Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 - Part1 - 21st Jan 20
How to Write a Good Finance College Essay  - 21st Jan 20
Risks to Global Economy is Balanced: Stock Market upside limited short term - 20th Jan 20
How Digital Technology is Changing the Sports Betting Industry - 20th Jan 20
Is CEOs Reputation Management Essential? All You Must Know - 20th Jan 20
APPLE (AAPL) AI Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 20th Jan 20
FOMO or FOPA or Au? - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review - 20th Jan 20
Why Intel i7-4790k Devils Canyon CPU is STILL GOOD in 2020! - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust Review - 19th Jan 20
Gold Trade Usage & Price Effect - 19th Jan 20
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020 - Trend Analysis - Video - 19th Jan 20
Stock Trade-of-the-Week: Dorchester Minerals (DMLP) - 19th Jan 20
INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 18th Jan 20
Gold Stocks Wavering - 18th Jan 20
Best Amazon iPhone Case Fits 6s, 7, 8 by Toovren Review - 18th Jan 20
1. GOOGLE (Alphabet) - Primary AI Tech Stock For Investing 2020 - 17th Jan 20
ERY Energy Bear Continues Basing Setup – Breakout Expected Near January 24th - 17th Jan 20
What Expiring Stock and Commodity Market Bubbles Look Like - 17th Jan 20
Platinum Breaks $1000 On Big Rally - What's Next Forecast - 17th Jan 20
Precious Metals Set to Keep Powering Ahead - 17th Jan 20
Stock Market and the US Presidential Election Cycle  - 16th Jan 20
Shifting Undercurrents In The US Stock Market - 16th Jan 20
America 2020 – YEAR OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY (PART TWO) - 16th Jan 20
Yes, China Is a Currency Manipulator – And the U.S. Banking System Is a Metals Manipulator - 16th Jan 20
MICROSOFT Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 15th Jan 20
Silver Traders Big Trend Analysis – Part II - 15th Jan 20
Silver Short-Term Pullback Before Acceleration Higher - 15th Jan 20
Gold Overall Outlook Is 'Strongly Bullish' - 15th Jan 20
AMD is Killing Intel - Best CPU's For 2020! Ryzen 3900x, 3950x, 3960x Budget, to High End Systems - 15th Jan 20
The Importance Of Keeping Invoices Up To Date - 15th Jan 20
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis 2020 - 14th Jan 20
Walmart Has Made a Genius Move to Beat Amazon - 14th Jan 20
Deep State 2020 – A Year Of Living Dangerously! - 14th Jan 20
The End of College Is Near - 14th Jan 20
AI Stocks Investing 2020 to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Video - 14th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust - 14th Jan 20
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review - 13th Jan 20
Trumpism Stock Market and the crisis in American social equality - 13th Jan 20
Silver Investors Big Trend Analysis for – Part I - 13th Jan 20
Craig Hemke Gold & Silver 2020 Prediction, Slams Biased Gold Naysayers - 13th Jan 20
AMAZON Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 11th Jan 20
Gold Price Reacting to Global Flash Points - 11th Jan 20
Land Rover Discovery Sport 2020 - What You Need to Know Before Buying - 11th Jan 20
Gold Buying Precarious - 11th Jan 20
The Crazy Stock Market Train to Bull Eternity - 11th Jan 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Is Silver Really a Weak Link

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016 Feb 03, 2016 - 05:13 PM GMT

By: Submissions

Commodities

Robert Alexander writes: I am not what many consider to be a Perma Gold Bull, but I do expect a 3rd phase of the 2000 Gold run to take place and end in a spectacular blow off top phase. That being the case, I also watch intently when we get these bear market lows for signs of a bigger picture change. Lately I am hearing that “Silver is weak”.  “Silver cant get out of its own way. It is setting up to plunge now.”  I’ve been discussing these lows and successfully trading them for weeks now. Is that the way I see current conditions? Is Silver really the weak link?  Not the way I look at things.  To the charts…


Looking at GOLD first may  help us with Silver

GOLD – 2 charts  –  Chart 1 – Lets take a look at Gold when it bottomed back on December  4th. I identified the lows with a weekly Bullish shake out  ( And a few other daily charts showed further confirmation of lows).

Chart 2 –   As Gold meandered at lows, I constantly heard “Gold is weak . It cant even rally.  We are going to plunge to $1000. I am going short.”   I pointed out that a Triangle was forming at the lows and mentioned how these often deceive people as a weak. They then break out higher  (See the left side of the chart).

GOLD-  It  wasnt ‘weak’, it broke out but Miners broke down. Many said that is very bearish, so…

To add confidence to our recent lows, I pointed out a triangle that I remember trading in 2012. It was VERY TRICKY.  Gold broke out and Silver & Miners broke down, just like in January.  Soon Both ran quickly higher leaving many behind ( Afraid of the weak Gold, Silver,  & Miners).

PLEASE NOTICE THAT GOLD WAS CLIMBING from MAY – AUG.   WHAT WAS SILVER DOING?

SILVER fooled people into thinking that it was “Weak?” Gold was rising in May , June, July, Aug with higher lows , but Silver was not. Notice the triangle though.

SILVER – This is how I was viewing Silver  recently,  while GOLD took off and silver “looked weak” to many.  Did you read that too? In my premium reports, I was saying to expect Silver to POP higher soon.

This is my SILVER chart in my premium report this morning.  Set up to break down?  Weak?

My  Jan 15 chart –  This is why I tell my readers that I think Silver will continue higher.  I use a special indicator that is lining up as expected.  The pattern of Basing & then the  surge happens , even in bear market rallies.  We’re basing,  how about the pop? 

 

GDX Tuesday  –  On day 10 and at resistance,  it is strong but stalled for a moment.  Can it break out?

The possibility of a  bullish GDX break out is helped when we look at other miners.   ABX didn’t hold back at resistance of the 200sma.  

DRD –  See HMY, SBGL also.   Many Miners are moving higher.  Can you imagine this happening in GDX / GDXJ?  It is possible in my humble opinion, when the tide finally turns in phase 3 of the Gold Bull.  Huge % gains will be made by those that know what to look for.

Yesterday I posted the bullish set up in PLM,  after someone asked me to keep an eye on it last fall.

It broke out .  I think it could have a lot more upside, with a possible target  being the former high volume highs getting  tested.

Yesterday when many Miners were selling off a little, we saw another small Junior breaking out over the 200sma.   This is encouraging to the overall big picture. I am starting to wonder how quarterly earnings will be for many miners with OIL & NATGAS  holding at lows for so long now.  Much of the cost of Mining is due to energy –  so low costs can add to their profitability .

MUX – Have you seen this one lately?   It was a BUY at $1.00.  Its at $1.37 today. 

So is SILVER still looking weak and ready to break down to you?   Sure, in these markets anything can happen, so we use stops, but I hope I was able to give you another way of looking at it.  By researching similar chart patterns in the past, we see BULLISH probabilities in Silver .

And what about  that BIG PICTURE?  Is it  shaping up at all or still just looking ugly like an ugly  bear market.

HUI is on support and has been consolidating there for 6  MONTHS.   A break out higher will eventually bring us the best trading that we’ve seen in years.  I have been there in 2000-2008 and 2009 to 2012. Look at  2008 – 2012 on the chart below.    $150 to $630+.   

I believe we are close to some very profitable trading for years to come.   Thanks for being here!

If you think that getting a second set of eyes on the markets would help you with your trading, why not sign up and try it for a month at $37.95?   You get access to all of my past reports and future reports for the month.   I think the 2 weekend reports that I posted this past weekend alone may  have been worth that.  It added confidence in the Silver set up. 

To sign up, click here and scroll down

If you do sign up, I recommend reading the last weekend reports as well as yesterday and today .Thanks for being here!

~ALEX

Source: http://www.chartfreak.com/2016/02/public-report-silver-really-weak-link/

By Robert Alexander

http://www.chartfreak.com

© 2016 Robert Alexander - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules