Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President (1/2) - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Yield Curve Inversion a Remarkably Accurate Warning Indicator For Economic & Market Peril - Dan_Amerman
3.China is Now Officially at War With the US and Japan - Graham_Summers
4.Markets Pay Attention Moment - China’s Bubble Economy Ripe for Bursting - 16th Jul 18 - Plunger
5.Stock Market Longer-Term Charts Show Incredible Potential - Chris_Vermeulen
6.U.S. Stock Market Cycles Update - Jim_Curry
7.Another Stock Market Drop Next Week? - Brad_Gudgeon
8.The Death of the US Real Estate Dream - Harry_Dent
9.Gold Market Signal vs. Noise - Jordan_Roy_Byrne
10.The Fonzie–Ponzi Theory of Government Debt: An Update - F_F_Wiley
Last 7 days
Rent Your House: The Ultimate US Real Estate Strategy - 21st Aug 18
US Economy Beholden to Fed Interest Rate Policy; Here's One Way Gold Could Reach $14,000+ - 21st Aug 18
Turkey Debt Crisis is Not Contained - 20th Aug 18
Surviving a Trade War in the Age of Trump and Brexit - 20th Aug 18
Stocks Get Closer to January's Record High, What's Next? - 20th Aug 18
London Eye Best Times to Visit for Shortest Queues - Tourist Tips - 20th Aug 18
What the Copper and Gold Crash Means for Commodities and Stocks - 20th Aug 18
Stock Market Challenging Recent High - 19th Aug 18
Venezuela's Great Bolivar Scam, Nothing but a Face Lift - 19th Aug 18
Heavy Truck Sales Sending a Bullish Sign for Stock Market - 19th Aug 18
Why Oil Prices Fell -- Stockpiles or Price Pattern? - 18th Aug 18
Why The Uranium Price Must Go Up - 18th Aug 18
Land Rover Discovery Sport 90% Motorway Driving MPG Fuel Economy in ECO Mode - 18th Aug 18
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Q2’18 Fundamentals - 18th Aug 18
SPX Losing Gains - 17th Aug 18
What Gold Is Not - 17th Aug 18
Dollargeddon - Gold Price to Soar Above $6,000 - 16th Aug 18
Stock Market Higher Again, Correction Over? - 16th Aug 18
Up Your Forex Trading Game - 16th Aug 18
Large Caps Underperformance vs. Small Caps is Bullish for Stocks - 16th Aug 18
“The Big Grab” - Failing Pension and Retirement System - 16th Aug 18
How US Indo-Pacific Vision Forgot Asian Development - 16th Aug 18
Impulse Moves in the Currencies - 15th Aug 19
Best Merlin UK Theme Park Summer Holiday 2018 - Thorpe, Alton Towers, LegoLand or Chessington? - 15th Aug 18
The Essence of Writing an Essay that Must be Understood - 15th Aug 19
Is Solar Energy Rising From The Ashes Again? - 15th Aug 18
A Bullish Bond Argument That Hides in Plain Sight - 15th Aug 18
Jim Rogers on Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and Blockchain’s “Spectacular Future” - 15th Aug 19
A Depressed Economy And A Silver Boom - 15th Aug 19
Moving Averages Help You Define Market Trend – Here’s How - 14th Aug 18
It's Time for A New Economic Strategy in Turkey - 14th Aug 18
Gold Price to Plunge Below $1000 - Key Factors for Gold & Silver Investors - 14th Aug 18
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2018 - Video - 13th Aug 18
Stock Market Downtrend to Continue? - 13th Aug 18
More Signs That the Stock Market Will Rally Until 2019 - 13th Aug 18
New Stock Market Correction Underway - 13th Aug 18
Talk Cold Turkey Economic Crisis - 13th Aug 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Trading Any Market

A Vision for the European Economic Future

Economics / Euro-Zone Jan 26, 2018 - 12:10 PM GMT

By: Enda_Glynn

Economics

Hi everyone,

I have seen the Future for the European Economy,
And it is not looking good.

The EU tracks a wide number of european wide economic indicators,
Everything from consumer credit,
to unemployment expectations in the future.


Much of the data is survey based,
and so it involves an individual opinion on a subject.

It is simply amazing how well much of these indicators work as contrarian indicators!
The old saying goes,
"when your taxi driver tells you to buy stocks, it is time to sell ".

Lets have a run down through some of these charts to set the scene in europe.

Consumer confidence rate of change:

This indicator increased at the highest rate in over 13yrs in December.
accelerating at a faster rate than every year running up to the 2007 high in stocks.

Consumer credit:


The level of revolving credit to the consumer has now hit its highest level in history!
The consumer has maxed out the credit card again.

EU economic sentiment indicator:
This index has hit a 18yr high,

Gross household savings rate:


People are so confident,
that they have stopped saving!
This index is now at the lowest level since they began tracking.

Unemployment expectations:

People in europe do not expect to become unemployed any time soon.
This indicator now matches the sentiment at the high in 2000 and in 2007!
And what happened following those particular sentiment extremes?

So,
according to the man on the street,
the general outlook for the european ecomony is for a bright future with absolutely no upsets whatsoever.
everything is just fine in Europe!

And of course the EURUSD is sitting at a three year high,
at the end of a very large corrective pattern.
What could possibly go wrong?

On that note, lets get into the latest wave patterns in operation in EURUSD.

 

UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:


USD: Advance GDP q/q, Durable Goods Orders m/m.
EUR: M3 Money Supply y/y,
GBP: Prelim GDP q/q, BOE Gov Carney Speaks.
JPY: BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks.

EURUSD

30 min

4 Hours

Daily

My Bias: long term bearish
Wave Structure: Topping in wave [B] black.
Long term wave count: lower in wave [C] black.

The correction in wave 'iv' pink was short lived today,
Wave 'iv' seems to have traced out a running flat correction.
And off that low today the market shot higher in wave 'v' pink.

That completes a five wave pattern in wave (iii) brown.
Wave (iv) has started this evening with initial support at the previous fourth wave of 1.2385.
The price is moving lower as I write,
So wave (iv) brown might complete quite quickly also.

For tomorrow;
Watch for a low in wave (iv) brown at nearby levels.
Wave (v) brown should then carry the price higher into the target at 1.2600 to complete the larger five wave structure.

WANT TO KNOW the next big move in the Dollar, GOLD and the DOW???

Check out our membership plan over at Bullwaves.org,

You can see into the Elliott wave future every night!

Enda Glynn
http://bullwaves.org
I am an Elliott wave trader,
I have studied and traded using Elliott wave analysis as the backbone of my approach to markets for the last 10 years.
I take a top down approach to market analysis
starting at the daily time frame all the way down to the 30 minute time frame.

© 2018 Copyright Enda Glynn - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules