Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24
How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - 17th Feb 24
Why Rising Shipping Costs Won't Cause Inflation - 17th Feb 24
Intensive 6 Week Stock Market Elliott Wave Training Course - 17th Feb 24
INFLATION and the Stock Market Trend - 17th Feb 24
GameStop (GME): 88% Shellacking Yet No Lesson Learned - 17th Feb 24
Nick Millican Explains Real Estate Investment in a Changing World - 17th Feb 24
US Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending - 7th Feb 24
Stocks Bull Market Commands It All For Now - 7th Feb 24
Financial Markets Narrative Nonsense - 7th Feb 24
Gold Price Long-Term Outlook Could Not Look Better - 7th Feb 24
Stock Market QE4EVER - 7th Feb 24
Learn How to Accumulate and Distribute (Trim) Stock Positions to Maximise Profits - Investing 101 - 5th Feb 24
US Exponential Budget Deficit - 5th Feb 24
Gold Tipping Points That Investors Shouldn’t Miss - 5th Feb 24
Banking Crisis Quietly Brewing - 5th Feb 24
Stock Market Major Market lows by Calendar Month - 4th Feb 24
Gold Price’s Rally is Normal, but Is It Really Bullish? - 4th Feb 24
More Problems in US Regional Banking System: Where There's Fire There's Smoke - 4th Feb 24
New Hints of US Election Year Market Interventions & Turmoil - 4th Feb 24
Watch Consumer Spending to Know When the Fed Will Cut Interest Rates - 4th Feb 24
STOCK MARKET DISCOUNTING EVENTS BIG PICTURE - 31st Jan 24
Blue Skies Ahead As Stock Market Is Expected To Continue Much Higher - 31st Jan 24
What the Stock Market "Fear Index" VIX May Be Signaling - 31st Jan 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast Review - 31st Jan 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

A Vision for the European Economic Future

Economics / Euro-Zone Jan 26, 2018 - 12:10 PM GMT

By: Enda_Glynn

Economics

Hi everyone,

I have seen the Future for the European Economy,
And it is not looking good.

The EU tracks a wide number of european wide economic indicators,
Everything from consumer credit,
to unemployment expectations in the future.


Much of the data is survey based,
and so it involves an individual opinion on a subject.

It is simply amazing how well much of these indicators work as contrarian indicators!
The old saying goes,
"when your taxi driver tells you to buy stocks, it is time to sell ".

Lets have a run down through some of these charts to set the scene in europe.

Consumer confidence rate of change:

This indicator increased at the highest rate in over 13yrs in December.
accelerating at a faster rate than every year running up to the 2007 high in stocks.

Consumer credit:


The level of revolving credit to the consumer has now hit its highest level in history!
The consumer has maxed out the credit card again.

EU economic sentiment indicator:
This index has hit a 18yr high,

Gross household savings rate:


People are so confident,
that they have stopped saving!
This index is now at the lowest level since they began tracking.

Unemployment expectations:

People in europe do not expect to become unemployed any time soon.
This indicator now matches the sentiment at the high in 2000 and in 2007!
And what happened following those particular sentiment extremes?

So,
according to the man on the street,
the general outlook for the european ecomony is for a bright future with absolutely no upsets whatsoever.
everything is just fine in Europe!

And of course the EURUSD is sitting at a three year high,
at the end of a very large corrective pattern.
What could possibly go wrong?

On that note, lets get into the latest wave patterns in operation in EURUSD.

 

UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:


USD: Advance GDP q/q, Durable Goods Orders m/m.
EUR: M3 Money Supply y/y,
GBP: Prelim GDP q/q, BOE Gov Carney Speaks.
JPY: BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks.

EURUSD

30 min

4 Hours

Daily

My Bias: long term bearish
Wave Structure: Topping in wave [B] black.
Long term wave count: lower in wave [C] black.

The correction in wave 'iv' pink was short lived today,
Wave 'iv' seems to have traced out a running flat correction.
And off that low today the market shot higher in wave 'v' pink.

That completes a five wave pattern in wave (iii) brown.
Wave (iv) has started this evening with initial support at the previous fourth wave of 1.2385.
The price is moving lower as I write,
So wave (iv) brown might complete quite quickly also.

For tomorrow;
Watch for a low in wave (iv) brown at nearby levels.
Wave (v) brown should then carry the price higher into the target at 1.2600 to complete the larger five wave structure.

WANT TO KNOW the next big move in the Dollar, GOLD and the DOW???

Check out our membership plan over at Bullwaves.org,

You can see into the Elliott wave future every night!

Enda Glynn
http://bullwaves.org
I am an Elliott wave trader,
I have studied and traded using Elliott wave analysis as the backbone of my approach to markets for the last 10 years.
I take a top down approach to market analysis
starting at the daily time frame all the way down to the 30 minute time frame.

© 2018 Copyright Enda Glynn - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in