Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
FED Balance Sheet Current State - 5th Mar 21
The Global Vaccine Race Against Time and Variants - 5th Mar 21
US Treasury Yields Rally May Trigger A Crazy Ivan Event (Again) In Stock Market - 5th Mar 21
After Gold’s Slide, What Happens to Miners? - 5th Mar 21
Racism Pandemic Why UK Black and Asians NOT Getting Vaccinated - NHS Covid-19 BAME - 5th Mar 21
Get Ready for Inflation Mega-trend to Surge 2021 - 4th Mar 21
Stocks, Gold – Rebound or Dead Cat Bounce? - 4th Mar 21
The Top Technologies That Are Transforming the Casino Industry - 4th Mar 21
How to Get RICH Crypto Mining Bitcoin, Ethereum With NiceHash - 4th Mar 21
Coronavirus Pandemic Vaccines Indicator Current State - 3rd Mar 21
AI Tech Stocks Investing 2021 Buy Ratings, Levels and Valuations Explained - 3rd Mar 21
Stock Market Bull Trend in Jeopardy - 3rd Mar 21
New Global Reserve Currency? - 3rd Mar 21
Gold To Monetary Base Ratio Says No Hyperinflation - 3rd Mar 21
US Fed Grilled about Its Unsound Currency, Digital Currency Schemes - 3rd Mar 21
The Case Against Inflation - 3rd Mar 21
How to Start Crypto Mining Bitcoins, Ethereum with Your Desktop PC, Laptop with NiceHash - 3rd Mar 21
AI Tech Stocks Investing Portfolio Buying Levels and Valuations 2021 Explained - 2nd Mar 21
There’s A “Chip” Shortage: And TSMC Holds All The Cards - 2nd Mar 21
Why now might be a good time to buy gold and gold juniors - 2nd Mar 21
Silver Is Close To Something Big - 2nd Mar 21
Bitcoin: Let's Put 2 Heart-Pounding Price Drops into Perspective - 2nd Mar 21
Gold Stocks Spring Rally 2021 - 2nd Mar 21
US Housing Market Trend Forecast 2021 - 2nd Mar 21
Covid-19 Vaccinations US House Prices Trend Indicator 2021 - 2nd Mar 21
How blockchain technology will change the online casino - 2nd Mar 21
How Much PC RAM Memory is Good in 2021, 16gb, 32gb or 64gb? - 2nd Mar 21
US Housing Market House Prices Momentum Analysis - 26th Feb 21
FOMC Minutes Disappoint Gold Bulls - 26th Feb 21
Kiss of Life for Gold - 26th Feb 21
Congress May Increase The Moral Hazard Building In The Stock Market - 26th Feb 21
The “Oil Of The Future” Is Set To Soar In 2021 - 26th Feb 21
The Everything Stock Market Rally Continues - 25th Feb 21
Vaccine inequality: A new beginning or another missed opportunity? - 25th Feb 21
What's Next Move For Silver, Gold? Follow US Treasuries and Commodities To Find Out - 25th Feb 21
Warren Buffett Buys a Copper Stock! - 25th Feb 21
Work From Home Inflationary US House Prices BOOM! - 25th Feb 21
Man Takes First Steps Towards Colonising Mars - Nasa Perseverance Rover in Jezero Crater - 25th Feb 21
Musk, Bezos And Cook Are Rushing To Lock In New Lithium Supply - 25th Feb 21
US Debt and Yield Curve (Spread between 2 year and 10 year US bonds) - 24th Feb 21
Should You Buy a Landrover Discovery Sport in 2021? - 24th Feb 21
US Housing Market 2021 and the Inflation Mega-trend - QE4EVER! - 24th Feb 21
M&A Most Commonly Used Software - 24th Feb 21
Is More Stock Market Correction Needed? - 24th Feb 21
VUZE XR Camera 180 3D VR Example Footage Video Image quality - 24th Feb 21
How to Protect Your Positions From A Stock Market Sell-Off Using Options - 24th Feb 21
Why Isn’t Retail Demand for Silver Pushing Up Prices? - 24th Feb 21
2 Stocks That Could Win Big In The Trillion Dollar Battery War - 24th Feb 21
US Economic Trends - GDP, Inflation and Unemployment Impact on House Prices 2021 - 23rd Feb 21
Why the Sky Is Not Falling in Precious Metals - 23rd Feb 21
7 Things Every Businessman Should Know - 23rd Feb 21
For Stocks, has the “Rational Bubble” Popped? - 23rd Feb 21
Will Biden Overheat the Economy and Gold? - 23rd Feb 21
Precious Metals Under Seige? - 23rd Feb 21
US House Prices Trend Forecast Review - 23rd Feb 21
Lithium Prices Soar As Tesla, Apple And Google Fight For Supply - 23rd Feb 21
Stock Markets Discounting Post Covid Economic Boom - 22nd Feb 21
Economics Is Why Vaccination Is So Hard - 22nd Feb 21
Pivotal Session In Stocks Bull Bear Battle - 22nd Feb 21
Gold’s Downtrend: Is This Just the Beginning? - 22nd Feb 21
The Most Exciting Commodities Play Of 2021? - 22nd Feb 21
How to Test NEW and Used GPU, and Benchmark to Make sure it is Working Properly - 22nd Feb 21
US House Prices Vaccinations Indicator - 21st Feb 21
S&P 500 Correction – No Need to Hold Onto Your Hat - 21st Feb 21
Gold Setting Up Major Bottom So Could We See A Breakout Rally Begin Soon? - 21st Feb 21
Owning Real Assets Amid Surreal Financial Markets - 21st Feb 21
Great Investment Ideas For 2021 - 21st Feb 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Gold Investor Sentiment Plunged to 12 Month Low

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Jan 15, 2013 - 09:32 AM GMT

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Commodities

Financial Tap writes: More of the same unresolved and non-committal action out of the precious metals markets this past week.  Once again gold has reached a junction which should provide us with a road-map for where gold is headed in the immediate future.  One fork at this junction, the bullish fork, we’re looking at this as just Day 7 of a brand new Investor Cycle.  If this were the path gold has taken, then gold must break $1,696 next week.  But taking the bearish fork has us still in a 5th Daily Cycle, with multiple possibilities with regards to the actual Daily Cycle count (Day 7, 18, and 25 possible).


Having reviewed the Cycle charts further this weekend I’ve determined that marking the DCL is inconclusive at this point.  As the Daily Cycles have recently woven a pattern of declining mini peaks and troughs, they have left behind 3 lows that could all qualify for a Cycle Low (Dec 3rd, Dec 20th, and Jan 2nd).  However the time period encompassing this period could only possibly support two Daily Cycle Lows.  We’re left in the uncomfortable position of not knowing which 2 of the 3 are indeed the Cycle Lows and this has a direct impact on our short term projections.

You will notice from the above chart that attempting to get a jump start on a Cycle Low these past 2 months would have only end in further declines and losses.  As long as the declining trend-line holds and the Weekly Swing Low in not triggered then we’re only speculating that the last low was also the ICL.  Predicting and trading Cycle Lows in real-time is perfectly acceptable in up trending markets.  But in a downtrend we’re looking for a dominant Cycle trend change out of what is a series of lower lows.  Because dominant trend changes require an upside break to confirm, we must be prepared to give up some of the initial gains if we’re to wait for this confirmation.

I know this gold move is frustrating patient investors and hurting traders who are trying to trade these Daily Cycle swings.  I’m in a relatively unique position when it comes to the overall sentiment because I have a decent number of investors who are directly expressing their feelings with me.  Without a doubt the sentiment is at its lowest levels since the D-Wave Low (May 2012).  But what I’m seeing now is not necessarily negative sentiment generated out of fear, but rather one of indifference.

The Hulbert’s Gold sentiment index is confirming this viewpoint.  The index has historically been an excellent predictor of significant lows.  This is especially true when a low or negative sentiment reading aligns with a Cycle in the timing band for an ICL.  It’s very interesting to note that during each C-Wave ICL the index was halted at around the 10-20 area.  But during the 2008/09 and 2012/13 D and B Wave events the readings always went below zero.  Again gold is seeking a B Wave Low here and this is being reflected within these sentiment readings.  As always, sentiment is far from a perfect ICL timing tool, but we know the historical evidence suggests that we’re at least extremely close now.

All the conditions for an ICL remain in place.  The Cycle has run for 21 weeks and we’ve completed at least 4 but likely 5 Daily Cycles.  The technical indicators and oscillators have all reached ICL levels and have turned slightly higher gain.  Sentiment is easily at levels that have spawned new Cycles and the COT reports are again back to levels that could support a new Cycle.  New Investor Cycles are normally born just when all begin to lose hope, I believe we’re there.

My only real concern with the Investor Cycle chart is the weeks of indecision.  It’s not common for a new Investor Cycle to crawl out of lows; such candles reflect a lack of buyers or believers.  It’s possible this is simply related to my observation of an apathetic or indifferent investor class.  Whatever the reason for the indecision, it’s certainly a red flag.

This as is an excerpt from this weekends premium update published on Saturday (1.12)  focusing on Equities from the The Financial Tap, which is dedicated to helping people learn to grow into successful investors by providing cycle research on multiple markets delivered twice weekly, as well as real time trade alerts to profit from market inefficiencies. They offer a FREE 15-day trial where you’ll receive complete access to the entire site. Coupon code (ZEN) saves you 15%.

Source - http://goldsilverworlds.com/gold-silver-price-news/gold-sentiment-reaches-2012s-lows/

© 2013 Copyright goldsilverworlds - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules