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BrExit House Prices Crash, Flat or Rally? UK Housing Market Affordability Crisis

Housing-Market / UK Housing Aug 03, 2016 - 04:32 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Housing-Market

In the run up to the EU referendum the establishment REMAIN camp had peddled a perpetual year long story that UK house prices would collapse or crash if BrExit happened, as operation fear each month ramped up the threats of that which awaited a post Brexit Britain.

For instance George Osborne repeatedly issued doom warnings that likely contributed to his swift sacking by Theresa May

“If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10 per cent and up to 18 per cent." - George Osborne


And at the same time time buyers are hit because mortgage rates go up, and mortgages become more difficult to get.” - George Osborne

David Cameron and George Osborne then continued with their contradictory statements of a plunging sterling and rising inflation but falling house prices inflation.

"If we leave the EU the fall in the value of sterling would be an average 12%."

"Let's be clear what that means: a weaker currency means more expensive imports; that means more expensive food and it drives higher business costs; and we all know where that ends up: higher prices in the shops." - David Cameron

Firstly, as I have repeatedly pointed out that a fall in exchange rate is what virtually every central bank is trying to engineer by means of zero and negative interest rates! It's called the CURRENCY WARS ... continues in this video analysis -

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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