th Jan 15
Gold in Euros Surges As ECB To Print Trillion Euros and Greek Election This Sunday - 24th Jan 15
Gold Bear Market Rally or New Bull ? - 24th Jan 15
Euro-zone 'QE already Working' Says IMF Lagarde - 23rd Jan 15
ECB and EU LTRO and QE for Dummies: Or, Make These Trades - 23rd Jan 15
Debt and Deflation: Three Financial Forecasts - There's More Than Falling Prices - 23rd Jan 15
Market Should Not Doubt' Mario Draghi ECB QE - 23rd Jan 15
Francs, Bonds, Barrels, and Bail-Ins - 23rd Jan 15
Are Plunging Petrodollar Revenues Behind the Fed’s Projected Rate Hikes? - 22nd Jan 15
Stocks Bear Market Lessons from History - 22nd Jan 15
Russia's Plans for Arctic Supremacy - 22nd Jan 15
166 Trillion Reasons Why Bank Stocks Are So Cheap - 22nd Jan 15
Will Gold Price Break Out Once Again? - 22nd Jan 15
The Cult of Central Banking - 21st Jan 15
Five Stock Market Questions Wall Street Hopes You’ll Never Ask - 21st Jan 15
China's Yuan Enters the Currency "Big Leagues" to Take on the Dollar - 21st Jan 15
Investor implications of QE by the ECB - 21st Jan 15
Deflation Bonanza! And the Fool's Mission to Stop It - 21st Jan 15
Messin' With My Financial Brain - 21st Jan 15
Are Stock Market Buyouts Checking Out? - 20th Jan 15
Legal “Steroids” Are Making This Tech Stock a “Buy” - 20th Jan 15
Are Stock Market Storm Clouds Massing? - 20th Jan 15
The Swiss Release the Kraken! - 20th Jan 15
The European Union, Nationalism and the Crisis of Europe - 20th Jan 15
Swiss Say No to QE - 20th Jan 15
Gold Demand Explodes as Volatility and Fear Stalk Market - 20th Jan 15
The Truth About This Stock Market "Meltdown" Indicator - 20th Jan 15
Markets 2015 More Of The Same? - 20th Jan 15
Is Market Sentiment Shifting to Gold? - 20th Jan 15
U.S. Dollar’s Major Breakout and Gold’s Simultaneous Rally - 19th Jan 15
Silver Price Breaks Out on Swiss France Euro Decoupling - 19th Jan 15
Gold Bullish Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern - 19th Jan 15
Bundesbank Announces Repatriation of 120 Tonnes of Gold from Paris and New York Federal Reserve - 19th Jan 15

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

State of US Markets 2015 Report

Fed QE Policy Means U.S. Treasury Issuing Debt For Free, Money for Nothing

Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing Dec 14, 2012 - 03:38 AM GMT

By: Bloomberg

Interest-Rates

PIMCO's Bill Gross told Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu on "In the Loop" today that the Federal Reserve's latest round of monetary stimulus will enable Treasury to issue debt for no cost.

Gross said, "what really happens, and this is critically important, is that the Treasury issues bonds and the Fed buys them and then it remits interest to the Treasury...It basically means that the Treasury is issuing debt for free...Inflation is one of the complications."


Gross on yesterday's move by the Federal Reserve:

"Basically, the Fed's policy has been and other central bank's policies have been over the past few years to basically write checks. Ben Bernanke, back in 2002, when he was the governor, basically told us in the first one or two pages of his scripted speech, he said that the quantitative maneuvers that he anticipated going forward were essentially costless. Those were his words. He is correct. This is critical and important, what really happens is that the Treasury issues funds, the Fed buys them and then it remits interest to the Treasury quarterly or over time. It basically means that the Treasury is issuing debt for free."

On what the economic complications will be:

"There are those, and we are amongst them, that believe that inflation is one of the complications. It has not happened yet. We are well below 2%. The Fed is comforted by that. Ultimately, if you write checks for free and if it is costless to finance a fiscal policy that is well into a deficit figures, then, yes, that is an inflationary moment to the extent that the private sector gets some animal spirits and takes that bait."

On whether he and Mohamed El-Erian have been invited to Washington:

"Not frequently. Mohamed is a great ambassador and he picks up the phone frequently, I think, but we have not been invited to these meetings. I find it a little strange with our $2 trillion asset base, we did participate in 2008 and 2009 and the commercial paper program for the Fed and for the mortgage program. We have been in there helping out, so to speak. We haven't been part of the meetings. That's our style. We're on the west coast. We sort of like breathing the fresh air and looking at the sunshine, but no invitation yet."

On advice he would give to President Obama and Republican leaders:

"I would say get together and figure out a solution. if they do not, there is a recession coming and a downgrade perhaps in terms of long-term treasury bonds. So get out of this and take care of the debt ceiling at the same time. Ultimately, the policy has to be directed towards investment spending as opposed to consumption. Mohamed and I would think that infrastructure is the key. It hasn't been mentioned up until this point. Entitlements have to go down. Taxes have to go up. Within that context, let's put whatever government spending there is to work in a productive way, as opposed to writing checks for consumption. let's make it an investment-oriented economy."

On whether PIMCO will sell more mortgages:

"We have been lightening up on mortgages, it is true. One of the reasons that PIMCO has had such a great year is because we have been anticipating what the Fed is going to do. We bought a lot of mortgages and so we are getting back to home base. It is not that we do not like the asset class, it is an excellent asset class because the Fed will be buying 40 billion of them going forward every month. So we're back to normal and we would suggest that our investors take a look at mortgages. They yield 2% or 2.5% relative to a 10 Year treasury at 1.70."

"In addition to anticipating what the Fed was going to do, it's a statement on safety. We believe that the economy is slow and will stay slow. We are not looking for a recession but we are looking for risk assets to stop bubbling, which means that spreads of corporates will probably not narrow again in 2013 and that we should be focusing on mortgages and the roll down in treasuries that provides a decent alternative to some of these corporate spreads."

On how to protect wealth with tax rates likely going up:

"In a number of ways. First of all, municipals are an alternative. Municipals might be part of the tax package so I think an investor has to be leery at least until we see some legislation in 2013 which defines how municipals fit in. That is one way to do it. You also do it in markets outside the United States which have higher than average growth and are not subject to the higher taxes that you speak to. If you're looking for growth and for risk go outside the united states, if you're looking for substance within the united states to protect yourself, perhaps municipals, but we're focusing at the moment on treasuries and that roll down in terms of yield which gives you an added 50 to 100 basis points which gives you something."

bloomberg.com

Copyright © 2012 Bloomberg - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Bloomberg Archive

© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014