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Tory Election Landslide, Labour Decapitation Bloodbath

ElectionOracle / UK General Election May 31, 2017 - 04:32 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

If the opinion pollsters are to be believed and the Labours worst nightmare comes true with Theresa May winning the election on an vastly increased majority, on a total of over 400 seats. A bloodbath for Labour losing as many as 60 seats, falling from 229 to under 170 resulting in the decapitation of the Labour party, losing many of Labours front benchers and rising stars, leaving behind mostly old dinosaurs who have long passed their electoral hay day.


So whilst the individual polls continue to gyrate all over the place as the polling industry and the mainstream media that commissions them attempt to paint a picture of a tight election race so as to garner public interest in the stories they sell to the masses. Nevertheless the average of the polls continues to paint a picture of the Conservatives sitting on a huge 13% electoral advantage over Labour, as compared to the 2015 election 6% lead.

Which basically puts all Labour MP's on majorities of 5,000 or less at risk, especially in constituencies that have a large number of UKIP voters, that include prominent Labour MP's such as Liz Kendall, Mary Creagh,Caroline Flint, Tristam Hunt and Deputy Leader Tom Watson. Though Jeremy Corbyn is safe.

So if the bloodbath materialised the impact of which could further cripple the Labour party for another decade.

And here are the seats per party forecasts based on the local election results and the opinion pollsters

UK Local Election Results Forecast for General Election 2017

Opinion Polls Based UK General Election Seats Per Party Forecast 2017

Opinion Polls Based UK General Election Seats Per Party Forecast 2017

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for the next analysis in this series as I countdown to my UK general election 2017 final forecast conclusion and to our youtube channel for videos in this and the BrExit War series.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2017 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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