Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered - Barry_M_Ferguson
2.Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? - Richard_Mills
3.US China War - Thucydides Trap and gold - Richard_Mills
4.Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Money Saving Kids Gardening Growing Giant Sunflowers Summer Fun - Anika_Walayat
6.US Dollar Breakdown Begins, Gold Price to Bolt Higher - Jim_Willie_CB
7.INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing to Profit From AI Machine Learning Boom - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Will Google AI Kill Us? Man vs Machine Intelligence - N_Walayat
9.US Prepares for Currency War with China - Richard_Mills
10.Gold Price Epochal Breakout Will Not Be Negated by a Correction - Clive Maund
Last 7 days
US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator - 16th July 19
Could Trump Really Win the 2020 US Presidential Election? - 16th July 19
Gold Stocks Forming Bullish Consolidation - 16th July 19
Will Fed Easing Turn Out Like 1995 or 2007? - 16th July 19
Red Rock Entertainment Investments: Around the world in a day with Supreme Jets - 16th July 19
Silver Has Already Gone from Weak to Strong Hands - 15th July 19
Top Equity Mutual Funds That Offer Best Returns - 15th July 19
Gold’s Breakout And The US Dollar - 15th July 19
Financial Markets, Iran, U.S. Global Hegemony - 15th July 19
U.S Bond Yields Point to a 40% Rise in SPX - 15th July 19
Corporate Earnings may Surprise the Stock Market – Watch Out! - 15th July 19
Stock Market Interest Rate Cut Prevails - 15th July 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State July 2019 Video - 15th July 19
Why Summer is the Best Time to be in the Entertainment Industry - 15th July 19
Mid-August Is A Critical Turning Point For US Stocks - 14th July 19
Fed’s Recessionary Indicators and Gold - 14th July 19
The Problem with Keynesian Economics - 14th July 19
Stocks Market Investors Worried About the Fed? Don't Be -- Here's Why - 13th July 19
Could Gold Launch Into A Parabolic Upside Rally? - 13th July 19
Stock Market SPX and Dow in BREAKOUT but this is the worrying part - 13th July 19
Key Stage 2 SATS Tests Results Grades and Scores GDS, EXS, WTS Explained - 13th July 19
INTEL Stock Investing in Qubits and AI Neural Network Processors - Video - 12th July 19
Gold Price Selloff Risk High - 12th July 19
State of the US Economy as Laffer Gets Laughable - 12th July 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State - 12th July 19
Stock Market Major Index Top In 3 to 5 Weeks? - 11th July 19
Platinum Price vs Gold Price - 11th July 19
What This Centi-Billionaire Fashion Magnate Can Teach You About Investing - 11th July 19
Stock Market Fundamentals are Weakening: 3000 on SPX Means Nothing - 11th July 19
This Tobacco Stock Is a Big Winner from E-Cigarette Bans - 11th July 19
Investing in Life Extending Pharma Stocks - 11th July 19
How to Pay for It All: An Option the Presidential Candidates Missed - 11th July 19
Mining Stocks Flash Powerful Signal for Gold and Silver Markets - 11th July 19
5 Surefire Ways to Get More Viewers for Your Video Series - 11th July 19
Gold Price Gann Angle Update - 10th July 19
Crude Oil Prices and the 2019 Hurricane Season - 10th July 19
Can Gold Recover from Friday’s Strong Payrolls Hit? - 10th July 19
Netflix’s Worst Nightmare Has Come True - 10th July 19
LIMITLESS - Improving Cognitive Function and Fighting Brain Ageing Right Now! - 10th July 19
US Dollar Strength Will Drive Markets Higher - 10th July 19
Government-Pumped Student Loan Bubble Sets Up Next Financial Crisis - 10th July 19
Stock Market SPX 3000 Dream is Pushed Away: Pullback of 5-10% is Coming - 10th July 19
July 2019 GBPUSD Market Update and Outlook - 10th July 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Top AI Stocks Investing to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend

Stock Market Buy or Sell? This Insight May Help You Decide

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018 Feb 09, 2018 - 04:06 PM GMT

By: EWI

Stock-Markets

It’s a tough decision. We’d like to help by showing you some unconventional market evidence.

By February of this year, investors had almost forgotten what stock market volatility looked like.

And then something unprecedented happened. On Monday, Feb. 5, the DJIA closed 1,175 points down, the biggest single-day drop in the index's history. Since then, stocks have been going haywire.


Was this spike in volatility unpredictable? Hardly. Our December 2017 Financial Forecast warned:

The CBOE Volatility Index declined to 8.56 intraday on Nov. 24, the lowest level in its 30-year history... As we've noted, the most placid periods of stock market activity are invariably followed by episodes of extreme volatility...

Sentiment measures had also been sounding an alarm. Here's just one chart, from our January 2018 Financial Forecast (Elliott wave-labeled version reserved for subscribers):

The chart of the 13-day CBOE equity put/call ratio shows that it has declined to .55, with the volume of calls nearly double the volume of puts. Options traders have not been this optimistic in 3½ years. So, trader sentiment is consistent with the optimism of fund managers, hedge fund operators and even the "little guys."

History shows that such optimistic extremes are contrarian indicators. Investors who heeded these warnings were not surprised by the volatility eruption -- indeed, they expected it.

OK. So, what now? It this 10% drop in the Dow a buying opportunity -- or the big reversal?

This is the big question, and the mainstream view is clearly leaning towards the bullish view:

  • 10 Blue-Chip Stocks to Put on Your "Buy the Dip" List -- (Kiplinger, Feb. 2)
  • 3 Stocks to Buy When the Market Crashes -- (The Motley Fool, Feb. 5)
  • Now is the time to buy equities... says CIO -- (CNBC, Feb. 5)

Market optimists may turn out to be correct. Maybe it's just a bump in the road.

Then again, maybe sentiment measures continue to tell another story.

EWI's Robert Folsom just posted a special video titled "More Bullish Than Ever."

Watch it.

Then, make up your own mind about the bullish or bearish prospects for the stock market.

The URGENCY of Up-to-Date Stock Market Sentiment

The February 2018 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast Short Term Update said this:

We know from our own experiences how tough a taskmaster Mr. Market is, which is why we constantly point out the importance of sentiment extremes in the context of a progressing Elliott wave structure.

With that in mind -- our just-produced video delivers the sentiment readings that you need to know about NOW.

HINT: Near the video's beginning, you'll learn about a market-related event in January 2018 that is jaw-droppingly similar to a development that unfolded in February 2000 -- yes, around the time of the historic stock market top of that year.

Watch this video now!

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Buy or Sell? This Insight May Help You Decide. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules