Gold Market Goes Quiet – Do We Hear The Echo Of The Bottom?

By: GoldCore

Demand for gold is soaring according to the World Gold council’s latest report. The report shows that overall worldwide demand for gold rose by a very significant 33% with the US, Europe, China and Russia all stocking up and pushing demand. Central bankers, lead by Russia, are stocking up aggressively.

With fundamentals like these, why are gold prices not soaring? Crowd psychology might be one reason. Sol Palha of Technical Investor explains.

Year-on-Year Changes in Gold Demand, By Category (Source: WGC)

“Fundamentals do not drive the market; they just provide you with a picture to somewhat justify your biased views. What drives the market is emotions, and some technical indicators have the ability to pick up on these emotional changes. Crowd psychology is probably one of the best and least utilized tools when it comes to spotting topping and bottoming action”.

“From the Technical analysis perspective, gold has one more leg down, but the last leg might or might not be too steep. It will serve to bolster the foolish notion that the Gold bull is dead. Every bull market undergoes a back-breaking correction, and Gold is no exception. We believe the next leg up will yield even larger profits”.

“To indicate that a bottom is in place, Gold cannot close below 1050 on a weekly basis; failure to hold above this level should lead to a test of the 1000 ranges, with a possible overshoot to $950”.

“From the mass psychology perspective, Gold is very close to putting in a bottom. Sentiment investors, contrarian investors and investors who are familiar with the concept of mass psychology should consider taking a closer look at the precious metal’s sector now”.

Read Palha’s full analysis: “Is Gold on the verge of a breakout?”

Other sources:
- Gold Bullion Demand Surges 27% In Q3 – New Chinese “Buying Spree
- The Gold Bull is Dead – Tactical Investor

DAILY PRICES

Today’s Gold Prices: USD 1072.20, EUR 1011.10 and GBP 711.23 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1073.00, EUR 1008.32 and GBP 709.67 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)

Gold in EUR – 1 Month

Gold managed a gain yesterday rising $6.70 to close the day at $1075.40. Silver gained a marginal $0.06 to close at $14.17. Platinum lost $4 to $839.

Must-read guides to international bullion storage:

Download Essential Guide to Gold Storage in Singapore

Download Essential Guide To Storing Gold In Switzerland

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

Mark O'Byrne

WINNERS MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analysts 2006

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