Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Gold Price Focusing on May Cycle Bottom - Jim_Curry
3.Silver, silver, and silver! There’s More Than Silver, People! - P_Radomski_CFA
4.Is the Malaysian Economy a Potemkin Village - Sam_Chee_Kong
5.Stock Market Study Shows Why You Shouldn’t “Sell in May and Go Away” - Troy_Bombardia
6.A Big Stock Market Shock is About to Start - Martin C
7.A Long Term Gold Very Unpopular View - Rambus_Chartology
8.Stock Market “Sell in May and go away” Study When Stocks Are Down YTD - Troy_Bombardia
9.Global Currency RESET Challenge: Ultimate Twist - Jim_Willie_CB
10.The Coming Silver Supply Crunch Is Worse Than You Know - Jeff Clark
Last 7 days
What Happens Next to Stocks when Tech Massively Outperforms Utilities and Consumer Staples - 18th Jun 18
The Trillion Dollar Market You’ve Never Heard Of - 18th Jun 18
The Corruption of Capitalism - 17th Jun 18
North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin - 17th Jun 18
Climate Change and Fish Stocks – Burning Oxygen! - 17th Jun 18
A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! - 16th Jun 18
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike - 16th Jun 18
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive - 16th Jun 18
The Euro Crashed Yesterday. Bearish for Euro and Bullish for USD - 15th Jun 18
Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off - 15th Jun 18
Can Saudi Arabia Prevent The Next Oil Shock? - 15th Jun 18
The Biggest Online Gambling Companies - 15th Jun 18
Powell's Excess Reserve Change and Gold - 15th Jun 18
Is This a Big Sign of a Big Stock Market Turn? - 15th Jun 18
Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? - 15th Jun 18
Bumper Crash! Land Rover Discovery Sport vs Audi - 15th Jun 18
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Pause Before Going Higher? - 14th Jun 18
Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So - 14th Jun 18
Yield Curve Continues to Flatten. A Bullish Sign for the Stock Market - 14th Jun 18
How Online Gambling has Impacted the Economy - 14th Jun 18
Crude Oil Price Targeting $58 ppb Before Finding Support - 14th Jun 18
Stock Market Near Another Top? - 14th Jun 18
Thorpe Park REAL Walking Dead Living Nightmare Zombie Car Park Ride Experience! - 14th Jun 18
More on that Gold and Silver Ratio 'Deviant Conundrum' - 13th Jun 18
Silver Shares? Nobody Cares - 13th Jun 18
What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates - 13th Jun 18
Gold and Silver Price Setting Up for A Sleeper Breakout - 13th Jun 18
Tesla Stock Analysis - 12th Jun 18
What Happens Next to Stocks when Russell Goes up 6 Weeks in a Row - 12th Jun 18
Gold vs. Stocks: Ratios Do Not Imply Correlation - 12th Jun 18
Silver’s Not-so-subtle Outperformance - 12th Jun 18
Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes - 11th Jun 18
Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts - 11th Jun 18
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? - 11th Jun 18
Study: What Happens Next to Stocks When the Put/Call Ratio is Very Low - 11th Jun 18
G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - 11th Jun 18
SPX Unshackled - 11th Jun 18
When Trump Met Fibonacci And Won - 11th Jun 18
FREE Theme Park Entry with Cadbury's Choc's! Legoland, Alton Towers, Chessington.... - 11th Jun 18
Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - 10th Jun 18
End of the World Stock Market Chart! - 10th Jun 18
All US Homes Are Overvalued - 10th Jun 18
Thorpe Theme Park London Car Park Exit Nightmare - Drivers Beware! - 10th Jun 18
Gold Price Summer Doldrums - 9th Jun 18
How to Prepare for Economic Uncertainty with Gold and Silver - 9th Jun 18
5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse - 9th Jun 18
Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - 9th Jun 18
Land Rover Discovery Sport ECO Mode Real World Driving MPG Fuel Economy - 9th Jun 18
Crude Oil Bullish Weekly Reversal vs. Bearish Monthly Reversal - 8th Jun 18
Fed’s Interest Rate Hike is Short term Bearish for Stocks - 8th Jun 18
The Deviant Conundrum Called Silver - 8th Jun 18
Pleasure Island Theme Park Cleethorpes, Last Day Trip Before it Closed Down - 8th Jun 18
America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - 8th Jun 18
Debt Consolidation Advice: When and Why to Consolidate - 8th Jun 18
Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - 8th Jun 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Highly Rated High Quality Equity Dividend Income Stocks

Companies / Investing 2013 Jul 21, 2013 - 09:06 AM GMT

By: Richard_Shaw

Companies

As of 07/18/2013, there are only 6 stocks traded in the US that have these attributes:

  • highly rated for fair value
  • highly rated for year ahead expected performance
  • highly rated for earnings and dividend quality
  • yield greater than that of the S&P 500
  • paid and increased dividend for at least 5 years
  • technical condition is neutral to attractive

Suitability

This commentary is intended to be suitable for those portfolios that are required to seek consistent long-term growth of above average equity income, and for that income to be an important part of the overall total return due to approaching or current withdrawal requirements; and for which achievement of the income objective is more important than exceeding the total return of a broad equity index.

This commentary is not intended to be suitable for those portfolios for which maximizing price appreciation and exceeding broad index total returns is the primary objective. Neither is this commentary suitable for those portfolios engaged in short-term trading activities.

Each portfolio should be designed and operated to meet the real world needs and purposes for which it is intended.

SIMPLE STANDARD & POOR’S FILTER

32 stocks passed this filter:

• Fair Value rated 4 or 5 • Stars rated 4 or 5 • Earnings & Dividend Quality rated A+, A or A-

DIVIDEND CONSISTENCY & GROWTH FILTER

20 of the 32 stocks passed this filter:

• paid dividends for each of at least the past 5 years • increased dividend payments in each year

ABOVE AVERAGE YIELD FILTER

11 of the 20 stocks passed this filter:

• yield greater than the yield on the S&P 500

SHORT-TERM TECHNICAL FILTER

6 of the 11 stocks passed this filter:

• BarChart net rating >= 50% BUY

STOCKS SURVIVING FILTERS

The 6 surviving stocks are:

  • (K) Kellog
  • (UTX) United Technologies
  • (AFL) Aflac
  • (TGT) Target
  • (BAX) Baxter International
  • (SU) Suncor

YIELDS

Unfortunately for many (most?) dividend income seekers, none of these stocks have high yields — just above index yields. However, that’s the best you can do if you also want or need the stringent S&P filter terms. Highest quality stocks have been bid up so that high yield is not generally available among them at this time.

Name Symbol Yield
KELLOGG CO K 2.66
UNITED TECHNOLOGIES UTX 2.12
AFLAC AFL 2.37
TARGET TGT 2.37
BAXTER INTERNATIONAL BAX 2.68
SUNCOR ENERGY SU 2.46

STOCK CHARTS WITH WRIGHT RATINGS

The charts below show the 5-year history of price, earnings and dividends for each stock.

Charts and ratings were obtained by subscription at the premium side of CorporateInformation (a description of Wright ratings is at our blog).

In brief, the three alpha Wright ratings are for liquidity, financial strength and profitability; and the numeric rating is for multi-factor growth on a 20 point scale.

K (rated ABA7)

UTX (rated ABA8)

AFL (rated AAA14)

TGT (rated ABA9)

BAX (rated ABA12)

SU (rated AAB7)

ANALYST RATINGS

This table shows the number of reporting analysts and the high and low and average year ahead price change projections.

# Analysts Symbol % to Hi % to Av % to Lo
21 K 12.0 (1.0) (17.0)
24 UTX 14.0 3.2 (17.0)
23 AFL 27.0 5.9 (6.8)
23 TGT 14.0 1.2 (15.0)
19 BAX 12.0 3.9 (34.0)
21 SU 47.0 2.0 (9.4)

DIVIDEND GROWTH RATES

Here are the 5-year and 1-year dividend growth rates for the 6 stocks.

Symbol 5yr DGR 1Yr DGR
K 7.26 2.33
UTX 10.83 11.46
AFL 7.84 6.06
TGT 25.16 43.33
BAX 17.64 46.27
SU 31.95 53.85

REVENUE GROWTH RATES

Dividends can’t grow forever unless revenue grows too.

There is significant concern these days about weak revenue growth in general, with concerns about the ability of companies to maintain margins (and ultimately dividends) without good growth.

Here are the 5-year, 3-year and 1-year revenue growth rates for the 6 stocks.

Symbol 5yr RGR 3Yr RGR 1Yr RGR
K 3.81 4.13 11.14
UTX 1.19 2.99 7.56
AFL 10.50 11.62 8.75
TGT 2.96 3.90 3.31
BAX 4.73 4.15 1.81
SU 18.00 19.60 (0.50)

These stocks may not be right for you, but having passed a rigorous set of filters, they may provide a rational set of leads for further research for the Do-It-Yourself equity income investor.

By Richard Shaw 
http://www.qvmgroup.com

Richard Shaw leads the QVM team as President of QVM Group. Richard has extensive investment industry experience including serving on the board of directors of two large investment management companies, including Aberdeen Asset Management (listed London Stock Exchange) and as a charter investor and director of Lending Tree ( download short professional profile ). He provides portfolio design and management services to individual and corporate clients. He also edits the QVM investment blog. His writings are generally republished by SeekingAlpha and Reuters and are linked to sites such as Kiplinger and Yahoo Finance and other sites. He is a 1970 graduate of Dartmouth College.

Copyright 2006-2013 by QVM Group LLC All rights reserved.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilizing methods believed reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Do your own due diligence.

Richard Shaw Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules