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Why 95% of Traders Fail

Establishment Mainstream Media Elite Buys US Election for Hillary Clinton, Time Running Out for Trump

ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016 Oct 23, 2016 - 05:38 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

The relentless mainstream establishment press's hammering of Donald Trump on an near hourly basis whilst at the same time make light or being completelty deaf, dumb and blind to Hillary Clinton's alleged criminal activities as are being exposed by the likes of WikiLeaks on a near daily basis that are just NOT being reported on by the mainstream press, continues to prevent any signs of a Donald Trump recovery, either in the opinion polls or the book maker odds markets that point to Trumps campaign being literally on life support, and with time fast running out for the long climb back towards any chance of Trump winning this election that clearly has been bought and paid for by the Washington establishment elite, which illustrates that in reality the US IS a ONE PARTY STATE. Democrat or Republican are flip sides of the SAME coin which is why NOTHING EVER CHANGES! Remember Obama and his message of CHANGE ? What changed? NOTHING! Because the same elite bankroll both parties and their candidates!


You don't have to be a Trump supporter to see that whilst the vote may not be rigged at the ballot box, mainstream media propaganda is clearly skewed strongly in Hillary Clinton's favour, perhaps it's all Donald Trump's fault for representing a clear break from the establishment elite that have ruled america for decades, maybe not to the same extent as Bernie Sanders represents, but clearly Donald Trump would be bad news for the Washington elite who are pulling out all of the stops to prevent a Trump presidency from ever materialising.

The likes of the Daily Show, Saturday Night Live and the rest are not funny anymore because of the depth of the stench of propaganda that carries over into the likes of NBC, CNN, and CBS, ABC is so blatantly obvious it could come straight out of Putin's Russia! This election is truly exposing democracy in the United States being an illusion, the only choice americans have is to elect from those that the elite want you to elect. Donald Trump is not playing by their rule book and so every member of the lite, democrats, billionaires, and republicans are piling in on the side of crooked Hillary Clinton.

For instance a month ago when I forecast that Donald Trump actually stood a good chance of winning the election, the polls had Donald on 41% and Hillary on 44%, a mere 3% spread which was more the bridgeable given the trend trajectory that Trump had been on. Whilst the betting markets (Betfair) had Trump trading on 2.88 against Hillary on 1.57. These were similar to the odds Brexit was trading on a couple of weeks out from polling day, so well within the capacity of being WRONG, just as the bookies had been for Brexit.

25 Sep 2016 - US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Trump Riding BrExit Wave into the White House

However the average of the latest polls illustrate the consequences of a relentless push to beat down Donald Trump and in the promotion of Hillary Clinton who now stands on 46.5% against Trump on 40%, a 6.5% gap. What's worse is that the Bookie odds have widened much further that currently put Trump on 6.0 !

Date Time (BST) Hillary Trump Comments
25th Sept   1.58 3.05 Trending in Trumps favour
27th Sept 2am 1.57 2.88 Trump peaks just prior to the start of the 1st debate
27th Sept 4am 1.44 3.35 Just after the 1st debate confirming Trump lost.
30th Sept 3am 1.45 3.45 Odds continuing to move against Trump election win
30th Sept 9pm 1.39 3.75 Accelerating meltdown of Trump odds
1st Oct 2pm 1.37 3.85 Still little sign of Trump recovery
4th Oct 9pm 1.35 4.05 Trump continues losing trend
5th Oct 5am 1.36 3.90 Pence wins VP debate
7th Oct 5pm 1.38 3.8 Trump recovery continues
8th Oct 12pm 1.32 4.8 Effect of leaked audio tape of Trump Groping women
9th Oct 8pm 1.25 5.7 Trump campaign in free fall
10th Oct 4.30am 1.27 5.2 Trump wins 2nd Debate.
11th Oct 4pm 1.21 6.2 Trump crashes to new low of 6.4
12th Oct 2am 1.20 6.4 No end in sign to Trump collapse
15th Oct 4pm 1.19 6.6 Trump on life support, may decide to abandon campaign.
20th Oct 1am 1.21 5.8 Trump bounces going into 3rd debate.
23rd Oct 5pm 1.21 6 No sign of recovery, Brexit can't bridge this wide a gap.

Therefore given the current trend trajectory as a consequence of the establishment elite pushing their bought and paid for candidate Hillary Clinton into the white house then I am not able to see what is going to turn this campaign around for Donald Trump.

Nevertheless I will come back with my final forecast conclusion in the next few days so ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get this in your email in box.

And lastly here's my video analysis of 12th of October, when Trump last stood any chance of winning the election, IF he was able to stem the establishment tide flowing against him. So whilst it's not over until the Rosy O'Donnell sings, it is looking very bleak for Trump.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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