Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Will Gold Price Breakout? 3 Things to Watch… - Jordan_Roy_Byrne
2.China Invades Saudi Oil Realm: PetroDollar Kill - Jim_Willie_CB
3.Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast, Paypal FUD Fake Cryptocurrency Warning - Nadeem_Walayat
4.The Stock Market Trend is Your Friend ’til the Very End - Rambus_Chartology
5.This Isn’t Your Grandfather’s (1960s) Inflation Scare - F_F_Wiley
6.GDX Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
7.US Housing Real Estate Market and Banking Pressures Are Building - Chris_Vermeulen
8.Return of Stock Market Volatility Amidst Political Chaos and Uncertain Economy - Buildadv
9.Can Bitcoin Price Rally Continue After Paypal Fake FUD Attack? - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Warning Economic Implosion on the Horizon - Chris_Vermeulen
Last 7 days
Stock Market Predictive Modeling Is Calling For A Continued Rally - 22nd Apr 18
SWEATCOIN - Get PAID to WALK! Incentive to Burn Fat and Lose Weight - Review - 22nd Apr 18
Sheffield Local Elections 2018 Forecast Results - 22nd Apr 18
How Long Does it take for a 10%+ Stock Market Correction to Make New Highs - 21st Apr 18
Sheffield Ruling Labour Party Could Lose 10 Council Seats at May Local Elections - 21st Apr 18
Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi Arabia $80 ARAMCO Stock IPO Target - 21st Apr 18
Gold Price Nearing Bull Market Breakout, Stocks to Follow - 20th Apr 18
What’s Bitcoin Really Worth? - 20th Apr 18
Stock Market May "Let Go" - 20th Apr 18
Overwhelming Evidence Against Near Stock Market Grand Supercycle Top - 20th Apr 18
Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO - 20th Apr 18
The Incredible Silver Trade – What You Need to Know - 20th Apr 18
Is War "Hell" for the Stock Market? - 19th Apr 18
Palladium Bullion Surges 17% In 9 Days On Russian Supply Concerns - 19th Apr 18
Breadth Study Suggests that Stock Market Bottom is Already In - 19th Apr 18
Allegory Regarding Investment Decisions Made On Basis Of Government’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet - 19th Apr 18
Gold – A Unique Repeat of the 2007 and How to Profit - 19th Apr 18
Abbeydale Park Rise Cherry Tree's in Blossom - Sheffield Street Tree Protests - 19th Apr 18
The Stock Market “Turn of the Month Effect” Exists in 11 of 11 Countries - 18th Apr 18
Winter is Coming - Coming Storms Will Bring Out the Best and Worst in Humanity - 18th Apr 18
What Does it Take to Create Living Wage Jobs? - 18th Apr 18
Gold and Silver Buy Signals - 18th Apr 18
WINTER IS COMING - The Ongoing Fourth Turning Crisis Part2 - 18th Apr 18
A Stock Market Rally on Low Volume is NOT Bearish - 17th Apr 18
Three Gold Charts, One Big Gold Stocks Opportunity - 17th Apr 18
Crude Oil Price As Bullish as it Seems? - 17th Apr 18
A Good Time to Buy Facebook? - 17th Apr 18
THE Financial Crisis Acronym of 2008 is Sounding Another Alarm - 16th Apr 18
Bombs, Missiles and War – What to Expect Next from the Stock Market - 16th Apr 18
Global Debt Bubble Hits New All Time High – One Quadrillion Reasons To Buy Gold - 16th Apr 18
Will Bitcoin Ever Recover? - 16th Apr 18
Stock Market Futures Bounce, But Stopped at Trendline - 16th Apr 18
How To Profit As Oil Prices Explode - 16th Apr 18
Junior Mining Stocks are Close to Breaking Downtrend - 16th Apr 18
Look Inside a Caravan at UK Holiday Park for Summer 2018 - Hoseasons Cayton Bay Sea Side - 16th Apr 18
Stock Market More Weakness? How Much? - 15th Apr 18
Time for the Gold Bulls to Show their Mettle - 15th Apr 18
Trading Markets Amid Sound of Wars - 15th Apr 18
Sugar Commodity Buying Levels Analysis - 14th Apr 18
The Oil Trade May Be Coming Alive - 14th Apr 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Trading Lessons

The Bullish Chartology for Gold

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017 Oct 15, 2017 - 06:31 PM GMT

By: Rambus_Chartology

Commodities

Tonight I would like to update you on some of the longer term gold charts we’ve been following which are still hanging in there from the bullish perspective. Keep in mind these are long term charts so changes come slowly.

Lets start by looking at the long term weekly chart for gold which shows its 2011 bear market downtrend channel we’ve been following for a long time now. Back in July of this year the price action broke out above the top rail and just recently the top rail was backtested from above and we are getting a bounce exactly where we needed to see a bounce.


Normally at the end of a long protracted bull or bear market you will find some type of reversal pattern buildout. As you can see the 2011 top built out the 6 point rectangle just below the all time highs. Currently gold has built out the blue triangle with the 5th reversal point falling just shy of reaching the bottom rail. I have seen in the past that sometimes when the 5th reversal point fails to reach the bottom rail it can be a sign of strength, meaning the bulls are not waiting around, red circle. If the bulls are truly in charge the next thing we’ll want to see is a new high above the previous high that was made on the initial breakout.

This next chart is probably the most important chart for gold as it shows the possible H&S bottom building out. We’ve discussed in the past that big patterns lead to big moves. This potential H&S bottom is 4 years in the making and is big enough to lead the next leg of gold’s bull market much higher if the neckline is broken to the upside. Currently the neckline comes in around the 1350 area.

There are several other possibilities we been follow as well for gold. This next chart is a monthly look which shows the ping pong move taking place between the top rail of the blue expanding falling wedge and the bottom rail of the black expanding falling wedge. Again, we are seeing gold bouncing right where we need to see it bounce.

The blue expanding falling wedge without the top rail of the downtrend channel or the much bigger black expanding falling wedge.

Almost 2 years ago gold broke out above the top rail of the blue 7 point falling wedge with the top rail holding support on two backtests. It would be nice to see a white candlestick form at the end of this month and if the breakout is going to really take hold we should see a string of white candlesticks form all in a row which tells you the impulse is very strong. In a strong move down you will see a string of black candlesticks all in a row.

Gold’s major bull market uptrend channel with the 2011 bear market downtrend channel with the possible 2015 H&S bottom.

Gold’s long term monthly chart showing the potential H&S bottom.

Gold’s 40 year chart.

All the best

Gary (for Rambus Chartology)

http://rambus1.com

FREE TRIAL - http://rambus1.com/?page_id=10

© 2017 Copyright Rambus- All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Rambus Chartology Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules