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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Is War "Hell" for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI


Take a look at stock market behavior in times of war… and peace

Are wars bullish or bearish for stocks?

With the recent news of airstrikes on Syria and a threat of a global war, this question is extremely relevant. But does war really cause stock markets to rise and fall?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Breadth Study Suggests that Stock Market Bottom is Already In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last week we demonstrated a momentum+breadth study which supported the medium term bullish case for the stock market.

Now let’s look at the short term case for the stock market. Is the stock market’s EXACT bottom already in?

The NYSE cumulative Advance-Decline Line (one of the best breadth indicators) just made a new all-time high yesterday while the S&P 500 has yet to make a new high.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

The Stock Market “Turn of the Month Effect” Exists in 11 of 11 Countries / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dimitri_Speck

Dear Investor,

I first discussed the “turn-of-the-month effect” in Seasonal Insights issue 6 of March 21, 2018. The term describes the fact that price gains in the stock market tend to cluster around the turn of the month.

By contrast, the rest of the time around the middle of the month is typically less profitable for investors.

With respect to the US stock market, I also showed how the “turn-of-the-month effect”” evolved over time, when it was particularly pronounced and when it tended to wane.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Stock Market Short Squeeze/Melt-Up We Predicted Started Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US majors are all nearly 1% higher for the day with the NASDAQ up over 2.25%.  Our analysis of the markets was DEAD ON.  We called the 2678 level on the ES as a key resistance level to watch before any breakout to the upside would potentially happen.  We also called this market bottom nearly three weeks ago on March 28, 2018 and we are up over 15% on a position to take advantage of it with our followers.  We have been nailing these market reversals with incredible accuracy all year and we are just getting started with our Advanced Dynamic Learning systems we have developed.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

A Stock Market Rally on Low Volume is NOT Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Conventional trading “wisdom” states that a rally that occurs on falling volume is bearish. Conventional “wisdom” states that sustainable rallies should occur on rising volume.

This simply isn’t true. As we said in Don’t use volume for trading,

Rising/falling volume isn’t a bullish sign or a bearish sign. It just is. Volume is mostly irrelevant. It doesn’t give you much of an edge in the markets.

The S&P 500 is rallying on falling volume right now.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

Watch These S&P Numbers For Clues… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Harry_Dent

On Tuesday, Rodney talked to his Triple Play Strategy subscribers about the extreme volatility we’re experiencing in the markets. He asked the question: “So, how are you feeling?” as he observed that investors are looking increasingly tired from the extreme drops and bounces we’ve endured the least few weeks. He concluded that the situation isn’t looking good and he’s admittedly turned bearish.

I may be with Rodney on that.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 16, 2018

Bombs, Missiles and War – What to Expect Next from the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Friday night opened up a whole new perspective on the global markets with the coordinated targeted attack on Syria.  It’s not that we didn’t know this was a possibility, yet the event itself changes how the markets may react on Monday and throughout this next week.  Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have been diligently trying to identify the price rotations that will occur early next week and we believe this research post will help to prepare all investors for what may be a wild ride.

First off, with this event playing out late Friday night and early into Saturday, there are a number of things we have to consider.  The US Dollar may be under some pressure this week as a result of this event.  Gold and Silver may rally as fear and panic enter the markets.  Oil will likely rise on fear of a disruption or conflict related supply issue.  The US stock market will likely rotate with a bit with continued large price volatility early Monday morning as traders attempt to reposition after this event.  Given all of this, the long-term perspective has to be maintained in order to understand the true market dynamics.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, April 16, 2018

Stock Market Futures Bounce, But Stopped at Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures bounced back but appear to be stopped at the 2-year trendline at 2675..00-2680.00 without making a new high. The Cycles Model suggests there may be some residual strength throughout the week during which options expiration may take precedence. OpEx has the ability to increase turmoil in the markets. As a result, this period may be protected by the powers that be.

Once Wave (3) begins, it should be unstoppable. However, there may be an effort to delay its onset.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Stock Market More Weakness? How Much? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, April 13, 2018

Stock Market SPX May Tangle with the 50-day MA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has been correctively chopping higher on declining volume the past four days. It has bumped against the 2-year trendline five times in the past three days without a breakout. It hasn’t broken above the 50% Fib retracement at 2677.85. Could there be a breakout this morning? The EW Wave structure does allow a boost to just under 2700.00 with the current view. The 50-day Moving Average is at 2698.64.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2018

SPX Resistance May Prompt A Massive Short Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our analysis continues today with this research of a potential Short Squeeze in the SPX and other broader markets.  As you are probably well aware, we, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, have been nailing the markets with our detailed analysis for quite a while.  Our Advanced Analytical tools have called nearly every move.  Nearly two weeks ago we called a massive market bottom to form in the US markets – well before just about anyone else even saw a bottom formation. In fact, we have already banked 10% profit on the first half of our best-cherry-picked setup for subscribers and it’s continuing to rally more.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Stock Market High Volatility is Not Consistently Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market started off in 2018 with a lot of volatility. The S&P 500 saw 23 trading days of >1% movements in Q1 (CLOSE vs previous day’s CLOSE).

This is supposed to be a long term bearish sign for the market. See this popular tweet:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2018

ADL Price Anomaly and TNA Stet-up for a 5% to 10% Stock Price Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling system has been hot.  Now we want to share something super exciting with all our followers – a super trade setup in the ES.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has identified what may be one of the best trading signals we’ve seen in a long time – a potential +100pt move.  That’s right, our advanced predictive modeling system is been calling a bottom in the markets for over 10 days now and we believe the following charts show us the that S&P will be one of the leaders in the move higher.  Therefore, we want to urge our followers to be prepared for a potential 100+ pt upside move in the ES within the next 3~5 days and to trade accordingly – we certainly will be.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Top 8 Reasons to Find the Stock Market Emergency Exit Before this Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Michael_Pento

The stock market was trading at an all-time high valuation of 150% of GDP this January. That was indeed the bell rung at the very top. Stocks have since started to roll over, but valuations are still at 140% of the underlying economy. And that is, historically speaking, way off the chart. The average of this metric was around 45% throughout the decades of the 70’s thru the mid-1990’s. Therefore, the market is screaming for investors to hit the sell button now while there are still ample bids left. But, if your complacency and procrastination prevent you from realizing the truly dangerous bubble in equities right now, here are eight of the most salient reasons why you’ll definitely need to find the nearest emergency exit before this fall.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Stock Market Long Upward Path / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Donald_W_Dony

As the U.S. and China "trade war" continues to escalate, the current market commentary often leans toward the negative and a possible market top.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

Thought the rhetoric clearly causes concern with investors, major U.S. market indexes continue to forge higher and have posted new all-time levels in Q1.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, April 09, 2018

Stocks Breaking Down? Not Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The stock market retraced most of its last week's Wednesday - Thursday's gains on Friday, as investors reacted to worse-than-expected monthly jobs data release, trade tariffs announcement. Friday's sell-off brought the S&P 500 index back to its medium-term upward trend line. Will it break lower this time?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 2.2-2.3% on Friday, following worse-than-expected monthly jobs data release, among others. The broad stock market retraced most of its Wednesday - Thursday's rally, and it got back to medium-term upward trend line. Both, Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 2.3% on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 09, 2018

US Stock Market - Donald Loves Me, Donald Loves Me Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

As everyone seems glued to their twitter accounts or their news feeds, the market has been both rallying and fading despite all the negative news of these trade wars that are supposedly going to tank our equity market.

I mean, its not like we began this correction well before trade wars began in earnest. Right? In fact, does any of this surprise you in any way, especially since the President certainly told us that these are some of the actions he will take even before he became POTUS. And, if you suggest otherwise, then you are simply not being honest with yourself.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 09, 2018

Stock Market Retest of the Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 08, 2018

Political Posturing Distracts – Trade The Stock Market Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recent news about the US and China posturing for Trade Deals and the continued increase in rhetoric has weighed heavily on the markets these past few weeks.  Yes, trade issues are a concern for nations and fair trade is essential to support both economies.  Yet, the news seems to be exaggerated in scale and scope when one considers the totality of it all.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has recently completed a detailed analysis of the Chinese economy including a study of the expected pressures that are mounting throughout most of China/Asia.  A property market cycle, extended debt issues, foreign capital projects, military tensions and now “trade tariffs” are adding up to quite a bit of headwind for the Chinese.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 08, 2018

Stock Market’s High Uncertainty is Medium Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market’s volatility has been crazy recently. It’s clear that the majority of investors and traders are undecided. It soars a few percent over 2 days, then tanks a few percent over 2 days, then soars, then tanks…

We can see this uncertainty in the market’s breadth as well. The NYSE’s Up Volume indicates the number of stocks that went up today.

8 out of the past 11 trading days have seen Up Volume either above 80% (i.e. most stocks surging) or below 20% (i.e. most stocks going down). This is a rare medium term bullish sign for the stock market.

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