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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, June 22, 2018

Dow Has Fallen 8 days in a Row. Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Dow Jones has fallen 8 days in a row. But as always, market stage matters (the same kind of price action means different things in different market stages). The Dow has fallen 8 days in a row while it’s still in an uptrend (i.e. is above its 200 daily moving average). This is uncommon – most 8 days in a row streaks occur when the Dow is in a downtrend (i.e. is below its 200 daily moving average).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 21, 2018

SPX Bouncing Above Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPB futures have been bouncing along the two trendlines near 2760.00 this morning. Should the break down, we may see a decline to the 50-day Moving Average at 2710.37. However, the Cycles Model is unclear about near-term direction. We should be open to the possibility of another probe of the Cycle Top. Depending on the strength of the potential move, we may see a challenge of the March 13 high.

ZeroHedge reports, “It started off well enough, with S&P futures in the green and the Nasdaq set for another all time high after trade war concerns eased further after Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told the Senate neither the U.S. nor China want a trade war, while President Donald Trump said he expects to announce new trade deals with unspecified countries soon.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 21, 2018

The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

First of all I’d like to thank Shawn. He raised a good question, one that I’ll answer in this study.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 21, 2018

Trump’s Trade Tariffs Undermining America’s Economic Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dan_Steinbock

As President Trump is again suspending the opportunity for trade compromise, new US tariffs are not only alienating US allies and partners but undermining America’s own future prospects.

On Monday, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose a new 10 percent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods. That will not only re-escalate the trade war with China but contribute to new risks of collateral damage to the US economy.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

The Fed’s “Inflation Target” is Impoverishing American Workers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Antonius_Aquinas

At one time, the Federal Reserve’s sole mandate was to maintain stable prices and to “fight inflation.”  To the Fed, the financial press, and most everyone else “inflation” means rising prices instead of its original and true definition as an increase in the money supply.  Rising prices are a consequence – a very painful consequence – of money printing.

Naturally, the Fed and all other central bankers prefer the definition of inflation as a rise in prices which insidiously hides the fact that they, being the issuers of currency, are the real culprit for increased prices.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Dow Fell 6 days in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish Medium & Long term Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Dow Jones has gone down 6 days in a row. This is the first time in 15 months in which the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days. But more importantly, the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days while remaining above its 200 daily moving average.

In other words, this is the first time in a long time in which the Dow has fallen consistently.

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Forecasts

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

The Fed Screwed Up… and the Markets Know It / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year.

The market didn’t like this announcement, with stocks in a sea of red. This has raised the question… “is the Fed going to trigger a market meltdown?”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

Stock Market’s Short Term Downside Will be Limited / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Over the past 2 weeks I said that the stock market would face some short term downside (i.e. would swing sideways or fall a little). So far I’ve been right. The stock market has gone down a little bit (see S&P 500).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

Trump A Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

In light of the developing trade war between the US and China, let’s review the all-important Semiconductor sector and in particular, the Semi Equipment segment, which is a key economic early bird (and canary in a coal mine).

Various sectors took hits on Friday as Trump moved forward with Tariffs on China. But most of those sectors and industries are follow-on aspects of the economic cycle, which got its start when the early bird chirped in early 2013.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 18, 2018

Stock Market Consolidating in an Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should take SPX to a new all-time high.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 18, 2018

Russell Has Gone Up 7 Weeks in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last week I published a study demonstrating what happens to the stock market when the Russell 2000 (small caps) index goes up 6 weeks in a row. The Russell has extended that streak to 7 weeks in a row.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 15, 2018

Is This a Big Sign of a Big Stock Market Turn? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Financial legislation might mean something different than most investors believes it means

A stock market warning has just developed for those who are bullish.

Here's what I'm talking about (CNBC, May 22):

The House voted May 22 to pass the biggest rollback of financial regulations since the global financial crisis.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Pause Before Going Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

It was all about the FOMC Rate Decision release on Wednesday, and stocks' initial reaction to that news was slightly negative. The broad stock market extended its short-term consolidation along the resistance level. Will the uptrend continue or is this some topping pattern ahead of downward reversal? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.

The U.S. stock market indexes lost between -0.1% and -0.5% on Wednesday, as investors reacted to the Fed's interest rate hike announcement. The S&P 500 index is still close to its mid-March local high of around 2,800. It currently trades 3.4% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.5%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.1% yesterday.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Yield Curve Continues to Flatten. A Bullish Sign for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Treasury yield curve continues to flatten. The 10 year yield – 2 year yield is now at 0.39%. Or as the bears would have you believe, “the Fed is about to end the economy and stock market”.

Facts and data disagree.

This is the first time in the current economic expansion cycle in which the yield curve flattened to 40 basis points (0.4%). As you can see, the yield curve still needs to flatten a lot more before a recession and bear market begins.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Stock Market Near Another Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Brad_Gudgeon

According to the Gann astro/cycles and my wave counts, we are near another important top.  Ideally, this top should occur on June 14/15. The next possible cycle low is due sometime between June 28/29 and July 3/5 depending on the count and final top. My preferred count has the S&P 500 moving down into July 3/5 to a slightly higher high than the 2553 mark tagged on April 2. The alternate has a much lower drop going down into the 2460’s by June 28/29. The ideal top this week is a minimum 2805 SPX.

When the market fell in February, it readjusted the normally dominant 20 week cycle, which is now due toward the end of June or early July. The Gann 64/128 TD lows remain the same, due in early July. At any rate, we should see a nice summer rally out of the expected drop. Major cycles are due to top on August 19th one month and fall into mid November and even January-February 2019.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

What Happens Next to Stocks when Russell Goes up 6 Weeks in a Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Small cap stocks (Russell 2000 Index) continues to lead the stock market higher.

As I demonstrated in a study last week, the Russell leading the S&P 500 is a medium term bullish sign for the stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Stock Market Eying Extension Into March Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Submissions

High Odds that Low of Year Confirmed
The first week of June was fairly easy to navigate and trade as the bullish pattern took a couple extra weeks of high level consolidation to finally complete its course. It really started with the breakout on Monday June 4 above the key 2742 level to confirm that the bull train is ready for the immediate breakout to accelerate above the prior two weeks’ worth of consolidation range (2742 vs.2700/2675). On the next day, the bull train grinded up a little and held above the 2742 breakout level to trap in more market participants for the high odds of a trend week.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 11, 2018

Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Extrapolating current trends into the future leave many people unprepared for major societal shifts

The one thing you can count on in financial markets, and society at large, is change.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 11, 2018

Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks traded within a short-term consolidation on Friday, as investors took some profits off the table following the recent advance. The broad stock market accelerated its uptrend after breaking above three-week-long consolidation a week ago. Will it continue its uptrend or is this some topping pattern ahead of downward reversal? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Friday, as they fluctuated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index remained close to its mid-March local high of around 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Friday.

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Forecasts

Monday, June 11, 2018

Study: What Happens Next to Stocks When the Put/Call Ratio is Very Low / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio was very low last Tuesday, falling below 0.5 for the first time since January 2018. This is commonly seen as a bearish sign. It isn’t. Here’s the data to prove it.

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