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Why 95% of Traders Fail

Jim Rogers Gold Price 50% Correction Low During 2015

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015 Jan 08, 2015 - 06:44 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Commodities

Jim Rogers Gold outlook for 2015 according to a recent youtube video is for the gold price to halve from its all time high during 2015, which implies a drop from its April 2011 high of $1923 to $960 as the following extract illustrates -

"We have a lot of people who bought gold in the last 14 years. Gold has not had a proper correction for a long long time and in my view until there is a proper correction Gold cannot make a bottom and start over."


"Gold has not been down 50% in many years and that is not normal, most things go down 50% every 3 or 4 years, it's just the way markets work."

"If Gold were to go down 50% that would be $960".

Therefore a drop to $960 against the recent gold price of $1200 would translate into a 20% drop (-$240) for 2015.

The video continues with Jim discussing oil, stocks and other commodities.

My recent in-depth analysis concluded in the following trend forecast for the gold price during 2015.

31 Dec 2014 - Gold Price Trend Forecast 2015

Gold Price Forecast Conclusion 2015

My forecast conclusion is for the Gold price to trend lower into August 2015, targeting a low of $1050 before Gold finally makes a low for the year that propels the Gold price to above $1300, probably spiking to approx $1350 during November before correcting during December as illustrated by the below forecast trend graph.

Ensure you are subscribed to my FREE newsletter for in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecasts during 2015 and for access to download my five ebook's.

Nadeem Walayat Detailed Market Trend Forecasts 2015

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2015 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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