Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
US Economy Has Been in an Economic Depression Since 2008 - 22nd Oct 21
Extreme Ratios Point to Gold and Silver Price Readjustments - 22nd Oct 21
Bitcoin $100K or Ethereum $10K—which happens first? - 22nd Oct 21
This Isn’t Sci-Fi: How AI Is About To Disrupt This $11 Trillion Industry - 22nd Oct 21
Ravencoin RVN About to EXPLODE to NEW HIGHS! Last Chance to Buy Before it goes to the MOON! - 21st Oct 21
Stock Market Animal Spirits Returning - 21st Oct 21
Inflation Advances, and So Does Gold — Except That It Doesn’t - 21st Oct 21
Why A.I. Is About To Trigger The Next Great Medical Breakthrough - 21st Oct 21
Gold Price Slowly Going Nowhere - 20th Oct 21
Shocking Numbers Show Government Crowding Out Real Economy - 20th Oct 21
Crude Oil Is in the Fast Lane, But Where Is It Going? - 20th Oct 21
3 Tech Stocks That Could Change The World - 20th Oct 21
Best AI Tech Stocks ETF and Investment Trusts - 19th Oct 21
Gold Mining Stocks: Will Investors Dump the Laggards? - 19th Oct 21
The Most Exciting Medical Breakthrough Of The Decade? - 19th Oct 21
Prices Rising as New Dangers Point to Hard Assets - 19th Oct 21
It’s not just Copper; GYX indicated cyclical the whole time - 19th Oct 21
Chinese Tech Stocks CCP Paranoia, VIES - Variable Interest Entities - 19th Oct 21
Inflation Peaked Again, Right? - 19th Oct 21
Gold Stocks Bouncing Hard - 19th Oct 21
Stock Market New Intermediate Bottom Forming? - 19th Oct 21
Beware, Gold Bulls — That’s the Beginning of the End - 18th Oct 21
Gold Price Flag Suggests A Big Rally May Start Soon - 18th Oct 21
Inflation Or Deflation – End Result Is Still Depression - 18th Oct 21
A.I. Breakthrough Could Disrupt the $11 Trillion Medical Sector - 18th Oct 21
US Economy and Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending - 17th Oct 21
The Gold Price And Inflation - 17th Oct 21
Went Long the Crude Oil? Beware of the Headwinds Ahead… - 17th Oct 21
Watch These Next-gen Cloud Computing Stocks - 17th Oct 21
Overclockers UK Custom Built PC 1 YEAR Use Review Verdict - Does it Still Work? - 16th Oct 21
Altonville Mine Tours Maze at Alton Towers Scarefest 2021 - 16th Oct 21
How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
The Only way to Crush Inflation (not stocks) - 14th Oct 21
Why "Losses Are the Norm" in the Stock Market - 14th Oct 21
Sub Species Castle Maze at Alton Towers Scarefest 2021 - 14th Oct 21
Which Wallet is Best for Storing NFTs? - 14th Oct 21
Ailing UK Pound Has Global Effects - 14th Oct 21
How to Get 6 Years Life Out of Your Overclocked PC System, Optimum GPU, CPU and MB Performance - 13th Oct 21
The Demand Shock of 2022 - 12th Oct 21
4 Reasons Why NFTs Could Be The Future - 12th Oct 21
Crimex Silver: Murder Most Foul - 12th Oct 21
Bitcoin Rockets In Preparation For Liftoff To $100,000 - 12th Oct 21
INTEL Tech Stock to the MOON! INTC 2000 vs 2021 Market Bubble WARNING - 11th Oct 21
AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
Stock Market Wall of Worry Meets NFPs - 11th Oct 21
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Continues - 11th Oct 21
China / US Stock Markets Divergence - 10th Oct 21
Can US Save Taiwan From China? Taiwan Strait Naval Battle - PLA vs 7th Fleet War Game Simulation - 10th Oct 21
Gold Price Outlook: The Inflation Chasm Between Europe and the US - 10th Oct 21
US Real Estate ETFs React To Rising Housing Market Mortgage Interest Rates - 10th Oct 21
US China War over Taiwan Simulation 2021, Invasion Forecast - Who Will Win? - 9th Oct 21
When Will the Fed Taper? - 9th Oct 21
Dancing with Ghouls and Ghosts at Alton Towers Scarefest 2021 - 9th Oct 21
Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
Scan Computers - Custom Build PC 6 Months Later, Reliability, Issues, Quality of Tech Support Review - 8th Oct 21
Gold and Silver: Your Financial Main Battle Tanks - 8th Oct 21
How to handle the “Twin Crises” Evergrande and Debt Ceiling Threatening Stocks - 8th Oct 21
Why a Peak in US Home Prices May Be Approaching - 8th Oct 21
Alton Towers Scarefest is BACK! Post Pandemic Frights Begin, What it's Like to Enter Scarefest 2021 - 8th Oct 21
AJ Bell vs II Interactive Investor - Which Platform is Best for Buying US FAANG Stocks UK Investing - 7th Oct 21
Gold: Evergrande Investors' Savior - 7th Oct 21
Here's What Really Sets Interest Rates (Not Central Banks) - 7th Oct 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Trillion Dollar Bailouts Will Likely Cripple US Budget and Imperil the Dollar

Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008 Jul 14, 2008 - 06:08 AM GMT

By: Mark_OByrne

Interest-Rates Gold finished trading in New York on Friday at $959.10, up $18.90 and silver was up to $18.72, up 48 cents. Gold rose in trading in Asia before selling off in early European trading on profit taking due to falling oil prices and a rising dollar this morning. Both gold and silver were up nearly 3% last week on inflation hedging and safe haven buying and profit taking is to be expected.

Gold and silver were up nearly 3% for the week and yet the dollar was only down some 1% and oil was essentially flat after a very volatile week. Thus, gold and silver or beginning to outperform oil as predicted and this can clearly be seen in the monthly performance in the performance table.  This is especially the case due the severity of the current financial market meltdown. Systemic risk is real and growing and the very U.S. financial system itself is now at risk of collapse and this has ramifications for the global financial and monetary system.

Despite constant reassurances by many on Wall Street, by vested interests in the financial services community internationally and by government officials that the worst of the credit crisis was over, the credit crisis has deteriorated as graphically illustrated with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and with the collapse of Indymac Corporation, the second largest bank failure in US history. Unfortunately, the credit crisis remains in its early stages and after one year we are still near the beginning of this crisis rather than the end. The subprime crisis will now be followed by the alt-A and prime mortgage crisis, the car loan crisis and even more serious will be the credit card crisis.

All these mini crises will likely lead to a dollar crisis and a global monetary crisis and could lead to a serious and prolonged recession and there is even now the possibility of an inflationary depression in the U.S.

Trillion Dollar Bailouts Will Likely Cripple U.S. Budget and Imperil the Dollar
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's rapid slide into the centre of the global financial crisis has Wall Street frantically talking about a possible government takeover of the government-sponsored mortgage agencies. The situation is so dire that according to a report in the New York Times, senior Bush administration officials are considering a full-on government takeover or nationalisation.

There is a real risk that a bailout of the GSEs would be so costly that it would cripple the U.S. budget and threaten an already badly bruised U.S. currency.

Of importance on Friday was the fact that the safe haven bid was into gold and not into government bonds and U.S. treasurys. Rather the dollar sold off aggressively as did U.S. bonds and treasurys .

The U.S. dollar has fallen sharply in recent years and it's safe haven status is now already in jeopardy.  Should the U.S.' already reluctant creditors in China, Japan, Russia and the Middle East balk at buying U.S. debt than there could be a fall in bond prices, sharply higher interest rates, a run on the dollar and an unprecedented dollar crisis.

On Friday the dollar neared record lows versus the euro and gold surged in value. A sharp fall in US stocks sent the euro to an 11-week high of $1.5970 over the weekend, less than a cent away its record peak of $1.6020 seen on April 22.

The U.S. government cannot bail out the entire financial system. The FDIC deposit fund only has $53 billion of assets and yet more realistic appraisals of coming global writedowns and losses from the credit crisis are of some US$1.3 trillion . Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are holding or ‘guaranteeing' about $5 trillion worth of mortgages . Any attempt to bailout the financial system would involve money printing and money creation on a scale of that of the Weimar Republic - which led to the brutal hyperinflation seen in Germany in the early 1920's.

Today's Data and Influences
Today is relatively quiet on the US data front, with market participants looking for further news from the financial sector and moves in equity markets to give direction to the precious metals again.

Key events to watch this week are producer prices and consumer prices for June, as well as the retail sales report for the same month. More significant may be Fed Chairman Bernanke's testimony to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday in which he will discuss the current financial crisis.

Silver is trading at $18.78/18.82 per ounce (1145 GMT).

Platinum is trading at $2007/2012 per ounce (1145 GMT).
Palladium is trading at $447/451 per ounce (1145  GMT).

By Mark O'Byrne, Executive Director

Gold Investments
63 Fitzwilliam Square
Dublin 2
Ph +353 1 6325010
Fax  +353 1 6619664
Gold and Silver Investments Limited
No. 1 Cornhill
United Kingdom
Ph +44 (0) 207 0604653
Fax +44 (0) 207 8770708

Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. have been awarded the MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analyst of 2006.

Mission Statement
Gold and Silver Investments Limited hope to inform our clientele of important financial and economic developments and thus help our clientele and prospective clientele understand our rapidly changing global economy and the implications for their livelihoods and wealth.
We focus on the medium and long term global macroeconomic trends and how they pertain to the precious metal markets and our clienteles savings, investments and livelihoods. We emphasise prudence, safety and security as they are of paramount importance in the preservation of wealth.

Financial Regulation: Gold & Silver Investments Limited trading as Gold Investments is regulated by the Financial Regulator as a multi-agency intermediary. Our Financial Regulator Reference Number is 39656. Gold Investments is registered in the Companies Registration Office under Company number 377252 . Registered for VAT under number 6397252A . Codes of Conduct are imposed by the Financial Regulator and can be accessed at or from the Financial Regulator at PO Box 9138, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland. Property, Commodities and Precious Metals are not regulated by the Financial Regulator

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

All the opinions expressed herein are solely those of Gold & Silver Investments Limited and not those of the Perth Mint. They do not reflect the views of the Perth Mint and the Perth Mint accepts no legal liability or responsibility for any claims made or opinions expressed herein.

Mark O'Byrne Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


14 Jul 08, 21:38
US Economy

I have a sleeping bag and a good tent.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in