Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Why Is Apple Giving This Tiny Stock A $900 Million Opportunity? - James Burgess
3.Gold Price Trend Analysis - - Nadeem_Walayatt
4.The Beginning of the End of the Dollar - Richard_Mills
5.Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
7.Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again - P_Radomski_CFA
8.Central Banks Have Gone Rogue, Putting Us All at Risk - Ellen_Brown
9.Gold Stocks Forced Capitulation - Zeal_LLC
10.The Post Bubble Market Contraction Thesis Receives Validation - Plunger
Last 7 days
The Incredibly Bullish Set-Up for Gold - 20th Oct 18
Here Comes the Stock Market Retest - 20th Oct 18
Waterproof Camera - Olympus Tough TG-5 Setup and First Use - 20th Oct 18
Israel’s 50-Year Time Bomb, Pushing Palestinians to the Edge - 19th Oct 18
Bitcoin Trend Analysis 2018 - 19th Oct 18
History's Worst Stock Market Crash and the Greatest Investing Lesson! - 19th Oct 18
More Signs of a Stocks Bull Market Top and Start of a Bear Market in 2019 - 19th Oct 18
Stock Market Detailed Map Of Expected Price Movement Before The Breakout - 18th Oct 18
Determining the Outlook for Gold Mining Stock - 18th Oct 18
Investor Alert: Is the Trump Agenda in Peril? - 18th Oct 18
Stock Market is Making a Sharp Rally After a Sharp Drop. What’s Next? - 18th Oct 18
Global Warming (Assuming You Believe In It) Does Not Affect Gold - 18th Oct 18
Best Waterproof Compact Camera Olympus Tough TG-5 Review - Unboxing - 18th Oct 18
Silver's Time Is Coming - 17th Oct 18
Stock Market Volatility Breeds Contempt - 17th Oct 18
Gold 7-Year Bear Market Phase Is Over - 17th Oct 18
Gold - A Golden Escape - 17th Oct 18
Tec Stocks Sector Set For A Rebound? - 16th Oct 18
Real Estate Transactions are Becoming Seamless with Blockchain-Powered Data Sets - 16th Oct 18
Important Elements of a Viral Landing Page - 16th Oct 18
Stephen Leeb Predicts 3-Digit Silver and 5 Digit Gold?! - 16th Oct 18
BREXIT, Italy’s Deficit, The EU Summit And Fomcs Minutes In Focus - 16th Oct 18
Is this the Start of a Bear Market for Stocks? - 16th Oct 18
Chinese Economic Prospects Amid US Trade Wars - 16th Oct 18
2019’s Hottest Commodity Is About To Explode - 15th Oct 18
Keep A Proper Perspective About Stock Market Recent Move - 15th Oct 18
Is the Stocks Bull Dead? - 15th Oct 18
Stock Market Bottoms are a Process - 15th Oct 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Trading Any Market

Forex Markets: British Pound Faces Strong Resistance Ahead

Currencies / British Pound Nov 20, 2017 - 03:17 PM GMT

By: Richard_Cox

Currencies

Currency markets have emerged from the summer period and we are now looking at the development of several new trends in many of the majors.  Judging the likely expectations in the British Pound is an action that will continue to remain important, given the effect it should have on broad asset benchmarks like the FTSE 100. 


Specifically, downside pressure on assets tied to the value of the British Pound should continue to support the outlook for corporate multinationals with a large foreign consumer base and this could improve earnings results into next quarter.  In tracking these trends, the preferred instrument in the Guggenheim CurrencyShares British Pound Trust (NYSEARCA: FXB) as it tracks the value of cable against a large number of foreign currency counterparts.

In this chart above, we can see that FXB has been in a firm downtrend since the end of 2008.  There has been a moderate bounce for most of this year but when we are viewing the currency ETF from this longer-term perspective it is relatively clear to see that this is a tepid bounce at best.  More likely, we are seeing a small correction within the broader bearish move that should put us back toward resistance levels near 135. 

From there, the scope for further upside will diminish quickly, as the indicator readings will be approaching overbought territory at that stage.  Many of these forecasts match the outlook posted by the consensus in the real trader community and this suggests that the broader trading community is positioning on one side of the market.

Overall, this presents some interesting short opportunities for those with a medium term outlook in these markets.  But the peripheral impact will likely reach the FTSE 100, as well, if we are assessing the likely trajectory on the longer-term time frames.  Investors should keep this in mind when trading in the broader stock benchmarks, as well as in assets that are directly tied to the currency markets.

By Richard Cox

© 2017 Richard Cox - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules