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How to Get Rich Investing in Stocks by Riding the Electron Wave

Here’s Why Russia Opens The Door To Cryptocurrencies

Currencies / BlockChain May 03, 2017 - 05:21 AM GMT

By: John_Mauldin

Currencies

Antonia Colibasanu : Russia has announced that it will legalize the use of cryptocurrencies. The government confirmed last week that a draft bill would create the legal framework for trading in bitcoin, dash, ether, and other digital currencies.

This comes a year after the same Russian institutions said people trading in these currencies could be jailed. This raises two important questions: Why has the government made this U-turn? What opportunities does it now see in this technology? The answers lie in Russia’s need to address serious problems in the banking sector and their impact on the economy.


The Russian economy has been under severe strain since 2014. Oil prices dropped and the United States and European Union imposed sanctions that have dried up foreign investment. As the costs of accessing money increased, the banking sector was affected by the downturn.

Against this backdrop, the Russian Central Bank has intensified its anti-corruption campaign. This is meant to address dodgy, inefficient banks. Some of these banks use money-laundering schemes to remove capital from the country. About 100 banks have closed in the last three years. Central bank head Elvira Nabiullina said the campaign would continue for at least two more years.

Liquidity Concerns

But closing banks is expensive. The process has so far cost the Deposit Insurance Agency (DIA) about $50 billion. In addition, the central bank needs to act carefully to avoid a liquidity crisis caused by closing banks.

Local companies depend on banks for liquidity. Extended cash shortages in the country’s mono-industrial regions could fuel social unrest. The central government wants to avoid this unrest.

For example, Tatfondbank in Tatarstan was investigated last December. Protesters called for the central government to force local employers to pay salaries, which were late. The salary problems may have had other causes. Business inefficiencies aren’t directly linked to the banking sector. But Russian business culture is personal, especially in the regions. Company owners are friends with bank managers. These ties mean that what happens in the banking sector could impact how businesses operate.

The personal ties between local businesses, banks, and regional administrators are a source of corruption. Russian central authorities want to at least reduce, if not eliminate, this corruption. The most common crimes the central bank found in banks it closed were lending to companies with no real business activities, providing fictitious loans to individuals, and fraud involving tradable securities. However, by the time investigators start looking into these banks, their owners often have fled. That leaves a hole in banks’ balance sheets. The DIA must cover this hole by paying back depositors.

Stopping Fraud

The current credit system is opaque. Central authorities have trouble identifying people involved in the regional banking system. This allows small banks to operate more or less separately. But closing banks is not enough to limit fraud and its effects on the Russian economy. Authorities must find ways to stop it from happening in the first place.

One solution is to implement new technological applications that allow the government to identify people involved in the system in real time. This is why the Russian government has adopted a more positive stance toward cryptocurrencies.

The use of digital money is not what excites the financial elite. Rather, they are interested in the technological platform that supports it. Cryptocurrencies are not issued by the government. Unlike traditional currencies that are printed, cryptocurrencies are minted in the digital world.

The most successful cryptocurrency is bitcoin, introduced in 2009. New bitcoin units are issued via algorithms that secure their issuance and future transactions. People can buy bitcoins with traditional currencies on bitcoin exchange markets or at their banks. They can use them to buy goods or services in countries that allow their use.

Governments’ biggest fear of cryptocurrencies is anonymity that could facilitate money laundering. But bitcoin has less anonymity than earlier digital currencies. The trading system it is built on, called a blockchain, facilitates tracking user transactions.

The Blockchain

Bitcoin’s growing popularity and acceptance is due to the blockchain. People often wonder how and where digital currencies are stored. Bitcoins are not stored in a file or on a server. Their circulation is tracked using a blockchain. A blockchain is a secured ledger that allows transactions to be timestamped and verified. Bitcoin transactions, not the actual bitcoins, are tracked.

This process provides a record of bitcoin users. The blockchain’s technology is built on this logic. Three main characteristics allow it to increase the efficiency of the financial and other sectors. First, it does not have a central database or server that can be hacked. The blockchain is distributed among multiple computers that host data. Second, it is accessible to network members who can see bitcoin transactions in real time. Third, it is encrypted.

Like other technological applications, it can be adopted and adapted by a multitude of users. This includes the financial sector. Governments and businesses can create their own versions of a blockchain or use the existing bitcoin platform.

The benefits of using blockchain technology, apart from the ability to track users, include increased processing speed, lower costs due to less bureaucracy, and increased security once central attack points are eliminated. These benefits are attractive to Russia’s financial system. However, many details still need to be worked out.

Looking Forward

It is unclear whether Russia will adapt bitcoin’s existing blockchain platform for the entire banking sector and regulate its use through new legislation; use the platform until banks develop their own systems; or approve the cryptocurrency’s use to better understand how the blockchain technology application can help Russia’s financial sector.

It is also unclear if the leadership in Moscow will resist these moves. But one thing is certain about the recent U-turn on the use of cryptocurrencies: Russia’s central authorities and elites understand the benefits of implementing blockchain technology within the banking sector. They are hoping to use this technology to decrease fraud and corruption, which in turn would decrease government costs.

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John Mauldin Archive

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