Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.US Paving the Way for Massive First Strike on North Korea Nuclear and Missile Infrastructure - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Trump Reset: US War With China, North Korea Nuclear Flashpoint - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Silver Junior Mining Stocks 2017 Q2 Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
4.Soaring Inflation Plunges UK Economy Into Stagflation, Triggers Government Pay Cap Panic! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The Bitcoin Blueprint To Your Financial Freedom - Sean Keyes
6.North Korea 'Begging for War', 'Enough is Enough', is a US Nuclear Strike Imminent? - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Hits All-Time High and Smashes Through $5,000 As Gold Shows Continued Strength - Jeff_Berwick
8.2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why - EWI
9.Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process - Rambus_Chartology
10.Bitcoin Falls 20% as Mobius and Chinese Regulators Warn - GoldCore
Last 7 days
Americans Don’t Grasp The Magnitude Of The Looming Pension Tsunami That May Hit Us Within 10 Years - 20th Sep 17
Stock Market Waiting Game... - 20th Sep 17
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal - 20th Sep 17
US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead - 20th Sep 17
Looking For the Next Big Stock? Look at Design - 20th Sep 17
Self Employed? Understanding Business Insurance - 19th Sep 17
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes - 19th Sep 17
USD/CHF – Verification of Breakout or Further Declines? - 19th Sep 17
Blockchain Tech: Don't Say You Didn't Know - 19th Sep 17
The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Pointless - 19th Sep 17
How To Resolve the Korean Conundrum  - 19th Sep 17
A World Doomed to a Never Ending War - 19th Sep 17
What is Backtesting? And Why You Need Backtesting System? - 19th Sep 17
These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media - 18th Sep 17
Bitcoin Price Crash 40% In 3 Days Underlining Gold’s Safe Haven Credentials - 18th Sep 17
The Sum of Risks – Global, Strategic, Political, and Financial - 18th Sep 17
The Netflix Of Canada’s Cannabis Boom - 18th Sep 17
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless - 18th Sep 17
SPX 2500 … At Last! - 18th Sep 17
Inflation Lies, Lies and OMG More Lies - 18th Sep 17
How to Choose right Forex Trader? - 18th Sep 17
Who Has Shaped the World the Most? The Dozen Greatest Achievers - 17th Sep 17
Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? - 17th Sep 17
Gold Up, Markets Fatigued As War Talk Boils Over - 17th Sep 17
Predicting the Future of the U.S. and the World - 16th Sep 17
Deceit in the Financial Food Chain - 16th Sep 17
Gold GLD ETF Investment Resuming - 16th Sep 17
Extreme Weather & Energy Markets: What's Next? - Video - 15th Sep 17
Trump’s Path to IP Wars - 15th Sep 17
GBP USD Approaches Fibonacci Target - 15th Sep 17
Higher US Interest Rates May Force Higher Inflation Rates - 15th Sep 17
Stock Market Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks - 15th Sep 17
The 3 Best P2P Lending Platforms For Investors In 2017—Detailed Analysis - 15th Sep 17
The US Debt Bubble Will Soon Warrant Serious Measures - 15th Sep 17
Why it is Often Difficult to Sell a House Fast - 15th Sep 17
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will It Break Above 2,500? - 14th Sep 17
Capital Market Trends - 14th Sep 17
Mike Maloney: The Top 10 Reasons I Own Gold and Silver - 14th Sep 17
The Only Real Europe is Greece - 14th Sep 17
7 Security Tips for Online Traders - 14th Sep 17
5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End. Eexpert Analysis and New Trading Opportunities - 13th Sep 17
Massive Equifax Hack Shows Cyber Risk to Deposits and Investments Today - 13th Sep 17
Investment Advice for My Children & Grandchildren - 13th Sep 17
TRADE FOR A CHANGE - 13th Sep 17
The Stock Performance of Public Casino Companies in 2017 - 13th Sep 17
Soaring Inflation Plunges UK Economy Into Stagflation, Triggers Government Pay Cap Panic! - 13th Sep 17
Precious Metals Bull Analogs Update - 13th Sep 17
Tip: When “This” Happens, A Stock Price Goes Up… - 13th Sep 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End. Eexpert Analysis and New Trading Opportunities

Gold And Silver Nothing Of Substance Going On. Fiat “Dollar” Controlling?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015 Apr 11, 2015 - 12:14 PM GMT

By: Michael_Noonan

Commodities

There is little going on in the precious metals markets that indicates directional movement to the upside, and not even much to the downside. The news is as disjointed but permeated with sameness as ever before. To try to make sense of nonsense remains in the theater of the absurd. All we have to offer are the current read of charts, and they are an extension of what they have been like for the last several weeks.

A look at the fiat faux “dollar” chart, the antithesis of gold, may offer the best clue as to why PMs remain mired in the trading range reaches within their protracted down trends.


We have mentioned how the IMF’s SDR basket of currencies will include the Chinese Yuan, to be vote on in October and become effective 1 January 2016. [See Most Widely Used Currency In Western World? Stupidity. 3rd paragraph above first chart.]

If that is to be the case, expect more meandering, maybe with increased volatility, but nothing to be resolved much before the 4th Qtr of this year or into the 1st Qtr of 2016.

The strength of the fiat Federal Reserve Note is a function of the corporate federal US government exercising its military might, and indiscriminately, we might add. While China and Russia, and the BRICS alliance nations are busy building new infrastructures and developing new trade relations, Obomba and company are busy destroying as much of the rest of the world as possible.

For as long as the fast fading, but still very lethal, US military dominance exists, a renewed bull market in PMs cannot. It is really that simple. The US, as emperor may not be wearing any clothes, but it still wields the mightiest sword. Sadly, the worst may be yet to come as the US refuses to bow out gracefully to the will of the rest of the world seeking only harmony and growth.

As an aside, with Russia’s military capabilities, the US may no longer be the mightiest, but it does remain the world’s military bully.

The small range low at the beginning of March, [5th bar from right], and the D/S bar following it [Demand over Supply], remains as a possible retest of the spike low from
November 2014.

Is the final low in for PMs? No one can say with any degree of certainty, and those who have said as much over the past year[s] have been wrong. It is interesting to note how a few more so-called experts are now saying there could be still lower prices. Apparently, they are laboring under the stopped-watch-is-right-twice-a-day theory.

A final low often cannot be confirmed for several weeks, sometimes months after the fact. It really does not matter, a fact more people should embrace. More money is lost from trying to pick tops and bottoms that at any other time in a chart cycle. There is a whole lot of money to be made in the portion of the market above 20% – 25% of the final low, and below 20% – 25 % of the final high. In both instances, there is market momentum behind one’s decision-making.

Daily silver is in the middle of a TR, and that is where the LOK is at its least. [Level Of Knowledge]. We choose not to push on a string in any market.

The correlation between the fiat Federal Reserve Note and gold is not a one-to-one situation. While the “dollar” index rallies, gold remains trapped in the lower reaches of its TR. Caveat emptor for the derivative-driven paper market. Keep buying the physical.

As we mentioned in last week’s silver chart, trend changes begin in the smaller time frames. While the weekly and monthly charts do not indicate a change, nor does the daily, for that matter, changes in trend will show up here, first. The chart comments more fully address this fact.

Last week’s gold chart had the resistance line drawn in, as seen below, and the rally came to a halt right at that level. No change and no indication of buying has proven to alter the course of the entrenched down trend.

By Michael Noonan

http://edgetraderplus.com

Michael Noonan, mn@edgetraderplus.com, is a Chicago-based trader with over 30 years in the business. His sole approach to analysis is derived from developing market pattern behavior, found in the form of Price, Volume, and Time, and it is generated from the best source possible, the market itself.

© 2015 Copyright Michael Noonan - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Michael Noonan Archive

© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife