Keep Alert for a Stock Market BreakdownStock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Dec 31, 2015 - 10:25 AM GMT
SPX remains above its 50-day Moving Average at 2066.13. However, it may be finalizing a reversal pattern that may lead to lower prices. Keep an eye out for the breakdown.
ZeroHedge comments, “2015's stock market range (from high to low) is among the narrowest since World War II. This 'compression' has led the horde of asset-gatherers and commission-takers to suggest that stocks are a "coiled spring" ready to burst higher from this newly-formed permanent plateau. However, as S&P Capital IQ's Sam Stoval notes, that is the exact opposite of what to expect based on history. In fact a narrow range year is typically followed by a low return year, not a high return year.”
On a more positive note, VIX has broken above its resistance zone. It appears to be back-testing that area and may emerge above it again soon. Keep an eye peeled for it to re-emerge above its mid-Cycle resistance at 16.81.
TNX has made its reversal and appears to be back on a sell signal. This reversal comes hot on the heels of an “Ugly 7 Year Treasury Auction.” Thankfully, this is the last auction of the year, so it appears that yields are on the way down again.
Gold may have started is decline again by losing Shot-term support at 1075.26. Currently the futures are priced below 1060.00 and appear to be sinking. This would be considered a sell signal from a neutral position.
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