Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Friday Stock Market CRASH Following Israel Attack on Iranian Nuclear Facilities - 19th Apr 24
All Measures to Combat Global Warming Are Smoke and Mirrors! - 18th Apr 24
Cisco Then vs. Nvidia Now - 18th Apr 24
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? - 18th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Summers Out... Stock Market Likes But Fades Late.... Nasdaq Lags Badly

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Sep 17, 2013 - 07:52 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market sent a strong message today about what it thought of the prospects of Larry Summers taking over as the head of the federal reserve. Mr. Bernanke and his liquidity machine are on the way out this January. The market wanted to get more insight into who may take over. It wanted someone more in tune with the ways of Mr. Bernanke. In other words, free cash. Mr. Summers is known to be the opposite. He doesn't believe in nonstop stimulus where Ms. Yellen does believe in it. The market was hopeful to have someone step in who would basically keep the machine running if necessary, and thus, celebrated the news that came out over the weekend when Mr. Summers said he was no longer interested in being the head of the Fed world.


Futures blasted up all over the world. Our futures were up huge last night with the Dow up over 220 points when adding in pre-market fair value. We basically opened on the high and faded slowly but surely for the rest of the day. The Nasdaq closed over 40 points off the high. The pullback was not shocking since intraday RSI's reached over 80 on the Dow and near 80 on the S&P 500. The Nasdaq closed near the lows with the Dow and S&P 500 holding on to respectable gains, although they too closed well off the highs. Anyone who bought the market open took losses for the day. Bottom line is today is yet just another day in this meandering market trading in quite a large range between 1627 at the bottom and 1710 at the top. Bulls did do some damage, but they were unable to clear 1710 key resistance. Thus, we will likely trade on news events in the days ahead. Until 1627 or 1710 gets taken over with force, no one is truly in control for the short-term. Meandering will continue for now.

You watch to see where a market throws its dollar bills when you get news such as we got over the weekend with regards to Mr. Summers and Ms. Yellen. Because she's a clone of Mr. Bernanke it's no surprise that the financials got a decent bid for the day. The money flowed out of technology and into financials because traders see that area as being the biggest beneficiary on the news. That said, this market keeps doing the one thing that keeps the bull going. Traders are finding places to hide even when things get overbought or when a sector or two are out of favor. Rotation, rotation and more rotation and that's the key to a strong bull market.

Yes, there are moments when the market needs to sell a little harder for a while and nothing really holds up. But most of the time different sectors of the market are finding a bid when others are not. That keeps the market meandering about, but it also keeps the market from falling too hard, thus, making things more bearish. So yes, news is key for the market now, and we'll get that in a big way on Wednesday when we hear from the Fed. News again will drive the market. Hopefully it won't be to the theme of more meandering. My gut says why not, let the market sell the news initially. Maybe this time the market will fake them out, but it makes more sense to get some selling if there's even a hint of pulling back on the those free dollars. Fireworks Wednesday should be the theme of the day.

With the S&P 500 closing below 1710 due to the late day pullback, that level remains the key level of resistance for now. If we can clear 1710 with some force, we can get to that long-term up-trend line at 1730. Neither one will be easy to clear, especially 1730 if we ever got there. The market would be very overbought, and it's very rare for those long-term trend lines to clear on the first try. They can back and fill while trying to break through, but may take many attempts before getting through, if indeed we eventually do get through. 1674/1672 is gap support on pullback's now. Some exposure makes sense. Too much does not at these nose bleed levels.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2013 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in