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Trading Lessons

The Fed Just Confirmed Inflation is Here

Economics / Inflation Mar 15, 2016 - 05:04 PM GMT

By: Graham_Summers

Economics

As we warned last week, the inflation genie is out of the bottle…

We now have confirmation that the Fed is aware of this…

Two key Federal Reserve officials said Monday they expect inflation to get closer to the central bank’s target…

Their comments came after data late last month that showed core inflation rose 1.7 percent in the 12 months ended in January.

Source: CNBC


Indeed, even the Fed’s Vice Chair Stanley Fischer has warned inflation is coming… and the Fed wants it!

Inflation is showing signs it could accelerate in the United States, a top Federal Reserve policymaker said in comments that back the view that the central bank will hike interest rates again this year.

“We may well at present be seeing the first stirrings of an increase in the inflation rate,” Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said on Monday in prepared remarks, adding that faster inflation was “something that we would like to happen.”

Source: Reuters

Now, consider that core inflation is already ABOVE the Fed’s desired target of 2%… at a time when Oil and other commodities (including those used in food) are at 19 year lows!!!

Imagine what will happen if Oil and other commodities continue to rebound!

The Fed is cornered. If core inflation continues to rise the Fed will be forced to raise rates, kicking off another Depression.

By the way, in the 12 months after the Fed hiked rates in 1937, stocks fell 40%.

Buckle up, it’s coming.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Phoenix Capital Research

http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com

Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.

Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

© 2016 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Graham Summers Archive

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