Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Seasonal Buying Opportunities - 4th Dec 23
Transition From Debt Default And Dollar Demise To A Digital Bridge Currency Recovery - 4th Dec 23
The Future of Trading Has Arrived: Say Hello to Tradu - 4th Dec 23
Adapting to the Fast-Paced World of Online Poker - 4th Dec 23
Israeli Prime Minister Confesses to Being a Palestinian - 4th Dec 23
The Bond Trade - 1st Dec 23
Gold Shines as the Economic Outlook Darkens - 1st Dec 23
Stock Market Santa Rally to S&P 4600+ - 28th Nov 23
Stocks and Silver Have Something to Say about Gold - 28th Nov 23
Can A Stock Market Crash Be Averted... For Now? - 28th Nov 23
Taiwan 2024 Election: Militarization or Development - 28th Nov 23
The Stock Market Trend and the Policy Behind it - 28th Nov 23
Cameco Uranium Stock Hits All-Time High - 28th Nov 23
TSLA, LRCX, TSMC Stock Earnings and Trend Analysis - 26th Nov 23
A Golden Setup: Gold Price Trend Forecast Report - 26th Nov 23
Gold Stocks Winter Seasonal Rally - 26th Nov 23
Elections in South America and Europe Reveal Backlash against Socialism - 26th Nov 23
LMT, JNJ and ASML Stock Earnings and Trend Analysis - 23rd Nov 23
When AI Hallucinates - Top AI Tech Stocks - 23rd Nov 23
Stock Market Ignoring Hawkish Fed - 23rd Nov 23
Stock Market Trend Trajectory into Year End 2023 - 22nd Nov 23
Copper/Gold Ratio: Still Counter-Cyclical - 22nd Nov 23
Learn to Use the FORCE! - How to Really Get Rich - 21st Nov 23
Quad Witching Cracks Stock Market Nuts - 18th Nov 23
Biden Bizarrely Brags About Lower Budget Deficits as US Federal Debt Skyrockets - 18th Nov 23
Silver Price Between a Rock and a Hard Place - 18th Nov 23
The Most Important Chat GPT Tech Reveal of 2023 - 18th Nov 23
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio - 9th Nov 23
Micron MU Stock Trend Analysis - 9th Nov 23
TSMC Stock Trend Analysis - 9th Nov 23
NVIDIA Stock Trend Analysis - 9th Nov 23
The “new ChatGPT” just launched - 9th Nov 23

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Baroness Warsi the Manchurian Candidate Quits LEAVE for REMAIN, Boris Johnson Next?

ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum Jun 20, 2016 - 12:59 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

Baroness Warsi, a mostly from the sidelines LEAVE campaigner has now apparently abandoned the cause for FREEDOM for Britain from an emerging european super state because of that naughty Nigel Farage's poster of last week that highlighted the migration crisis that Europe faces. However, as I have often voiced that these converts to the BrExit cause could well turn out to be 'manchurian candidates' who in the last days of the referendum campaign would publically switch in an attempt to do fatal damage to LEAVEs cause.


The biggest such potential manchurian candidate is Boris Johnson himself, who I voiced could be a potential manchurian candidate when he first announced he would be campaigning for LEAVE in Mid February, and who really could deliver a fatal blow to LEAVE, of course I am very much hoping that I am wrong! But as Warsi illustrates you just don't know!

21 Feb 2016 - Boris Johnson Joins LEAVE, BrExit Camp - Tory Rats Leaving Sinking REMAIN in EU Ship

The first string of opinion polls following the killing of Labour MP Jo Cox apparently in the name of "Freedom for Britain" or "Britain First" have swung markedly in REMAINs favour, reversing an earlier LEAVE polls lead with REMAIN now marginally ahead on 45% against LEAVE on 42% with 13% Don't Knows as the following list of recent polls illustrates that until the killing of Jo Cox LEAVE had been in the lead but now have LOST that lead due to the actions of a radicalised right-wing extremist.

REMAIN's poll surge is further backed up by the bookmakers where for instance Betfair's odds in favour of REMAIN have now vastly improved from 1.6 to 1.30. Whilst LEAVES odds have widened from 2.60 to 4.2, again reversing earlier momentum in favour of LEAVE that now gives Brexit an implied probability of just 20% and thus conversely REMAIN on an implied probability of 80%, which in trading markets terms is VERY HIGH, an 80% probability for a particular outcome is VERY, VERY HIGH. For instance where market positions concerned I tend to commit to a particular direction on probabilities starting from about 60%. So a 80% probability implies that BrExit is now looking VERY unlikely.

So it should not come as much surprise if career politicians such as Warsi are at the last minute leaving LEAVE for REMAIN whom they now deem most likely to win the referendum and so if it was not this (Farage poster) then it would have been some other excuse to do damage to the LEAVE cause which just illustrates just how fickle and self interested politicians really are!

See my latest video on how the killing of Jo Cox has impacted the EU Referendum campaign, and if LEAVE / BREXIT can recover it's lost lead by Thursday 23rd June.

https://youtu.be/8udi0YWZY6k

VOTE FOR FREEDOM on June 23rd - BrExit Campaign

The sum of my analysis of the past year comprising more than 120 articles and over a dozen videos concludes that LEAVE is in the best long-term interests of the British people. Therefore with just 3 days to go until voting day and opinion polls still relatively tight then it's a case of now or never for Brexiteers! You too can help towards achieving a LEAVE victory by supporting our BrExit campaign in this final push towards attempting to secure Britain's long-term future free from an emerging european superstate that IS destined to FAIL.

Counting Down to Freedom - Support Our BrExit Campaign

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in