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Why 95% of Traders Fail

Get Ready for the Future - Exponential Machine Intelligence Mega-trend towards Singularity

Stock-Markets / Technology Oct 10, 2016 - 02:56 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock-Markets

Whilst most readership interest is in my regular stock market in-depth analysis that tend to conclude in detailed trend forecast usually covering at least the next 2-3 months and where possible much longer. However, whilst it is useful to know the probable short-term direction of the stock market for trading, accumulation (investing) and distribution (banking profits) purposes, but frankly, I think most people get overly carried away if not obsessed with seeking out short-term market direction.


For instance if you have followed my articles for the past decade or so, then you should see a pattern in that trends PERSIST, i.e. stocks have been in a bull market since March 2009 and ever since then EVERY article I have written and video I have produced has concluded that as a consequence of the exponential inflation mega-trend that humanity has been on that this bull market could run for far longer and higher than anyone, including I can imagine. So what does one do when faced with a market correction, flash crash, even technical bear markets (20%+) drops ? We'll one accumulates, one BUYs!

I can understand that many reading this will be skeptical, despite my market analysis track record which speaks for itself. So in this video, the first of a series I will explain WHY, Why I am persistently so bullish on stocks when a whole host of analysts repeatedly come out with x,y,z reason for why the end is always nigh, stock market armageddon is always said to be just around the corner i.e. the Top is in mantra etc..

Well the answer is as I have voiced several times over the years that human's are LINEAR THINKING MACHINES, that's how we have evolved, we perceive everything in terms of linear trends,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 ... linear growth, linear inflation, whereas instead for the past 200 years or so humanity has been immersed in an EXPONENTIAL INFLATION MEGA-TREND,2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024... and I don't just mean PRICE INFLATION! So the only real thing that I can see that differentiates me from most other analysts is that my life-experiences have conditioned me to think in EXPONENTIAL TERMS, which is why I was so sure that stocks in March 2009 were entering a bull market that would run for many years. Since whenever someone has asked me when will the bull market end, on pondering the question my reply has virtually always been that we are probably not even at the half way mark yet! IN 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 - 'probably not at the half way mark yet!' 2014, 2015, 2016, still the same response, and I will explain WHY in this video, the first of a series that will be focused on INVESTING in the Exponential Mega-trend that humanity is on, which should prove far more profitable then even usually accurate short-term trend forecasts, and perhaps may change the way some of you think i.e. in exponential terms.

Support Market Oracle's FREE Analysis

Ensure you are subscribed to our youtube channel for future videos in this mega-trend investing series and subscribed to our always FREE newsletter.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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