Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.US Paving the Way for Massive First Strike on North Korea Nuclear and Missile Infrastructure - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Trump Reset: US War With China, North Korea Nuclear Flashpoint - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Silver Junior Mining Stocks 2017 Q2 Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
4.Soaring Inflation Plunges UK Economy Into Stagflation, Triggers Government Pay Cap Panic! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The Bitcoin Blueprint To Your Financial Freedom - Sean Keyes
6.North Korea 'Begging for War', 'Enough is Enough', is a US Nuclear Strike Imminent? - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Hits All-Time High and Smashes Through $5,000 As Gold Shows Continued Strength - Jeff_Berwick
8.2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why - EWI
9.Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process - Rambus_Chartology
10.Bitcoin Falls 20% as Mobius and Chinese Regulators Warn - GoldCore
Last 7 days
1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned - 19th Oct 17
Virgin Media Broadband Down, Catastrophic UK Wide Failure! - 19th Oct 17
The Passive Investing Bubble May Trigger A Massive Exodus from Stocks - 18th Oct 17
Gold Is In A Dangerous Spot - 18th Oct 17
History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis - 18th Oct 17
Deflation Basics Series: The Quantity Theory of Money - 18th Oct 17
Attractive European Countries for Foreign Investors - 18th Oct 17
Financial Transcription Services – What investors should know about them - 18th Oct 17
Brexit UK Vulnerable As Gold Bar Exports Distort UK Trade Figures - 18th Oct 17
Surge in UK Race Hate Crimes, Micro-Racism, Sheffield, Millhouses Park, Black on Asian - 18th Oct 17
Comfortably Numb: Surviving the Assault on Silver - 17th Oct 17
Are Amey Street Tree Felling's Devaluing Sheffield House Prices? - 17th Oct 17
12 Real-Life Techniques That Will Make You a Better Trader Now - 17th Oct 17
Warren Buffett Predicting Dow One Million - Being Bold Or Overly Cautious? - 17th Oct 17
Globalization is Poverty - 17th Oct 17
Boomers Are Not Saving Enough for Retirement, Neither Is the Government - 16th Oct 17
Stock Market Trading Dow Theory - 16th Oct 17
Stocks Slightly Higher as They Set New Record Highs - 16th Oct 17
Why is Big Data is so Important for Casino Player Acquisition and Retention - 16th Oct 17
How Investors Can Play The Bitcoin Boom - 16th Oct 17
Who Will Be the Next Fed Chief - And Why It Matters  - 16th Oct 17
Stock Market Only Minor Top Ahead - 16th Oct 17
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal - 16th Oct 17
Really Bad Ideas - The Fed Should Have And Defend An Inflation Target - 16th Oct 17
The Bullish Chartology for Gold - 15th Oct 17
Wikileaks Mocking US Government Over Bitcoin Shows Why There Is No Stopping Bitcoin - 15th Oct 17
How to Wipe Out Puerto Rico's Debt Without Hurting Bondholders - 15th Oct 17
Gold And Silver – Think Prices Are Manipulated? Look In The Mirror! - 15th Oct 17
Q4 Pivot View for Stocks and Gold - 14th Oct 17
Gold Mining Stocks Q3’17 Preview - 14th Oct 17
U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales and VIX Point To Increased Market Volatility and Higher Gold - 14th Oct 17
Yuan and Gold - 14th Oct 17
Tips for Avoiding a Debt Meltdown - 14th Oct 17
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High Above $5,000 As Lagarde Concedes Defeat and Jamie Demon Shuts Up - 13th Oct 17
Golden Age for GOLD, Dark Age for the Stock Market - 13th Oct 17
The Struggle for Bolivia Is About to Begin - 13th Oct 17
3 Reasons to Take Your Invoicing Process Mobile - 13th Oct 17
What Happens When Amey Fells All of a Streets Trees (Sheffield Tree Fellings) - Video - 13th Oct 17
Stock Market Charts Show Smart Money And Dumb Money Are Moving In Opposite Directions—Here’s Why - 12th Oct 17
Your Pension Is a Lie: There’s $210 Trillion of Liabilities Our Government Can’t Fulfill - 12th Oct 17
Two Highly Recommended Books from Bob Prechter - 12th Oct 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See - Free

Here's What Makes Elliott Waves a Useful Forex Tool

InvestorEducation / Forex Trading Nov 04, 2016 - 03:59 AM GMT

By: EWI

InvestorEducation

Some Elliott wave forex traders do watch the news -- but for different reasons

Last Friday, EURUSD rallied strongly. Said Reuters:

"The U.S. dollar tumbled against a basket of major currencies...on U.S. political uncertainty after the FBI said it would review more emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's private email use."

It's true that the euro rallied after Friday’s news. But we pointed out in our October 21 story that Elliott wave patterns had already been calling for a bottom, if only a temporary one.


EURUSD didn't get there in a straight line -- in fact, on October 25, it made a slight new low for the move at 1.0850. But from there, it surged strongly, and by the time the Clinton news hit the wires last Friday, the pair was well off the lows. In other words, the news came at the end of the rally, not the start of it.

Which brings up this question: What gives Elliott waves the ability to warn you about trend changes before the news? The answer begins with a conversation about what the markets’ true driver is.

Every single day, the mainstream finance makes the connection between the markets and the news. Even when the market move doesn't fit the news, they still tie them together -- by using the word "despite":

  • "Despite strong earnings reports, stocks fell on Wall Street today," or
  • "The dollar rose despite a weaker-than-expected jobs number."

Sounds familiar, doesn't it? News or no news, you still come away thinking that A caused B.

The problem with this approach is... well, there are several. One, as we’ve just discussed, the markets often defy logic. Two, you're always left to play catch up: You wait for the news; you watch the market react; and only then do you try to jump on the moving train, so to speak.

Even if you take a guess and open a position before a scheduled new report, you're still at the mercy of market's reaction -- which, again, is far from being logical 100% of the time. (Look at the U.S. stock market, for example: It's now traded flat for two months, "despite" tons of news stories, good and bad.)

Here's the reason why Elliott waves help you cut through this fog: Waves track market psychology, which goes where it goes before the news; regardless of the news. That's why even those Elliott wave forex traders who watch the news do it for different reasons than everyone else:

  1. Elliott wavers often keep an eye on the schedule economic releases because often, they will mark turning points which Elliott wave price patterns already warned you about.
  2. The news often convey an extreme in market sentiment. For example, if you keep hearing over and over that "everyone hates the euro right now," that tells you that the market's collective psychology is reaching an extreme; everyone has already sold their euros. And if at the same time your Elliott wave analysis tells you that yes, the market is about to reverse, you can use those "extreme" news stores as a contrarian indicator.

Do Elliott waves always work? I wish; what does? But because prices often do follow the Elliott wave model, when you forget about the news for a day and watch price patterns instead, the results might surprise you.


Free 14-Page eBook
Trading Forex: How the Elliott Wave Principle Can Boost Your Forex Success

Learn how to put the power of the Wave Principle to work in your forex trading with this free, 14-page eBook. EWI Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens shares actionable trading lessons and tips to help you find the best opportunities in the FX markets you trade.

Get instant, free, access

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Here's What Makes Elliott Waves a Useful Forex Tool. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife