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What You Need to Know About Sequestration

Politics / Economic Austerity Mar 03, 2013 - 11:01 AM GMT

By: InvestmentContrarian

Politics

George Leong writes: The day has arrived. Today will see the start of the much-anticipated $1.2-trillion decade-long budget cuts under the Sequestration Transparency Act of 2012 (394 pages if you want to read it), which represents America’s own austerity measures to cut the deficit. The proposed cuts will entail about $85.0 billion in annual budget cuts; and while it’s needed, given the runaway national debt of over $16.6 trillion, it will have a widespread impact on the state of the country and the economy, including program cuts, job losses, and chaos.


The cuts will have a negative impact on the country’s fragile economic recovery, but it’s something that is required; otherwise, it’s more of the same in the way of money printing and pumping up the national debt just to keep afloat and avoid a crash. If not for the significant fiscal and monetary policies that focused on pumping liquidity into the economy, I’m pretty sure the country would have fallen into a depression.

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the automatic cuts to spending will reduce gross domestic product (GDP) growth by 0.6% this year and will result in the loss of 750,000 jobs. And while this is not what you want to see during these difficult economic times, the sequestration is needed; without it, the ballooning national debt will continue to spiral out of control, hurting future generations.

While I doubt the budgetary cuts will drive the country into another recession, I do feel there will be negative impacts across the board.

The question is: where will some of the budget cuts be made?

Defense will lose a big chunk of its budget, especially given the country’s pullout from Iraq. According to the Sequestration Transparency Act, the biggest cut will be to mandatory defense spending by 10% and defense discretionary funding by 9.4%. Yet the problem is that the world is full of risk and conflict, whether it’s in Syria, Iran, or North Korea. If tensions in these hot areas escalate, defense spending will likely need to be increased. Given this, I would be looking at avoiding companies that focus on defense contracts from the government, such as jet manufacturers, tank builders, or companies offering any other military assets.

Another area that I see cuts being made is “Obamacare” and the roughly $716 billion in cost reduction to Medicare. I expect there will be more cuts to come. The impact will be negative on some of the healthcare providers, especially those with government funding under Medicare.

The reality is that the national debt must be managed. A viable plan must be made between the two political parties in order to deal with the national debt now.

There will be unpopular decisions that will need to be made to save the country and stop the frivolous printing of money and the mounting national debt.

This national debt will take decades to pay off or even to reduce to a more manageable level, but viable plans must be put in place now, or our kids and their kids will suffer more.

Something drastic needs to be done regarding the national debt or the country’s financial strength will go down the toilet!

Source:http://www.investmentcontrarians.com/debt-crisis/sequestrations-here-what-you-need-to-know/1518/

By George Leong, BA, B. Comm.
www.investmentcontrarians.com

Investment Contrarians is our daily financial e-letter dedicated to helping investors make money by going against the “herd mentality.”

George Leong, B. Comm. is a Senior Editor at Lombardi Financial, and has been involved in analyzing the stock markets for two decades where he employs both fundamental and technical analysis. His overall market timing and trading knowledge is extensive in the areas of small-cap research and option trading. George is the editor of several of Lombardi’s popular financial newsletters, including The China Letter, Special Situations, and Obscene Profits, among others. He has written technical and fundamental columns for numerous stock market news web sites, and he is the author of Quick Wealth Options Strategy and Mastering 7 Proven Options Strategies. Prior to starting with Lombardi Financial, George was employed as a financial analyst with Globe Information Services. See George Leong Article Archives

Copyright © 2013 Investment Contrarians- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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