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BREXIT Gold Diversification As Vote Fuels Market Uncertainty

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016 May 31, 2016 - 01:29 PM GMT

By: GoldCore

Commodities

BREXIT gold diversification is taking place due to concerns about the BREXIT vote on June 23rd as “smart money” institutions, banks and investors diversify into non negative yielding gold.



One of the oldest private banks in the world, Berenberg, established in 1590 and with assets under management of €40 billion said in an interview that demand for precious metals should see prices “rebound by as much as 40 percent in the next two years to a level last seen in October 2012” according to Bloomberg:

Joh. Berenberg Gossler & Co. plans to increase its holdings of gold and other precious metals, betting that demand will be lifted by uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. elections and the vote on the U.K.’s membership of the European Union.

Chief Investment Officer Manfred Schlumberger, who joined the Hamburg-based bank in January, expects gold, silver and platinum markets to rebound by as much as 40 percent in the next two years to a level last seen in October 2012. For that reason, Berenberg plans to double the share of precious metals in its investment portfolio to about 10 percent in the weeks ahead, he said. The company manages about 40 billion euros ($45 billion) of assets.

“People used to go for 10-year German government bonds or treasuries, but as they don’t offer any yield, more investors will consider buying bullion,” Schlumberger, 58, said in an interview. “It will be a segment that will benefit from political uncertainties like Brexit or a possible Donald Trump election victory.

Schlumberger is targeting an entry-level price of between $1,200 and 1,230 an ounce.”

Bloomberg article here

The smart money, large institutional money, who understands diversification and gold’s function as a store of value continues to diversify into gold. There is an awareness of gold’s benefit as a hedging instrument and safe haven asset but also an awareness that the outlook for prices at these still depressed levels is very positive.

This is seen in the view of Berenberg, which is in the fifth century of its existence and one of the oldest owner managed banks in the world, who see gold returning to  2012 levels at $1,900/oz per ounce.

The less informed money continues not to appreciate the risks that are again building in the system. Risk appetite remains high and there is a distinct lack of awareness regarding how risks, such as BREXIT, may impact financial markets and traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, property and indeed deposits.

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

Mark O'Byrne

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