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GBPUSD Looking Bearish Against 1.6260 Elliott Wave Forecast

Currencies / British Pound Oct 17, 2013 - 07:42 AM GMT

By: Gregor_Horvat

Currencies

GBPUSD is very slow and choppy above 1.5900 level so we think that move from the latest low is corrective, therefore we think that recovery is temporary. In fact we labeled a decline from 1.6260 with five waves down which is evidence of a bearish price action, marked as wave (a) or (i). In both cases we expect a third leg lower once corrective wave (b) or (ii) will complete a retracement. Ideally this will occur somewhere between 38.2-61.8% retracement area compared to previous decline. In that region we also have a parallel trend line connected from 1.6161 swing that could also react as a resistance level. With that said traders should be aware of a bearish waves in the next few days. This view remains valid as long as price trades beneath 1.6260 high.


GBPUSD 4h

GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart

Educational Part: 3 Wave Decline Elliott Wave Pattern

From an Elliott Wave perspective it's good to know that five wave move represents a direction of a larger trend or change in trend. In our case it means that GBPUSD is in bearish trend and reason why we are looking for lower GBPUSD, possibly down to 1.5800 in days ahead.

Below is the graphics that shows how the structure of the basic patterns looks like and where we think GBPUSD is at the moment. It's in five waves as you can see followed by a three wave retracement before a new leg down occurs.

3 Wave Decline

Idealized Elliott Wave 3-Wave Decline

Written by www.ew-forecast.com | Try our 7 Days Free Trial Here

Ew-forecast.com is providing advanced technical analysis for the financial markets (Forex, Gold, Oil & S&P) with method called Elliott Wave Principle. We help traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our view and bias as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power.

Gregor is based in Slovenia and has been in Forex market since 2003. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets; from candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful to traders.
He was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His featured articles have been published in: Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu. He mostly focuses on currencies, gold, oil, and some major US indices.

© 2013 Copyright Gregor Horvat - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


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