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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

David Cameron Declares Jihad on Islamic State Syria - 'Bombs Away Chaps'

Politics / ISIS Islamic State Dec 03, 2015 - 07:32 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Politics

Britain's industrial military complex smarting from having failed to profit form the four year long Syrian civil war will today be toasting after the success of much costly lobbying of MP's, who led by the Prime Minister have followed their instructions to start to empty the munitions dumps of bombs and missiles to be dropped right across Syria, joining US, French, Turkish and Russian militaries as they rain hell fire missiles down onto civilian populations, with the probable resulting carnage of many hundreds of innocents killed for every ISIS gangster killed, akin to flattening Rome to kill members of the mafia, all in the name of defending Britain from the terror threat that the likes of the CIA and MI5 amongst other secret police agencies have been busy creating and fostering so as to support the need for the exponential expansion of the surveillance state.


And so today, the near 400 paid stooges of the military industrial complex in parliament effectively voted for Jihad on Syria that will likely see as many as 500 innocent civilians killed in Syria over the next 12 months, which is a fraction of the death and destruction that the UK rained down onto Iraq and Afghanistan for over a decade. Still it could be worse as the decision is mostly for pomp and ceremony as Britain can barely muster a handful of Tornado fighter bombers so the actual capacity to inflict carnage on the Syrian people is greatly limited.

So yes, British bombs will kill many ISIS fighters/ terrorists/ gangsters but for every gangster killed, so will at least 10 innocent Syrians die, as what usually happens when one drops bombs onto cities as the carnage in Iraq and Afghanistan so often illustrated.

Another War Based on Lies

Last time the big lie was that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction that could be launched at Britain within 45mins. This time the big lie is that there is a 70,000 strong army of moderate free syrian forces on the ground ready to capitalise on British bombing to fight ISIS on the ground. This is the same free syrian army that the Russians have been busy pulverising for several months with more then ten times the number of bombs dropped that the UK will likely drop on ISIS over the next 12 months. The truth is that there are unlikely to be more than 5,000 moderate free syrian army, and even there over 90% of whom are already busy fighting the Russian backed Assad regime.

In fact this is really a war between Assad / Russia and the forces backed by the West, Saudi Arabia and Turkey that risks escalating as illustrated by the downing of a Russian War plane barely a week ago. So throw into this mix the CIA sending weapons that can shoot down Russian planes that could just as easily be used against US, French and British planes and you start to get a hint at the quagmire that is the Syrian civil war, where every intervening nation has conflicting objectives. As an example the West is backing the Kurds on the ground whilst Turkey is busying bombing them from the air.

Protecting Britain from ISIS Terror Attacks By Bombing

Supposedly the whole basis for bombing Syria is that it will prevent attacks such as those on Paris taking place in the UK. This ignores the fundamental fact that the attacks on Paris and elsewhere have been taken place by FELLOW CITIZENS, yes they were mentally unstable, but they were French and Belgian citizen just as the London 7/7 bombers were locals speaking in Northern accents. Therefore bombing ISIS will NOT diminish the risk of terror attacks but rather embolden local Jihadi's to become more determined to carry out 'revenge' attacks such as that on Paris which cannot ignore the fact that France has been on a 2 year bloody rampage across North Africa that includes bombing Syria BEFORE the Paris terror attacks.

Therefore bombing ISIS will undoubtedly INCREASE the risks of an terror attack in Britain, rather than diminish it as the mainstream propaganda has been bombarding the people of Britain with these past few weeks. Especially as ISIS has already being bombed by a dozen countries without much effect, so Britain sending a handful of fighter bombers to drop perhaps a couple of hundred bombs on Syrian towns and cities is NOT going to DEFEAT ISIS, for instance the US alone has dropped over 3,000 bombs in Syria, killing over 20,000 Syrians and without much effect on ISIS, instead all it does is paint a big red target on Britain.

It does not take a genius to see what the probable outcome of even more bombing on Syria will be, of even more refugees that Britain and the rest of Europe don't want to let in! These same nations that are busy dropping bombs triggering further mass migrations out of Syria, but then say we don't want you here!

Assad / Russia Inconvenient Truth

What the gung-ho politicians and mainstream propaganda media has been ignoring is that the real threat to the Syrian people is not ISIS but the Russian backed Assad regime that this year alone has killed near TEN TIMES the number of Syrians than has Islamic State. This is a fact that anyone can easily verify by googling which is completely contrary to the propaganda we see on our screens that appears to have mostly gone silent on Assad and instead focused on a bunch of gangsters in the desert.

In fact this suggests that the Syrian people will see Britain more or less doing Assad's bidding as they bomb the enemies of the Assad regime.

The bottom line is that ISIS cannot be defeated whilst Assad is in power because the rest of the Syrians are more concerned with fighting Assad than ISIS who they see as a temporary foreign presence that's filling a void left by civil war.

What do ISIS Want ?

What most still fail to realise is that ISIS actually believe that they are fulfilling 'End Time' prophecy NOW as written in the Koran and Hadiths. In which respect ISIS really does want the West to rain down bombs and more importantly send in boots on ground for Islamic prophecy states that they will be victorious and usher in the second coming of Isah / Jesus as I covered in this video over 2 years ago -

So What Would Work ?

Firstly to stop all bombing and create a Syria wide no fly zone, then safe zones which will allow the Syrian people to first bring an end to the Assad dictatorship and then allow the Syrian people to swiftly deal with the over hyped ISIS. Of course there is no sign that this is going to happen, especially given Russia's escalation, so I guess the Syrian conflict will still be continuing four years from now.

Who Created ISIS - An Inconvenient Truth

Who blew apart the Iraq secular dictatorship? Ripping the Sunni's from power, disbanding the Iraqi armed forces and in the process creating a crucible for sectarian insurgencies that continue to this very day? Yep that's right George Bush and Tony Bliar.

That crucible for insurgency gave birth to ISIS that spilled over into the void left by the Syrian civil war, declaring itself to be an Islamic Caliphate last year. And during Syria's 4 year civil war what were the likes of the CIA and MI5 upto? That's right arming and funding any group that opposed the Russian backed Assad dictatorship as they sought to diminish Russian influence in the region.

Therefore the underlying inconvenient truth is that ISIS / Islamic state only exists because it is in US strategic interests for ISIS to exist, as an Sunni opposing force to Shia Iranian and Russian backed Assad regime.

Therefore the mainstream media obsession of footage of the US bombing ISIS is literally smoke and mirrors as ISIS to some extent represents US having boots on the ground, as part of America's and Russia's proxy war in Syria.

What Happens Next?

ISIS is not going to be defeated by bombing because most US / UK bombing is for propaganda value of sand dunes or of long since abandoned structures and to use up weapons stock piles so that the Industrial military complex can sell more expensive bombs. Instead as I have already pointed out ISIS can and will only be defeated when Assad has been defeated. Therefore ISIS are merely a pawn in the great game being played between the US and Russia.

So what's going to happen next ? We'll ISIS are going to get a makeover, as the ISIS brand has been badly tarnished so are going to reinvent themselves as something else, something more palatable to the West in their Syrian proxy war backed by other Sunni states such as Saudi Arabia.

Islamic State Too Islamic to Survive?

Many muslims say that the Islamic is State is un-Islamic and that they are not really muslims. However, the reality is that they are in fact TOO Islamic. The bottom line is that in the long-run Islamic State or very similar entities are not sustainable for their fundamental flaw is that they are rigidly following a 1400 year old script of what to do and what is going to happen, and so are locked into a path towards destruction as they are incapable of deviating from the path even if it means the difference between surviving or not. Therefore ISIS is an anomaly that chaos tends to throw up every now and then.

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for ongoing in-depth analysis and concluding detailed trend forecasts that include the following planned newsletters -

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  • US House Prices Forecast 2016
  • US Dollar Trend Forecast
  • Stock Market 2016
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By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2015 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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