Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Stock Market Uptrend Continues? - 4th Aug 20
The Dimensions of Covid-19: The Hong Kong Flu Redux - 4th Aug 20
High Yield Junk Bonds Are Hot Again -- Despite Warning Signs - 4th Aug 20
Gold Stocks Autumn Rally - 4th Aug 20
“Government Sachs” Is Worried About the Federal Reserve Note - 4th Aug 20
Gold Miners Still Pushing That Cart of Rocks Up Hill - 4th Aug 20
UK Government to Cancel Christmas - Crazy Covid Eid 2020! - 4th Aug 20
Covid-19 Exposes NHS Institutional Racism Against Black and Asian Staff and Patients - 4th Aug 20
How Sony Is Fueling the Computer Vision Boom - 3rd Aug 20
Computer Gaming System Rig Top Tips For 6 Years Future Proofing Build Spec - 3rd Aug 20
Cornwwall Bude Caravan Park Holidays 2020 - Look Inside Holiday Resort Caravan - 3rd Aug 20
UK Caravan Park Holidays 2020 Review - Hoseasons Cayton Bay North East England - 3rd Aug 20
Best Travel Bags for 2020 Summer Holidays , Back Sling packs, water proof, money belt and tactical - 3rd Aug 20
Precious Metals Warn Of Increased Volatility Ahead - 2nd Aug 20
The Key USDX Sign for Gold and Silver - 2nd Aug 20
Corona Crisis Will Have Lasting Impact on Gold Market - 2nd Aug 20
Gold & Silver: Two Pictures - 1st Aug 20
The Bullish Case for Stocks Isn't Over Yet - 1st Aug 20
Is Gold Price Action Warning Of Imminent Monetary Collapse - Part 2? - 1st Aug 20
Will America Accept the World's Worst Pandemic Response Government - 1st Aug 20
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More – Part II - 1st Aug 20
Trump White House Accelerating Toward a US Dollar Crisis - 31st Jul 20
Why US Commercial Real Estate is Set to Get Slammed - 31st Jul 20
Gold Price Blows Through Upside Resistance - The Chase Is On - 31st Jul 20
Is Crude Oil Price Setting Up for a Waterfall Decline? - 31st Jul 20
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More - 30th Jul 20
Why Big Money Is Already Pouring Into Edge Computing Tech Stocks - 30th Jul 20
Economic and Geopolitical Worries Fuel Gold’s Rally - 30th Jul 20
How to Finance an Investment Property - 30th Jul 20
I Hate Banks - Including Goldman Sachs - 29th Jul 20
NASDAQ Stock Market Double Top & Price Channels Suggest Pending Price Correction - 29th Jul 20
Silver Price Surge Leaves Naysayers in the Dust - 29th Jul 20
UK Supermarket Covid-19 Shop - Few Masks, Lack of Social Distancing (Tesco) - 29th Jul 20
Budgie Clipped Wings, How Long Before it Can Fly Again? - 29th Jul 20
How To Take Advantage Of Tesla's 400% Stock Surge - 29th Jul 20
Gold Makes Record High and Targets $6,000 in New Bull Cycle - 28th Jul 20
Gold Strong Signal For A Secular Bull Market - 28th Jul 20
Anatomy of a Gold and Silver Precious Metals Bull Market - 28th Jul 20
Shopify Is Seizing an $80 Billion Pot of Gold - 28th Jul 20
Stock Market Minor Correction Underway - 28th Jul 20
Why College Is Never Coming Back - 27th Jul 20
Stocks Disconnect from Economy, Gold Responds - 27th Jul 20
Silver Begins Big Upside Rally Attempt - 27th Jul 20
The Gold and Silver Markets Have Changed… What About You? - 27th Jul 20
Google, Apple And Amazon Are Leading A $30 Trillion Assault On Wall Street - 27th Jul 20
This Stock Market Indicator Reaches "Lowest Level in Nearly 20 Years" - 26th Jul 20
New Wave of Economic Stimulus Lifts Gold Price - 26th Jul 20
Stock Market Slow Grind Higher Above the Early June Stock Highs - 26th Jul 20
How High Will Silver Go? - 25th Jul 20
If You Own Gold, Look Out Below - 25th Jul 20
Crude Oil and Energy Sets Up Near Major Resistance – Breakdown Pending - 25th Jul 20
FREE Access to Premium Market Forecasts by Elliott Wave International - 25th Jul 20
The Promise of Silver as August Approaches: Accumulation and Conversation - 25th Jul 20
The Silver Bull Gateway is at Hand - 24th Jul 20
The Prospects of S&P 500 Above the Early June Highs - 24th Jul 20
How Silver Could Surpass Its All-Time High - 24th Jul 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Get Rich Investing in Stocks by Riding the Electron Wave

Two Great Market Bubble Threats, One Great Investor Opportunity

Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013 Nov 23, 2013 - 04:00 PM GMT

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Stock-Markets

“I am very cautious on equities today, This market could easily have a big drop. Very simplistically put, a lot of the earnings are a mirage. They are not coming because the companies are well run but because of low interest rates.” 11/18/13 - Carl Icahn

Very smart Investor Carl Icahn is right to call “a lot of”  corporate earnings a “mirage” because by reducing borrowing costs via ongoing QE, The Fed has artificially elevated earnings.

Thus Corporate Earnings are yet another Dangerous Fed-created Asset Bubble.


With Janet Yellen’s appointment as Fed Chairman nearly a Slam Dunk (albeit a Bad One) we can expect Easy Money Policies including Bond Buying via QE to continue indefinitely.

This will likely keep rates on the 10 year below 3% for a little while more but cannot keep them from rising indefinitely. There is simply too much Fed-created Hot Money in the System. Hot Money Bubbles are inflating because Fed QE suppresses interest rates, which lowers borrowing costs, which artificially elevates corporate Earnings. These earnings are thus Hot, i.e., artificially created, money. Remove or lessen the QE and the Bubble Bursts. Carl Icahn is therefore correct to call corporate earnings “a mirage.” And such a Mirage is a Dangerous Bubble!

“It is almost comical watching stocks soaring into the stratosphere negating one negative technical warning after another and reaching levels that defy rational thinking, yet here we are.

“The investing world has been perfectly conditioned by the Central Bankers to buy every single dip, throw caution to the wind, make the word "risk" archaic, and continue to shove stocks higher and higher and higher with no end in sight. It is absolutely astonishing to watch this thing unfold.

“Apparently all that is needed to make the very concept of a bear market in stocks obsolete is for endless money printing. There appears to be no consequences whatsoever to this madness as it is now the new normal.



“Maybe we will see 1800 in the S&P 500 before the month is out. Who knows? As a trader you have to go with the money flow and the chart but as an observer with a sense of history, you have to shake your head in both bewilderment and sadness. Bewilderment that so many otherwise intelligent individuals see nothing wrong with a near-permanent money creation scheme and sadness, that so many can be herded into something which has no rational basis other than the fact that it is going up.

“I do need to make one quick comment - I have stated that the broad universe of investors see no inflation signs whatsoever. Yet, one thing should be very evident - the stock market is a perfect picture of near runaway inflation but in paper assets.”

“The Bubble Keeps Getting Bigger,” Dan Norcini

traderdannorcini.blogspot.com, 11/13/2013

But this Bubble creates a Great Opportunity, as we explain.

Prospectively, the Fundamental pressure (via the increasing amounts of Hot Money)  for higher rates will eventually overwhelm Fed action therefore, we expect rates to continue to rise slowly, then very rapidly suddenly (see our Timing Forecasts). That is because at some point ongoing Hot Money creation crashes the Purchasing Power of the  $US. Clearly, China is already working to displace the $US with a Gold-Backed Yuan as the New World Reserve Currency. When Investors and Sovereigns see this clearly there will be a Massive Flight from the $US.

As well, ongoing Fed QE not only creates an ever-more-Dangerous Bubble in the Equities Market, but also a Great Bubble in the artificially elevated Bond Market (resulting, for the past few years in artificially suppressed interest rates). This Bubble too will break. So where to turn for Profit and Protection?

In a Non-Manipulated Market, The Massive Monetary Inflation generated by ongoing QE would generate Great Price Increases in non-Fiat (i.e., Real) Money – Gold and Silver.

But as regular Readers already know, Fed and other Central Banks, i.e., The Cartel (Note 1) have for years been conducting ongoing suppression of Paper Gold and Silver Prices, creating a Reverse Bubble, if you will.

But this Suppression is creating a Great Opportunity to buy Physical Gold and Silver at Bargain Prices. But one should invest with one’s eyes open as to the likely course and timing and results of Cartel Intervention attempts.

Consider that ‘James Mc,’ writing at LeMetropoleCafe, has become depressed because at the very likely prospect of a Takedown, but we see it as an Opportunity.

“I now see a period coming up having extremely high odds of further cartel smashes. Judging by the past 2 years of in-your-face, no regulation, blatant to extreme manipulation I'd say the odds exceed 95%... I'm issuing a severe cartel intervention warning from Friday, November 22 to Friday, December 6th. Cartel interventions and flash crashes during this period have a history of producing severe financial damage to long-based derivative portfolios. The timing of the severe cartel warning is as follows:

“Friday 11/22: Pre-option expiration Friday.

“Monday 11/25: Dec. gold and silver option expirations.

“Friday 11/29: Illiquid Thanksgiving holiday trade

“and Dec. gold, silver first notice days.

“Friday 12/6: Non-farm payroll Friday.

“If recent history is any guide they will be gunning for this period. I'd rather stick my hand into a pile of burning coal embers rather than take a long position ahead of this period.”

But even if that Prospective Takedown occurs, the Great Opportunity to buy Physical is enhanced. This is because stockpiles of Physical available for Delivery are rapidly depleting.

Indeed, Gold shipped from Hong Kong to the Mainland nearly tripled to 855 tonnes in this year to September. And that is just one entry point to Mainland China.

Looking ahead, the Prospects for The Great Launch Up beginning soon are increasingly bolstered by the fact that Physical Bullion Supplies available for Delivery continue to Deplete – A recent report from the Comex shows the Registered (Physical Available for Delivery) has shrunk to about 630,000 ounces. If only 2% of “longs” stand for Delivery, Comex Physical would be exhausted.

And India is starving for Physical Gold

“Indian ex-duty premiums: AM $157.40, PM 155.90, with worth gold at $1243.48 and $1242.85. Far above legal imports point: India continues to starve for gold. At the PM reading local Indian gold was 24.28% above would gold (Thursday24.14%).”

“Early GJ: Cheerful Chinese?,” John Brimelow

In sum, soon (see our Forecasts) we expect The Great Launch UP (of Both Bullion and the Mining Shares) to begin soon.

In sum, these Bubble-Threats and Opportunities are the result of The Private, For-Profit Fed’s self-interested policy of protecting their Owners/Mega-Bank Clients above all.

Thus it is no surprise that former Director of the OMB, David Stockman recently said (11/14/13) that the “lunatic” policies of The Fed were engineering a global “collapse”.

But that Prospective Collapse begets a Great Opportunity.

Best regards,

www.deepcaster.com

DEEPCASTER FORTRESS ASSETS LETTER

DEEPCASTER HIGH POTENTIAL SPECULATOR

Wealth Preservation         Wealth Enhancement

© 2013 Copyright DeepCaster LLC - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

DEEPCASTER LLC Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules