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Catching a Falling Financial Knife

Elliott Wave Analysis of USD/JPY

Currencies / Japanese Yen Dec 14, 2012 - 12:20 PM GMT

By: WavePatternTraders

Currencies

The relentless moves in the JPY pairs, is impressive to say the least, truly a remarkable run we have seen in some of the JPY crosses, some pairs like the EURJPY and GBPJPY have seen massive gains.

Although not one to be outdone the USDJPY has followed in sync, only now I think it’s nearing a potential high that should yield a decent pullback of 200-250 pips.



Although any pullback, is expected to be just a correction in the larger picture from Oct 2011.

I had a 85.00 target penciled in for this pair, and at the rate its going it will be seen shortly, although I can’t say I thought we would see it so quick, I was looking for a timing high in sometime in January 2013 as you can see from this cycle chart.



From the October 2011 lows I am working a flat correction and it appears to be in wave [3] of C, it still lacks the last few gyrations for the move to have the right look to complete the overall look, hence the timing of a cycle high in January still looks to be on target, once wave [3] of C is complete we should see a correction in wave [4] for a few weeks that takes it into January and then potentially a major top early February 2013.


When you take a closer look into this pair, it appears to need a minor dip for a small 4th wave then a push higher to end a larger 3rd wave before a meaningful pullback that should see a move towards 81.50-81.00.


Overall the move from Nov 2011 appears to be a corrective move in the long term trend that has been ongoing for many years in this pair, and I suspect that at sometime in the future we should be coming back to test the 75.00 area.

Are you interested in following this pair and many more? For $30 a month it’s probably the best $30 you will spend on forex analysis, but then don’t take my word for it, sign up for the 4 week free trial and see for yourselves.

Until next time

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© 2012 Copyright Jason Soni AKA Nouf - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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Catching a Falling Financial Knife