Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Dollargeddon - Gold Price to Soar Above $6,000 - P_Radomski_CFA
2.Is Gold Price On Verge Of A Bottom, See For Yourself - Chris_Vermeulen
3.Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2018 - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Gold Price to Plunge Below $1000 - Key Factors for Gold & Silver Investors - P_Radomski_CFA
5.Why The Uranium Price Must Go Up - Richard_Mills
6.Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2018 - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Jim Rogers on Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and Blockchain’s “Spectacular Future” - GoldCore
8.More Signs That the Stock Market Will Rally Until 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
9.It's Time for A New Economic Strategy in Turkey - Steve_H_Hanke
10.Fiat Currency Inflation, And Collapse Insurance - Raymond_Matison
Last 7 days
Gold – “Make Me Feel Good…Tell Me Anything” - 25th Sept 18
Sector Rotation Continues. Bullish for Stocks - 25th Sept 18
Whose Trillion is it Anyway? US Federal Government Shocker! - 25th Sept 18
Focus on the Stock Market’s Price Action and Ignore the Failed Hindenburg Omen - 25th Sept 18
5 Problems All Restaurant Owners Will Face - 25th Sept 18
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - Video - 25th Sept 18
How the US Dollar Penalizes Emerging Asia - 24th Sep18
Stock Market Macro/Macro View: Waves and Cycles Part II - 24th Sep18
DJIA Makes New High  - 24th Sep18
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - 24th Sep18
The Stock Market Has Been Exceptionally Strong this September. What’s Next for Q4 2018 - 24th Sep18
Gold / US Dollar Inverse Trend Relationship Video - 23rd Sep 18
US and Global Stocks, Commodities, Precious Metals and the ‘Anti-USD’ Trade - 23rd Sep 18
Gerald Celente Warns Fed May Bring Down the Economy, Crash Markets - 23rd Sep 18
Top 3 Side Jobs for Day Traders - 23rd Sep 18
Gold Exodus to Reverse - 22nd Sep 18
Bitcoin Trader SCAM WARNING - Peter Jones, Dragons Den Fake Facebook Ads - 22nd Sep 18
China Is Building the World’s Largest Innovation Economy - 21st Sep 18
How Can New Companies Succeed in the Overcrowded Online Gambling Market? - 21st Sep 18
Golden Sunsets in the Land of U.S. Dollar Hegemony - 20th Sep 18
5 Things to Keep in Mind When Buying a Luxury Car in Dubai - 20th Sep 18
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis - Video - 20th Sep 18
The Stealth Reason Why the Stock Market Keeps On Rising - 20th Sep 18
Sheffield School Applications Crisis Eased by New Secondary Schools Places - 20th Sep 18
Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again - 19th Sep 18
US Dollar Head & Shoulders Triggered. What's Next? - 19th Sep 18
Prepare for the Stock Market’s Volatility to Increase - 19th Sep 18
The Beginning of the End of the Dollar - 19th Sep 18
Land Rover Discovery Sport 'Approved Used' Bad Paint Job - Inchcape Chester - 19th Sep 18
Are Technology and FANG Stocks Bottoming? - 18th Sep 18
Predictive Trading Model Suggests Falling Stock Prices During US Elections - 18th Sep 18
Lehman Brothers Financial Collapse - Ten Years Later - 18th Sep 18
Financial Crisis Markets Reality Check Now in Progress - 18th Sep 18
Gold’s Ultimate Confirmation - 18th Sep 18
Omanization: a 20-year Process to Fight Volatile Oil Prices  - 18th Sep 18
Sheffield Best Secondary Schools Rankings and Trend Trajectory for Applications 2018 - 18th Sep 18
Gold / US Dollar Inverse Correlation - 17th Sep 18
The Apple Story - Trump Tariffs Penalize US Multinationals - 17th Sep 18
Wall Street Created Financial Crash Catastrophe Ten Years Later - 17th Sep 18
Trade Wars Are Going To Crash This Stock Market - 17th Sep 18
Why Is Apple Giving This Tiny Stock A $900 Million Opportunity? - 17th Sep 18
Financial Markets Macro/Micro View: Waves and Cycles - 17th Sep 18
Stock Market Bulls Prevail – for Now! - 17th Sep 18
GBPUSD Set to Explode Higher - 17th Sep 18
The China Threat - Global Crisis Hot Spots & Pressure Points - 17th Sep 18 - Jim_Willie_CB

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Trading Any Market

Stock Market Tops Look Like This

Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017 Dec 07, 2017 - 03:55 PM GMT

By: Enda_Glynn

Stock-Markets

The signs of crazed speculation just keep pouring in these days.
We another Doozie from the Bloomberg wire today!
TD Ameritrade tracks its clients inflows and outflows from retail accounts on a monthly basis.
you can follow it here

November saw the largest inflow into stocks in the index's history,
surging the index to a new all time high.


their statement was even more noteworthy;

“The retail investor has become a bit more of a believer,
We don’t want people to get overzealous, if you will.
This is controlled exuberance.”

Did you ever hear the term 'Dumb money'?
Well,
That is the term used in the industry for retail investors!
The reason they are referred to as dumb money is because the typical retail investor usually dives in at exactly the wrong time.
Now,
Dumb money just went 'all in' for stocks
when the main index's are sitting at historically overvalued, overbought and over bullish extremes!

Good Lord,
There is no such thing as controlled exuberance!
Be aware,
Stock market tops look like this!

Now down to business.
TOMORROWS RISK EVENTS:

USD: Unemployment Claims.
EUR: ECB President Draghi Speaks.
GBP: Halifax HPI m/m.
JPY: Final GDP q/q.

My Bias: market topping process completing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: topping in wave (5)

The DOW seems to have corrected higher today,
the price move was overlapping as a correction should be and should be followed by a decline in wave '5' blue.
The wave form off the high is developing quite nicely so far although it is very early days in this downturn.

Initial support lies at 23927, the low of the previous wave 'iv' pink.
A cross below this level will add weight to the short term bearish case.

The developing downside structure,
coupled with the sentiment extreme I wrote about at the beginning,
All fit well with the idea of a topping market.

For tomorrow;
watch for a decline into the trendline to complete a five wave structure off the high.
at that point I will look for a three wave corrective rally to complete an Elliott wave signal off the high.


My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.

GOLD has remained fairly flat today,
Which adds to the idea that wave '5' pink is still unfolding.
Support at 1260 is holding the price for now,
But I expect we will see one more drop below that level into the lower trendline at 1255 which should complete the decline.

4hr momentum is now rising off the low and will shortly create a positive divergence form the price.
I will wait to see a clear bullish centreline cross to shift to a bullish stance in the short term.

For tomorrow;
watch for price to decline into the lower trendline at 1255 to complete wave 'c' brown.

If you want to be ready for the next opportunity in Crude, Gold, The DOW and the USD FX markets,

Check out the membership offers and stay on top of the price action!

BULLWAVES MEMBERSHIP

Enda Glynn
http://bullwaves.org
I am an Elliott wave trader,
I have studied and traded using Elliott wave analysis as the backbone of my approach to markets for the last 10 years.
I take a top down approach to market analysis
starting at the daily time frame all the way down to the 30 minute time frame.

© 2017 Copyright Enda Glynn - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules