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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Stocks Open Down

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Oct 19, 2015 - 03:16 PM GMT

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Stock-Markets

Good Morning!

SPX is down -8.00 as I write and appears to be sinking in the Premarket. For those not yet short, a decline beneath Short-term support/resistance at 2004.59 may be appropriate to start layering in positions. Beneath the 50-day Moving Average is a sell confirmed signal, but subject to probable throw-backs.


ZeroHedge reports, “The key overnight event was the much anticipated, goalseeked and completely fabricated Chinese economic data dump, which was both good and bad depending on who was asked: bad, in that at 6.9% it was below the government's 7.0% target and the lowest since Q1 2009, and thus hinting at "more stimulus" especially since industrial production (5.7%, Exp. 6.0%) and fixed spending also both missed; it was good because it beat expectations of 6.8% by the smallest possible increment, and set the tone for much of Europe's trading session, even if Asia shares ultimately closed largely in the red over skepticism over the authenticity of the GDP results. Worse, and confirming the global economy is now one massive circular reference, China accused the Fed's rate hike plans for slowing down its economy, which is ironic because the Fed accused China's economy for forcing it to delay its rate hike.”

Furthermore, “While the big TBTF banks managed to hide much of their ugly balance sheet exposure, and prevent it from hitting the income statement in Q3 as reported previously, while covering up prop trading losses as well as they possibly could, the banks without trillions in deposits were less able to do so: first it was Jefferies, then Goldman posted its worst quarter in years, and now here comes the bank also known as Margin Stanley, which moments ago reported Q3 EPS of $0.34, which even if adjusted for various "one-time" items, at $0.48, not only missed consensus of $0.63 wildly, but it also missed the lowest range of the estimate range ($0.53-$0.70).”

TNX is modestly higher. It had its Master Cycle low on October 2 and has already rolled over,, so it shouldn’t be long before its resumes its decline.

WTIC is down 2% this morning at 46.78. While not below Short-term support, it has made a reversal pattern that suggests a low risk short entry here this morning.

All the best,

Regards,

Tony

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As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only.  There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

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